Super-Earth on 'edge of habitability'

NASA / msnbc.com

Planetary scientists are working on equations to assess how habitable a given planet might be.

Planet-hunters say they've developed a relatively simple method for determining how livable a faraway world might be, and they've used the formula to identify a top candidate: a super-Earth that's 36 light-years away.

The research paper was submitted to the journal Astronomy and Astrophysics just two weeks ago, but it's quickly making the rounds among those who follow the accelerating search for planets beyond our solar system. The big reason for all the interest is that the paper points to a new prospect for the short list of potentially habitable planets: HD 85512 b, a world that's at least 3.6 times as massive as Earth, circling an orange star in the constellation Vela.

The authors — Lisa Kaltenegger of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, and Stephane Udry and Francesco Pepe of the University of Geneva — rank the extrasolar planet right up there with Gliese 581d, a prime prospect for habitability that is 20 light-years from Earth. "HD 85512 b is, with Gl 581d, the best candidate for exploring habitability to date, a planet on the edge of habitability," they say.

The paper uses HD 85512 b as a test case for a set of equations aimed at assessing how livable a particular planet might be, based on its orbital parameters, how much radiation it gets from its parent sun and the nature of its atmosphere. HD 85512 b's minimum mass and orbital parameters were published only recently, based on data from the HARPS-Upgrade GTO planet search.  The world orbits a star that is significantly dimmer than our own sun, at a distance of 0.26 AU — which is within Mercury's orbit in our solar system. It makes one full orbit every 58.4 Earth days, the researchers report.

The researchers assume that HD 85512 b is a rocky planet with an Earthlike atmosphere containing water vapor, carbon dioxide and nitrogen. If that's the case, and if more than half the planet is covered by clouds, then it "could be potentially habitable," they say.

Is there a way to resolve those "ifs"? Comparing the planet's mass with its size could tell astronomers whether its composition is more like Neptune's or Earth's. But to study its atmosphere, we're going to need a bigger telescope.

Here's how Kaltenegger explained the challenge to Skymania News: "As to whether it is really habitable, we’ll need a spectrum to tell that — direct imaging would be the ticket. With a direct imaging mission we could detect if it looks habitable. We could detect clouds if we had a big enough telescope in space."

It could be a long time before there's a telescope (or an interferometer) big enough to take on that job. But even now, Kaltenegger and her colleagues say that their research provides "a simple set of parameters which can be used for evaluating current and future planet candidates ... for their potential habitability."

How long will it take to whip up a top-ten list for extrasolar emigration? Weigh in with your comments below.

More about habitable planets:


Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page, following @b0yle on Twitter or adding me to your Google+ circle. You can also check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for other worlds.

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Comment author avatarYakimamanExpand Comment Comment collapsed by the community

So, at 186,000 miles per second, it will only take 20 years to get there...... why are we wasting money on this stuff? 

  • 2 votes
#1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 10:43 PM EDT

What a stupid remark. The reason is that we humans have always been explorers. I suppose if you had been around in 1492 you would have said, "Everyone knows the earth is flat. Why are we wasting money sailing toward the edge of it?" This type of narrow-minded, bottom-line thinking will take us back to the Stone Age, which I suppose would make you and the money obsessed right-wing politicians happy. After all, you'd be right at home in the Stone Age. It's where this type of thinking belongs.

  • 61 votes
#1.1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:01 PM EDT

Vince-545056, good response. After all that hes probably going to tell us Obama killed the space shuttle.

  • 20 votes
#1.2 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:05 PM EDT

Actually it is closer to 36 years at the speed of light. However, for us flying anything physical there; about 360 years (.1c) would be an ideal and semi-feasible speed for a manned or unmanned mission. Because of this, there are no plans to send anything anywhere near that far. The plan at the moment is basically what the article stated: get a top 10 list of places that could/does support life. From there we determine what other things we need to develop to accomplish sending rovers/satellites/etc that far over that long of period of time and have them still be operational when they get there.

At best we're leaving ideas, information, and new tools for the generations to come to hopefully aid them in solving even more interesting questions that arose from staring into the black and trying to see if anything is looking back.

  • 17 votes
#1.3 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:07 PM EDT

@thull. Makes me think of Planet of the Apes, original. We gain the technology to put ourselves in deep sleep. We get there with the tech. to land and take off again to return to Earth. Or, lacking the sleep tech., just procreate on the ship. 10 generations later, we land, inhabit, send a team back procreating again...

  • 4 votes
#1.4 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:24 PM EDT

Vince - The truth is that in 1492 most thinking people and even primitive peoples knew the earth was round and that the earth revolved around the sun. The Fundamentalist Religious leaders were the ones insisting their view of the cosmos was right believed such simple things.

Much like the fundamentalist of today, they read the Jew's book and say that the world is only 6,000 years old and the Jews don't believe that the earth is only 6000 years old. Fundamentalism in every form is dangerous and makes idiots of normally thinking people.

There are always those that want to keep things the same or because of their own inadequacies are afraid of discovery. You will never convince those people to go beyond their known universe.

  • 5 votes
#1.5 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:42 PM EDT

We need to get off of this rock before the religious fanatics kill us all. We've come too far to let that happen.

  • 19 votes
#1.6 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:09 AM EDT

How about if we get all the religious fanatics off this rock? Wouldn't that be more productive?

Why do we need to do this? Because we breed like rabbits. Because we make a mess out of our living space and don't clean up after ourselves. Because we have a "god" complex that makes us feel superior to all the alien species we're going to meet out in space, and probably make sandwiches out of them if we get the chance. But mostly because we can.

  • 14 votes
#1.7 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:38 AM EDT

One - Erastosthenes not only knew the Earth was round, in about 200BC he calculated its diameter and circumference fairly closely. Two - There are no wormholes, there is no warp drive, and the speed of light is not going to be broken, ever. Perhaps you could create a transporter with identical crystals but those would still have to start in the same place in space/time and be separated at non-relatiivistic speeds.

If you could somehow accelerate a spaceship to light speed (which would take unreal amounts of propellant) it STILL wouldn't go faster than light speed because once it hit the speed of light relative to us it would stop in time and just disappear from our universe, forever. Same as the galaxies receding over the event horizon of the Universe are gone forever.

Maybe there is exotic matter out there with negative mass, and maybe most of the Universe is made up of "dark matter" - or maybe we just can't seem to get a grip on the Grand Unified Theory. In any case, the only way we are getting to other stars is with generation ships. Good luck with that when we can't even keep a space program going.

  • 2 votes
#1.8 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:05 AM EDT

If technology continues to progress the way it has, an unmanned interstellar mission could be launched, possibly even before this century is out, most likely using nuclear pulse propulsion.

We would probably need to find a planetary system that is < 10-12 light years for the timeline to be worthwhile. So for now we'll have to continue developing planet finding tech here on earth to find ever more exciting prospects. We may very well find habitable earth-like planets as close as the Alpha Centauri system! See NASA's proposed Space Interferometry Mission (SIM).

The discovery of all of these extrasolar planets over the last decade or so has been one of the most exciting advances in the space program IMO.

  • 2 votes
#1.9 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:30 AM EDT

The facts are; We (as in special eng. agencies) have been sending people to other planets for years now. These government agencies have the knowledge and vehicles to bend space & time to travel the universe and have had the technology for maybe 30 years now. Just do a little reading and deciphering. Oh yea look up every once in a while and you will see what I mean.

    #1.10 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 7:45 AM EDT

    Yet another genius that almost certainly owes his life to modern medicine and that sits there in front of his computer, sending text messages on his cell phone, and typing away on the internet about how we're wasting money on science.

    • 6 votes
    #1.11 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 7:57 AM EDT

    Dear yakety-yak, (don't talk back)

    Shut up, drink your coffee, eat your oatmeal and go back to watching FOX NEWS.

    More to the point, DAMN I wish we could answer all these questions in my lifetime. I'm 61 years old and will probably not live long enough to see the discovery of habitable planet like our own. I know they are out there and that we have several good candidates but we can't PROVE our theories at this point. I want to KNOW before I GO.

    Thanks Alan for another thought provoking piece of information and thanks to all the scientists who continue this research despite troglodytes like Yakety-yak (don't talk back).

    • 9 votes
    #1.12 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 9:07 AM EDT

    Yakimaman,

    What you are forgetting is that as an object approaches the speed of light the relative time for that particular object slows exponentially. So, even though the trip may take 20 years for the people on earth to witness the entire trip, the relative time experienced by the object that we send may only be weeks or months (depending upon its velocity). Thus, our only limitation for long distance travel is velocity.

    • 6 votes
    #1.13 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 9:46 AM EDT

    Vince-545056 - For someone with such an open mind and fair reasoning, don't you think it sounds a little funny with you throwing in a blanket statement about Republicans with your response? You realize you just alienated a bunch of people with an argument that doesn't have much logic - while pointing out that we should all be open minded.

    • 1 vote
    #1.14 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:11 AM EDT

    I don't know that I've ever read from such an enlightened group! "Jews book"? "Religious fanatics kill us all"? "Get them all off this rock"? What a great bunch of references and solutions! Wonder why no one ever thought of those things before? The vast majority of religious people are not fanatics nor interested in killing anyone, quite the opposite, many are interested in helping everyone. True, we're all mixed bags and bring negative as well as positive components to the party, but that's true of us all now, isn't it? I hope we can do better than reducing our solutions to our most profound problems to blaming others for what we all share in, and work through our differences and live more happily together on our own planet. Otherwise whether you are purely scientific or purely religious in outlook, or whatever else you may be, you'll have the same problems because wherever you go, you take yourself.

    • 1 vote
    #1.15 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:20 AM EDT

    We can't take care of the one we have and have proven to have little regard for its nature. Sad to set eyes on another.

      #1.16 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:41 AM EDT

      I am still not convinced that habitable planets are not made. Sure location location location.

      Here I go on the crazy train.

      Maybe the core of the earth was drawn out from the sun and then a Europa like planet was sent on a collision course.

      I am not yet ready to jump on any bandwagons.

        #1.17 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:24 PM EDT

        Vince-545056- the right and left wing are dead set on cutting scientific R&D spending.... One wants to save money, and the other wants to port moneys to entitlement programs.

          #1.18 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:27 PM EDT

          It's about understanding it. That doesn't have to include or involve 'getting there.'

          After all, we also look out to the very edge of the Universe, to understand its earliest conditions, and how it came to be. We won't 'get there,' even with FTL...

          Ot have you no curiosity at all?

          • 1 vote
          #1.19 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:58 PM EDT

          We need to invest in research into quantum teleportation and entanglement assisted communications so we can just 'poof' right over.

            #1.20 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 4:26 PM EDT

            Traveling the speed of light or 186,000 miles/sec? If we could somehow harness the power of dark matter and create a portal in space and time to travel in, we wouldn't even have to travel half the speed of light to get there in no time flat right???

            I guess people on earth would age 20 or so years assuming it only took the astronaut a few minutes. It boggles the mind!

              #1.21 - Wed Sep 7, 2011 5:17 PM EDT
              Reply

              Because to not waste money on such stuff would never have lead to the computer or anything else around you being developed and everyone would still be wearing cave man briches and throwing spears at wild dogs while trying to get away from the mountain lion that is chaing them.

              • 15 votes
              Reply#2 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 10:48 PM EDT

              @dwight, exactly. But @yak only cares to see a few feet beyond his nose, figuratively speaking.

              • 4 votes
              #2.1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:21 PM EDT

              So the wild dogs and the mountain lions were working together?

                #2.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 8:29 AM EDT
                Reply

                I would suggest we send a spacecraft now for landing much like the rover to send back data. Unmanned craft can do 20 years. We're not in it for us but for the future. Our grandchildren and their grandchildren would have the data. It's not all about us. Perhaps a wormhole would help. Let's run this by Stephen Hawkins for his recommendation. Thanks.

                • 1 vote
                Reply#3 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 10:54 PM EDT

                Wormhole travel would be the only practical way to travel to Super-Earth. You can travel the speed of light all you want, but if it still takes light itself 36 years to travel, that's still 36 years for a crew. It'd be like trying to drive a Ferrari to the Moon.

                The upshot is, that with Einstein's theory of time compression, to the crew of an FTL starship, the trip would only be perceived by the crew to only take less than a half-hour, yet by the time they get there, nearly 40 years will have passed on Earth. Wormhole travel could eliminate that and make trips back and forth from Earth to Super-Earth instantaneously much like a Star Trek transporter. Or really more like the Karl Urban movie "Doom".

                Just pack lots of weapons and plenty of ammo if you plan a trip to Super-Earth any time soon. Put it this way, think and ask yourself WWTPD? (what would the Predator do?)

                • 4 votes
                #3.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:17 AM EDT

                WWTPD- LOL I'm gonna start using that

                • 1 vote
                #3.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 8:53 AM EDT

                A spaceship sent now would likely be overtaken by our starships of the future.

                  #3.3 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:29 PM EDT

                  @georgethetroll

                  yea most likely... unless it used a nuclear reactor to power a prolonged propulsion system... but NASA moved so slow they barley ever tested the thing let alone start to build one of the orbital prototypes we where planing during the Apollo missions, or again during the "most likely postponed" mars missions.

                  pizza hut on the other hand is moving to fast.. they already have plans and are budgeting for a moon restaurant. :P doubt they will have customers.. for a while.

                  virgin galactic will most likely have the first attempt at intergalactic travel... (thats just based off of money invested and excludes disasters.)

                    #3.4 - Wed Sep 7, 2011 8:04 PM EDT

                    Kruge: "Oh yes. New cities, homes in the country. Your woman at your side, children playing at your feet, and overhead, fluttering in the breeze, the flag of the Federation. Charming."

                    We need to take care of home first.. before we go waste another planet. Doubt anything like that will ever happen.

                      #3.5 - Tue Sep 13, 2011 2:17 PM EDT

                      If we are to survive as a species, we will make it happen. Head out to other habitable planets before our sun begins to expand into a red giant and burns up Earth in it's wake. We can planet hop into the far flung future taking over planets in a 'V' - like expansion of the 'human' race,..

                        #3.6 - Wed Sep 14, 2011 11:36 PM EDT

                        Let's run this by Stephen Hawkins for his recommendation. Thanks.

                        Stephen has already stated, 'Abandon Earth, or die,...'

                          #3.7 - Wed Sep 14, 2011 11:39 PM EDT
                          Reply
                          d.VadorDeleted

                          If We As Humanity continue to believe that we are the only life in this vast universe, then we are truly arrogant indeed..... My hope is that in a few years or so, or before I depart this magnificent place called Earth, all Humanity will see that life is every were we look in the sky, maybe learning this will help teach all of us to understand we are not so special after all, and learn how to treat each other with love and respect. I for one believe we "Will" find life every were. Tom And Lyn

                          • 6 votes
                          Reply#6 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:01 PM EDT

                          I think it is arrogant to say that Earth is magnificent. Unless you think that stuff like the Fukashima meltdown and constant war is magnificent.

                          • 1 vote
                          #6.1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:30 PM EDT

                          Meebs, the Fukushima meltdown was just plain messy. Now, Hiroshima and Nagasaki...THAT was magnificent! Anyway, if you are dissatisfied with Earth, feel free to leave it at any time.

                          • 3 votes
                          #6.2 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:39 PM EDT

                          Meebs - You're speaking about humanity, Earth itself IS a beautiful and magnificent place.

                          • 7 votes
                          #6.3 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:40 AM EDT

                          "Unless you think that stuff like the Fukashima meltdown and constant war is magnificent."

                          It's not the only thing we do, Meebs...

                          And Fukashima was the result of an act of Nature. That likely happens elsewhere, as well.

                          • 1 vote
                          #6.4 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 5:09 PM EDT

                          Thanks you Guys !! I have One more Comment on this subject.

                          As Humanity we can not put our heads down in the face of our failures and ignorance, for if we do, then we will go nowhere and may even in up going extinct, "We Must" hold our heads high and continue moving forward in the presence of our mistakes, that is the only way we learn as Humanity and the only way we can make a better place for all Humanity.

                          Tom And Lyn

                          • 3 votes
                          #6.5 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 6:26 PM EDT

                          Anyway, if you are dissatisfied with Earth, feel free to leave it at any time

                          Nothing lasts forever, and our sun is already middle aged. The habitable length of time remaining on the planet Earth, being even much shorter than that if you take into account of the expansion of the Sun as it ages, roasting the atmosphere as it nears,.

                            #6.6 - Wed Sep 14, 2011 11:49 PM EDT
                            Reply

                            Not 20 years! It will take 4,000-10,000 years to get there. Some of you may think we can travel at, near to, or exceed the speed of light. We can't. When mass reaches the speed of light all of it turns into energy. We CAN slow the speed of light.

                            And we can't construct a singularity in an attempt to bend space/time. Sorry to burst your bubble universe.

                            • 1 vote
                            Reply#7 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:07 PM EDT

                            They said the same exact thing about the sound barrier. It's just another speed number to be broken, nothing more. There's no scientific laboratory tests to conclude that anything that reaches the speed of light converts into energy; just theories, and that theory was debunked by Steven Hawkings, himself (see: History of the Universe).

                            • 4 votes
                            #7.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:21 AM EDT

                            If the light speed barrier can be broken (and I am firmly convinced that it cannot) and we as a race are so smart, why haven't we done it yet? I am amused that you see it as merely a trivial feat, accomplished as easily as boiling an egg.

                            So the Atomic and Hydrogen bombs were merely firecrackers? The atomic and nuclear masses were only accelerated to a very small fraction of the speed of light and that speed was geometrically increased when the masses met and only a small amount of the masses were converted to energy. I am sure you know how they are designed and how they work. I can't think of another device that demonstrates the conversion of matter into energy in a more visible manner. Particle accelerators do the same but masses and energy levels are so minute, they can be said to be barely there at all.

                            Someone like me could never refute a Hawking, but he is a theoretical physicist. Such people are incredibly smart, can do the math but they are not correct about everything. He has had to correct some of his earlier work every now and then due to his own misinterpretation and I respect him for that and for the body of his work. But eventually someone will come along in the near or far future and rewrite Hawking as Hawking did Einstein. But even then he was uncertain and has gone back and forth on Einstein.

                            • 2 votes
                            #7.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:19 AM EDT

                            I think the trick will be more figuring out short cuts through space-time. While this may seem like a far off thing to discover, as we get into space more and more as a species and begin doing more and more research in space, we will be able to discover new technologies that no one every would have thought possible before. Tell someone in 1869 that in 100 years man kind would set foot on the moon and see if you don't get laughed at. Never doubt humans ability to find solutions to problems that seem impossible.

                            • 1 vote
                            #7.3 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:47 AM EDT

                            @The8o8Observer - why haven't we broken the light speed barrier yet? Holy jeez, we only started getting planes off the ground 90 years ago, and the sound barrier is a relatively low speed (340 m/s). Breaking the speed of light will take a lot more than retooling a combustion engine. Give it time.

                            • 2 votes
                            #7.4 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:00 PM EDT

                            "When mass reaches the speed of light all of it turns into energy"

                            (Sigh.) It doesn't work like that. The closer you get to the speed of light, the harder it becomes to get still closer. It's like trying to climb over a mountain that gets steeper and closer to perfectly vertical, the higher you get. You never reach the peak. (and yet that doesn't mean there isn't 'another side,' but that's still speculative.) Simple acceleration won't do it, no matter how much energy you have to propel you.

                            If there were some 'magic' velocity that's close to c, where you 'turn into energy,' there would always be some other frame of reference (in this case, someone slightly slower than you) where this magic velocity is maybe just a thousand miles per hour.

                            So what is it?

                            Lightspeed itself, however, will always be measured the same, by all observers, no matter how fast they're going, even someone who, with respect to me, might already be at .999999 c. But if he shines that flashlight ahead of him...he'' measure it leaving at c. Period.

                            • 2 votes
                            #7.5 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 5:23 PM EDT

                            Based on "Project Daedalus", it is believed that a nuclear pulse propulsion spaceraft could achieve relativistic speeds, of > 1/10 c, so a trip to the Alpha Centauri system would take roughly 40 years.

                            At these speeds, wouldn't the effects of time dilation make it feel like < 40 years had passed? Still seems like it would have to be a one-way ticket. An unmanned probe would make much more sense.

                            • 1 vote
                            #7.6 - Fri Sep 2, 2011 10:55 AM EDT

                            Futuristically speaking...How about the idea of initially sending a craft into space that is capable of propelling another craft that is large enough itself to propel another craft and so on and so on??.... Because there is nothing to slow any of them down (aside from other meteors and what not floating in space), each one would gain in speed excelling to its top speed and propelling the next craft on forward. Now...where the first craft may gain , for example, 20000mph (or whatever it is they can reach in speeds), the next would launch/propel out going 20000 but added on to the already travelling speeds of 20000 to equal 2x's the intial speed. Each one faster and faster!!

                            Reaching any speed is possible in space, it's all a matter of time and money. Hopefully they put enough time into the idea of Space Brakes!!!

                              #7.7 - Wed Sep 7, 2011 4:33 PM EDT

                              the speed of light cant be broken... but fortunately quantum mechanics has ways around it. ex if we can find a way to alter mass then the equation e=mc^2 changes and the speed barrier is then flexible(might not be possible but we don't know where mass comes from yet),

                              also wormholes which are a more viable option can be produced the only problem is that the theoretical models need two ends so either a second wormhole would need to be created by a ship that travels near light speed or we would need to find a different solution, possibly using the ability for atoms to instantaneously travel to our advantage.

                                #7.8 - Wed Sep 7, 2011 10:49 PM EDT
                                Reply

                                I find this kind of stuff remarkable, but a part of me cringes at the possibility of us visiting and possibly inhabiting another planet. We can't even do what we need to do to save this one. We'd destroy another planet just as quickly.

                                • 3 votes
                                Reply#8 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:09 PM EDT

                                Yes, but we really need to colonize another planet soon, since we've pretty much run out of aboriginal people to enslave, rape, and slaughter on this one.

                                  #8.1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:41 PM EDT

                                  Such is the nature of our species, to over breed and destroy our home. Time for us to act like the bees and swarm to another planet, and another...

                                  Do you think we are a virus?

                                  • 1 vote
                                  #8.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:17 AM EDT

                                  Excellent observation Unit Toad.

                                    #8.3 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 8:55 AM EDT

                                    The tech we will develop to GET to that new planet should enable us to have a very small impact on the environment of the new world. Also, if we are able to settle MULTIPLE planets, we can keep the population each to an easily manageable level.

                                    • 1 vote
                                    #8.4 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:49 AM EDT

                                    Actually, as long as those MULTIPLE planets contain sufficient resources, the population on each is more likely to expand exponentially until THOSE planetary resources become a problem to the inhabitants. What makes you think that future human populations on other worlds will be able to control themselves any better than the present world population can?

                                      #8.5 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 4:40 PM EDT

                                      I know this is totally off topic, but I would imagine that if we were to settle on multiple planets, we would evolve differently on each planet. In several hundred years, we would probably be totally different from each other, depending on which planet we lived on.

                                        #8.6 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 7:01 PM EDT

                                        Carrieberry - It would take more than several hundred years, maybe after 1,000 years or so we'd start seeing some different adaptations.

                                        TM - Depending on the initial colony size, it would take a few thousand years to match Earth's current population. The tech we will have discovered and invented within that time frame would be quite incomprehensible to our minds now. Also, planets like the one described in the article would be able to support a much larger maximum population.

                                        • 1 vote
                                        #8.7 - Fri Sep 2, 2011 8:27 AM EDT
                                        Reply

                                        So, at 186,000 miles per second, it will only take 20 years to get there...... why are we wasting money on this stuff?

                                        Well, it'd actually take 36 years to get there, at least if you're talking about the extrasolar planet HD 85512 b, which is what the article was originally about. But regardless, "we" probably aren't funding much, if any, of this research, since only about 20% of the scientific research conducted in American colleges and universities is supported by the National Science Foundation, which is the main tax payer-supported source of research funding available to scientists. As it is, the NSF's annual budget (2010 fiscal year) was $6.87 billion, and with that relatively small amount (in terms of government budgets) it manages to support research in just about every field conceivable, including computer science, medicine, and education. By contrast, the defense budget for the same period was 100 times that -- $685.1 billion. So, ask yourself a question: "are my priorities straight? Am I really going to get all in a huff over a relatively paltry amount being spent on science research and overlook the vastly greater amount being spent on wars of questionable necessity and weapons development whose sole purpose is to find new ways of killing other humans?" Besides, part of what makes life worth living is discovering as much as we can about who we are, which includes understanding what our place and origin are in the universe.

                                        So, lighten up, pal. Broaden your horizon. And if you're really upset about government spending, pick your battles a little more wisely.

                                        • 4 votes
                                        Reply#9 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:12 PM EDT

                                        Although, beyond a defense budget having the purpose of designing weapons simply to kill other human beings, it's primarily used to prevent wars. And to save people from being killed, like in WWII. This has probably saved all of us from disaster a time or two. Think of the defense budget as part of the scientific research funding budget, because without it we wouldn't be able to conduct any research.

                                          #9.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:33 AM EDT

                                          If we stopped going to war all the time maybe we could use some of that money for more research funding, both through the NSF and defense research.

                                            #9.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:58 AM EDT

                                            One reason we're doing nothing is we don't know what to do. It takes a *lot* of energy to accelerate a mass to anywhere near the speed of light. If I'm figuring it right, it would take almost a year at 1g (which would be a nice rate of acceleration, since it would give you the equivalent of Earth gravity for that year); and of course a similar time to decelerate at the other end.

                                            The Saturn V that took men to the Moon had a first stage burn of about 2 1/2 minutes, a second stage burn of six minutes, and a third stage burn of around nine minutes (actually two burns adding up to that). Granted, the acceleration during those burns was considerably more than 1g, but there's a big difference between thrusting for 17 minutes or so, and thrusting for two years. The amount of mass you'd expel through the engines over the space of that year would be enormous--and of course you'd have to accelerate much of that mass for a large part of that year, so you could use it later in the year (not to mention the mass you'd use to decelerate), unless you could somehow suck in mass as you fly along through interstellar space (a Bussard ram jet, for instance).

                                            Obviously you're not going to get there with our present kind of rockets, and nobody really knows what kind of engine would get you there.

                                            All that said, I agree that if we never try, we'll never succeed. But I suspect it would be best to first figure out how to get people around our solar system, where the problems--while great--are not so overwhelming.

                                              #9.3 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:21 PM EDT

                                              All that said, I agree that if we never try, we'll never succeed. But I suspect it would be best to first figure out how to get people around our solar system, where the problems--while great--are not so overwhelming.

                                              Yup, this would be the logical first step. I think the next necessity on the path to traveling to new systems is larger and larger amounts of zero G research. The engines we'll be using to get there will be operating in space, they need to be tested in space. Much easier to have the entire facility that is going to make the things already in orbit, rather than sending each new design up on a rocket.

                                                #9.4 - Fri Sep 2, 2011 8:34 AM EDT
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                                                If the plant on the edge of habitability is 3.6 times the mass of Earth, what is its surface gravity?

                                                  Reply#10 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:15 PM EDT

                                                  If the plant on the edge of habitability is 3.6 times the mass of Earth, what is its surface gravity?

                                                  We'd really need to know the radius of the planet in order to calculate that, since the acceleration due to gravity is equal to (GM)/R^2, where G is the gravitational constant (6.67384 x 10^-11 m^3/kgs^2), M is the mass of the planet in question in kilograms, and R is the radius of the planet in meters. If we assumed it had the same radius as the earth, its gravitational acceleration would be simply 3.6 times that of Earth. More likely, however, it will have a radius that is commensurately larger in proportion to its mass (assuming it's similarly made of rocky material), so we could expect its gravity to be reasonably similar to that of Earth.

                                                  • 2 votes
                                                  #10.1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:26 PM EDT

                                                  dubina (which means "cudgel" or "blockhead" in Russian): Terra Incognita had the right idea, however, he was a little off in specifics. If we assume the same (or very similar) mean density as Earth, then its total volume would be 3.6 times that of Earth 1.53 times that of Earth but, because radius (and diameter) goes up only as the cube root of volume, then its radius would only be about 1.53 times that of Earth. Because gravitation acceleration decreases as the inverse square of radius but increases linearly with total mass. this results in a final figure of about 1.53 times the surface gravity of the earth, or about 15.0 meters per second per second versus Earth's surface gravity of about 9.8 meters per second per second. Mathematically, this is the same as saying that, given identical density, surface gravity increases in proportion to the cube root of the total mass.

                                                    #10.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:02 AM EDT

                                                    oops, there was a serious typo in that last post, here is corrected copy:

                                                    Terra Incognita had the right idea, however, he was a little off in specifics. If we assume the same (or very similar) mean density as Earth, then its total volume would be 3.6 times that of Earth, but because radius (and diameter) goes up only as the cube root of volume, then its radius would only be about 1.53 times that of Earth. Because gravitational acceleration decreases as the inverse square of radius but increases linearly with total mass. this results in a final figure of about 1.53 times the surface gravity of the earth, or about 15.0 meters per second per second versus Earth's surface gravity of about 9.8 meters per second per second. Mathematically, this is the same as saying that, given identical density, surface gravity increases in proportion to the cube root of the total mass.

                                                      #10.3 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:15 AM EDT

                                                      Exactly, but I wasn't "off" in the specifics, since I didn't labor to mention them. I wanted merely to drive home the point that for a mass only 3.6 times that of Earth (assuming similar planetary composition) that the acceleration due to gravity wouldn't be too dissimilar, in contrast to what others (e.g., Arkansas Annie at #11.0) had been erroneously asserting.

                                                      • 1 vote
                                                      #10.4 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:49 AM EDT

                                                      What I didn't see in the Kaltenegger, et al. set was the need for planetary system "sweeper," as Jupiter provides in our system. A large central planet keeps all the system formation remnants and debris (meteors, asteroids, comets and other objects) from continually impacting the inner planets. A relatively stable planet surface appears to be requisite for an opportunity to life to develop.

                                                      • 2 votes
                                                      #10.5 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:55 AM EDT

                                                      So a planet with a lot more surface area and close to the same grav as Earth? My mind races at the possibilities! Sign me up to for that colonization effort, I want to go explore that rock!

                                                      • 1 vote
                                                      #10.6 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:53 AM EDT

                                                      Dubina, here's what the researchers say about surface gravity: "We assume that the planet's mass is similar to its minimum mass here, what leads to a surface gravity of about 1.4g for HD 58812 b, scaling its gravity with the mass and volume of a rocky planet." They also say a somewhat higher gravity, say 2.5 g, would not significantly affect its placement in the star's habitable zone.

                                                      I guess that means that a 200-pound person would feel as if he or she weighed 280 pounds. (It also means I should be losing some weight.)

                                                      • 3 votes
                                                      #10.7 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:17 PM EDT

                                                      @Alan

                                                      I wonder if maybe the people who estimate habitability should take surface gravity more into account. We might be able to extract water and fuel for heating and/or cooling, but I wouldn't care to make a 30 light year trek to be eternally heavy.

                                                        #10.8 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 3:57 PM EDT

                                                        Or, on second thought, I might get used to it and end up looking like Conan?

                                                          #10.9 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 4:01 PM EDT

                                                          Let's see...Pandora, big, tall blue people. Pandora must have been smaller than Earth? But humans and big tall blue people moved as though they were subject to 1 g. Sigorney Weaver wasn't muscular like Ahnold.

                                                          Cameron's screenwriters should have been more astute.

                                                          Sigh. It is no fun to know stuff.

                                                            #10.10 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 4:15 PM EDT

                                                            Until we get a peek at how life develops on other planets, it would be hard to say exactly how gravity affects height. How low does the gravity have to be before we become Na'vi-tall? Then there are other things to consider. For instance, some dinosaurs were huge, and they lived on the same planet we do. The difference in the dinos' case was oxygen concentration, or so I've heard.

                                                              #10.11 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 5:07 PM EDT

                                                              @ThaPyngwyn

                                                              If so, we will not say soon. I, personally, will never know or say. Alas. But fun to think about.

                                                              Anyone who Disneylands on a large planet 30 light years from Earth will, by necessity, have been incubated along the way, probably at some point before Disneylanding, born in a high-g environment to be ready for what might soon be in store. Thus, mission planners would have to know and accomodate the immigrant's (unEarthly) bioligical needs and physical characteristics along the way.

                                                              We may not say soon, but someone will have to sort that out before we go.

                                                                #10.12 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 7:59 PM EDT

                                                                Dubina - Actually Pandora's gravity was weaker than Earth, which is why that colonel ( the one with the scars on his face ) was lifting a crap load of weight (he comments about the weak gravity). And yes, if you lived in the constant higher gravity environment, your body would adapt to it.

                                                                  #10.13 - Fri Sep 2, 2011 8:30 AM EDT
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                                                                  This planet is at least 3.6 times as massive as Earth, according to the report. That means it must have a crushing gravity. So unless our descendents come up with anti-gravity and can apply it to habitats, nobody's going to colonize this world, even if we figure out some way to get there.

                                                                    Reply#11 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:20 PM EDT

                                                                    Wrong. Read my previous post. Its surface gravity is most likely no more than 1.5 times that of the earth. In other words, if you weigh 160 Lbs here, you'd weigh 240 Lbs there. That might be tiresome but hardly "crushing".

                                                                    • 2 votes
                                                                    #11.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:07 AM EDT

                                                                    And you'd also adapt over time to the gravity there, though it may require some additional consideration for any craft entering the atmosphere.

                                                                    • 1 vote
                                                                    #11.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:54 AM EDT

                                                                    The Unit Toad's prediction is in line with what the researchers are saying.

                                                                    • 2 votes
                                                                    #11.3 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:18 PM EDT

                                                                    Yes Alan You Are Correct, But Like You said In A previous post, it would surly be a good workout for some of us to lose a little weight. hahaha LOL

                                                                    • 1 vote
                                                                    #11.4 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 7:36 PM EDT
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                                                                    This place sounds more like the planet in Alien than anything else.

                                                                      Reply#12 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:26 PM EDT

                                                                      36 light years?

                                                                      That means they are now watching Welcome back Kotter and All in the Family; we'd better leave them alone.

                                                                      • 2 votes
                                                                      Reply#13 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:32 PM EDT

                                                                      Yea, but it also means that they've seen "I Love Lucy" reruns several times over. I figure that there is an invasion force on its way as we speak. I'm sure they want to destroy every living creature on the planet.

                                                                        #13.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:38 PM EDT
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                                                                        Getting there is easy. Just properly configure the matter-antimatter engines and the dilithium crystals.

                                                                        • 2 votes
                                                                        Reply#14 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:36 PM EDT

                                                                        60 years ago, they were discussing whether humans could withstand passing the speed of sound, now they are discussing hypersonic weapons. While I don't agree with interfereing in others affairs, our defense industry has brought us many wonders, most of which save American lives or don't put them in harms way at all. Hopefully, they will be given the opportunity to develop the technology needed to travel this far.

                                                                        I find it amazing that Sci-fi has brought about amazing advances that the writers never get credit for. Like the tricorder in Star Trek. If you don't live in a box, there is an app for that.

                                                                        • 2 votes
                                                                        #14.1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:56 PM EDT
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                                                                        Considering the direction that supposed human beings on this planet have taken, sign me up!

                                                                        • 1 vote
                                                                        Reply#15 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:36 PM EDT

                                                                        When they find a planet that is REALLY Earth like let me know. Until then it's all BS.

                                                                          Reply#16 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:50 PM EDT

                                                                          With or without the a-holes?

                                                                          • 3 votes
                                                                          #16.1 - Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:56 PM EDT

                                                                          Jack, you are wrong! When we DO find a planet that is REALLY like Earth, then not only is it still all BS, but the BS will have in fact DOUBLED.

                                                                          • 2 votes
                                                                          #16.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:10 AM EDT
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                                                                          It may be a habitable planet but even with our current pace of increasing technology we may never actually break the light speed barrier. I would like to visit an alien planet but I doubt humans will be leaving our solar system for a few hundred years.

                                                                            Reply#17 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:47 AM EDT

                                                                            Who cares if we can't reach it! Just start broadcasting signals in that direction. We'll have to wait 40 years (minimum) for a response, assuming they're listening but how incredible would it be if something out there answered!

                                                                              #17.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:15 AM EDT

                                                                              Forty years later:

                                                                              "We're sorry, the number you have dialed is no longer in service."

                                                                                #17.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:27 PM EDT
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                                                                                So we can continue to act like a bunch of locusts and mess up this planet so it becomes uninhabitable.

                                                                                  Reply#18 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:56 AM EDT

                                                                                  How about this idea, pack up all of the tea party infested republican party, a "pest", on this planet, and send then "over there"?, since our space program has hit rock bottom, put them on a Russian missile, might take them a bit longer, but who cares.

                                                                                    Reply#19 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 12:57 AM EDT

                                                                                    Just send them to the moon instead.

                                                                                      #19.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:11 AM EDT
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                                                                                      Silly exercises when we have enough problems on planet Earth to last us millenia.

                                                                                      • 1 vote
                                                                                      Reply#20 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:12 AM EDT

                                                                                      Comparing interstellar light-speed travel through the radiation bath of the cosmos is far different than jumping in a boat and sailing off to parts unknown. The Laws of Physics weren't working against Columbus like they would against those attempting to find a habitable planet somewhere light years away.

                                                                                      And even if we found "habitable" planets, we need to exist in something close to our gravity experience, with our mix of H2O and air to breathe, resources, with a steady and temperate climate between 45 to 85 degrees, with the ability to grow food we can eat. if we find everything but discover that summer rolls around and lasts the equivalent of 7 earth years at 145 degrees F, followed by "winter" for 7 years at 10 below - that just ain't going to work.

                                                                                      This ain't Star Trek where every planet has air, paper mache rocks, and everyone speaks English. (Never did understand that last one. The TV writers just punted and said, "I dunno why they all speak English. They just do."

                                                                                      • 1 vote
                                                                                      Reply#21 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:21 AM EDT

                                                                                      As cool as I think the idea sounds, colonizing other planets will never happen. If a crew were to be sent to this planet, they would basically be sent out on their own. Everyone has been talking about how long people would take to physically get there, but what about the issue of communicating with Earth? The Apollo astronauts had to wait several minutes for a radio signal to travel from their capsule to Houston, for Houston to respond, and then for the response signal to travel to their capsule. The people in a ship travelling light years from Earth might have to wait years or even decades for simple communications to travel back and forth. It simply makes the idea of interplanetary colonization impossible. Unfortunately.

                                                                                        Reply#22 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:33 AM EDT

                                                                                        The communications delay on Apollo lunar missions was a few seconds, not minutes.

                                                                                          #22.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:20 PM EDT

                                                                                          In addition to ChrisMcK's correction, yes, it will take 2N years for communications to go back and forth if you're N light-years from Earth. But that has nothing to do with inter*planetary* colonization, where the distance are on the order of light-minutes, or light-hours at most. It's inter*stellar* travel that would put you light-years from home.

                                                                                          All that said, I don't see why even multi-year delays would prevent colonization. You just have to control the spaceship locally, not remotely. (What kind of a spaceship that would be is a different question!)

                                                                                            #22.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:32 PM EDT
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                                                                                            Even if it was found habitable who's to say its not already inhabited? The way the world has operated for century's, if we were to go there it would be a galactic Columbus like mission. Tell the inhabitants (if there are any) that we are their friend when in reality we just want to steal their land. In this case planet. Humanity has to grow up before we start looking for distant celestial destinations.

                                                                                            • 2 votes
                                                                                            Reply#23 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 1:53 AM EDT

                                                                                            Humanity has grown up, at least a little, since the time of Columbus. Think of the collective social progress we've made from 1492 to 2011. While there would always be some danger of certain elements on Earth wanting to colonize and enslave an inhabited planet, it would be the duty of the entire human race to prevent our explorations into space from going in that direction. By now I think we've realized many, but probably not all, of the evils of which we are capable.

                                                                                            • 1 vote
                                                                                            #23.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 6:15 PM EDT

                                                                                            Possibly. But given that intelligent life has existed for only tens of thousands of years out of the Earth's billions of years, it's far more likely that there is no intelligent life on this planet.

                                                                                              #23.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:34 PM EDT
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                                                                                              Comment author avatarMatt-2631617Restored

                                                                                              Unfortunately, humans will not live long enough to get to the technological level needed to leave this world. I predict this because of a disease we have called Islam. Eventually, maybe not in a few years or so, but eventually, Islamic terrorists, who have zero respect for ANY living thing, including themselves (watch them kill themselves daily; fricking backwards, 6th century mind dwelling morons), will eventually get their hands on some weapon or weapons and clearly will use them without so much as a car in the world. So my prediction is we all have less than 50 or 100 years at most; unless we wipe out every last stinking piece of sh&t Muslim. The 'righteous' say absolutely nothing critical of the 'few' (my as*!) fanatics and so they are all guilty through support and collusion.

                                                                                                Reply#24 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:11 AM EDT

                                                                                                Calm down and take your meds

                                                                                                • 4 votes
                                                                                                #24.1 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:18 AM EDT

                                                                                                Matt-2631617 have you ever met a Islamic terrorist? Yeah me either. Do a little research and realize that many things don't add up. Start with 9/11. It totally looked orchestrated. The media can paint even you as a terrorist and get the whole country to believe it.

                                                                                                  #24.2 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 10:36 PM EDT

                                                                                                  And how do Islamic terrorists differ from Christian terrorists, like The Tea Party?

                                                                                                  One God, one delusion. Samey-samey-same.

                                                                                                    #24.3 - Mon Sep 5, 2011 5:31 PM EDT
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                                                                                                    considering the number of stars in our galaxy the odds are pretty good that there are beings on distant worlds looking for us the same way we're looking for them. Or perhaps we're already being observed. If we are, I wonder what they think of us...

                                                                                                    • 3 votes
                                                                                                    Reply#25 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:19 AM EDT

                                                                                                    they think where ugly idiots... and the "howdy-do" (old TV show) is boring them to death

                                                                                                      #25.1 - Wed Sep 7, 2011 10:52 PM EDT
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                                                                                                      IDIOTS! We have a Stargate!

                                                                                                      Duh!

                                                                                                        Reply#26 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:27 AM EDT

                                                                                                        Problem is.. how would we ever be able to get there? Assuming we could invent a drive that could achieve 50% of light speed, it'll take 72 years to get there. I suppose we could fire off a probe with such a theoretically positive but yet-to-be-invented super-engine and have it report back to us on conditions on the planet in 72+36 years (72 years to get there, 36 years to get a signal back to us). Or if we were to send people, they - or assuming no cryogenic suspension, their grandkids - would be able to there and back in 144 years.

                                                                                                        It's really difficult to imagine any public financing model that could pay for such a mission. .. or any potential returns from colonization or resource extraction that might give such a private sector venture a workable investment return.

                                                                                                        That's the problem with space travel. the business case doesn't make any sense. Until it does, no human will ever see an extrasolar planet.. short of the invention of cheap, energy-efficient superluminal travel, assuming that is even possible within the laws of physics.

                                                                                                        Mars we could do.. maybe Titan.. but nothing much further out than that.

                                                                                                        And that, my friends, is why it's unlikely we'll ever meet an alien from outer space, face to face. The same laws of economics and physics that would constrain us from getting to them, constrain them from getting to us.

                                                                                                          Reply#27 - Thu Sep 1, 2011 2:29 AM EDT
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