from:NBC Sports

Psychic octopus preserves perfect record

If Paul the psychic octopus could speak, I suppose he'd be justified in saying "KISS MY SLIMY BUTT." He had a perfect 6-0 record in predicting Germany's World Cup wins and losses, besting the geeks. But that performance doesn't prove that the cephalopod is truly psychic. It's analogous to getting heads to come up in six consecutive coin flips ... basically a 1-out-of-64 proposition. Now the Sea Life Aquarium in Oberhausen should get Paul to pick some lottery numbers and see how he does.

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it is inaccurate to say that paul has achieved a 1 in 64 propostion as there are three possible outcomes to a football match, not two. not sure if he ever picked a draw but anyway, if all odds were equal, he actually has a 1 in 3 chance of being correct when predicting a win - meaning a 1 in 729 propostion ! anyway, not too sure on all the true odds but i think the accumulator is somewhere above 200 - 1 , meaning a mere 10 pounds invested in paul would have returned 2000. i am sure he has made a few believers quite a lot of money but sadly not me !!!

    Reply#1 - Thu Jul 8, 2010 5:21 AM EDT
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