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  • Join the next galaxy quest

    Galaxy Zoo 2
    The Galaxy Zoo 2 Web site asks Internet users to put galaxies in a series of
    categories. For example, which of these galaxies are disks seen edge-on? If you
    picked the ones at upper left, upper middle and lower middle, you're correct.

    Over the past couple of years, more than 200,000 Internet users have been transformed into galaxy zookeepers. They've been pushing spirals and ellipticals into their separate cages, and occasionally stumbling upon cosmic critters odd enough to generate headlines as well as scientific papers.

    Now the researchers behind the Galaxy Zoo are asking their citizen's army to take on an even trickier task - a grand roundup that they hope will produce a "Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxies." And you can join in as well, after just a few minutes of online training.

    Astronomers started up the first phase of Galaxy Zoo merely to classify a million galaxies from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey's database, marking them merely as elliptical (fuzzy-ball-shaped) or spiral (swirling-arm-shaped). The Zoo's crew clicked their way through the galaxies over and over again, harnessing the wisdom of crowds to do the sort of visual-classification job that computers just aren't that good at.

    The project was so popular that it crashed the system on the first day. It became even more popular when one of the Galaxy Zoo's users, Dutch schoolteacher Hanny van Arkel, spotted a curious green blob in one of the snapshots she was supposed to classify. The object was nicknamed Hanny's Voorwerp, Dutch for "Hanny's Object," and it spawned a headline-grabbing whodunit tale. (A passing galaxy and a black hole were fingered as the likely perpetrators).

    So far, Galaxy Zoo has spawned four published scientific papers and at least four more that are in the works. And that's just the beginning.

    For Galaxy Zoo 2, the organizers are asking users to dig a little more deeply into the sorting game for 250,000 of the brightest, most interesting galaxies in the database: Is the galaxy you're looking at a barred spiral? How many spiral arms does it have? Are you seeing it edge-on?

    When astronomers analyze the results, they're likely to find patterns that will shed new light on the distribution, evolution and behavior of galaxies in a variety of cosmic settings. And you never know: There just might be a "Voorwerp" out there with your name on it.

    One of the project's founders, Oxford astronomer Chris Lintott, told me in an e-mail that this month's launch of Galaxy Zoo 2 went much more smoothly than Galaxy Zoo 1. Here's what he had to say:

    "We've been pleased and pleasantly surprised with the response to our launch, with a million 'clicks' being recorded each day since then. Dr. Arfon Smith, our technical lead, has been working hard to make sure that the site copes with the traffic, but apart from one minor outage we're doing well. It's a far cry from Galaxy Zoo 1 in July 2007 when the sudden enthusiasm almost killed us. We now have well over 200,000 participants in the project, which is great news because the accuracy of the classification depends on the number of people who take part.

    "All new visitors have to do to take part is read the tutorial posted at www.galaxyzoo.org and then dive into classification. I would think it would only take five to ten minutes to get through the tutorial, and then maybe 30 seconds on average to classify a galaxy.

    "Our forums are at www.galaxyzooforum.org (or linked from the main site) and they've been full of people sharing their discoveries; the site itself incorporates an 'Is That Odd' option so that users can alert the team to anything noteworthy."

    ... And speaking of odd galaxies, the interacting galaxies known as Arp 274 are leading in the "People's Choice" vote to select a future target for the Hubble Space Telescope. Voting has been under way for a month, and you have just two more days more to cast your ballot. The winner will be announced on Monday. The Hubble team expects to unveil the winner's picture during April's "100 Hours of Astronomy" celebration.

    You don't have to wait that long to see winning images of the cosmos: We've just published February's "Month in Space Pictures" roundup, which includes some real stunners from the Hubble team and other sources. Here are links to more information and bigger versions of each picture, suitable for printing or putting up as computer wallpaper:

    I'll be out of the office next week, so the flow of postings on Cosmic Log will slow down to a trickle until I'm back at my desk on March 9.

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  • The race to save our languages

    Ironbound Films
    Linguist Gregory Anderson, left, discusses counting systems with Oranchu
    Gomongo, who speaks India's endangered Sora language.

    The Indiana Jones movies make it look as if the archaeologists have all the fun - but if you really want to see lost worlds and uncover cultural riches, you should think about becoming a linguist. At least that's the message I got from "The Linguists," a documentary that makes the leap from the film-festival circuit to the airwaves on PBS tonight.

    The 65-minute film traces the exploits of Swarthmore College professor K. David Harrison and Greg Anderson, director of the Oregon-based Living Tongues Institute for Endangered Languages, as they listen to (and sometimes dance with) the natives in remote areas of Siberia, India and Bolivia.

    In all three places, local languages are being crowded out by more widely spoken tongues. Armed with video cameras and computers, Harrison and Anderson are racing to document the endangered languages before they fade away completely - and, if they're lucky, figure out strategies to avert extinction.

    Harrison estimates that somewhere around 7,000 languages are being spoken today, with an  endangered language dying out every couple of weeks on average. "We don't know the exact pace of extinction. ... It's often very hard to pinpoint where or who the last speaker is," he told me Wednesday.

    How languages encode local knowledge
    One culture's language usually fades away because it's suppressed or devalued by an encroaching culture. Siberia's Chulym language is a prime example. For decades, the kids have been schooled in Russian, and now only the elders speak the local language. The filmmakers follow Harrison and Anderson as they go from one rough-hewn house to another, looking for Chulym speakers who could still tell them the words and the tales of bygone days.

    Ironbound Films
    Nina Tarlaganova, left, one of the last speakers
    of the Chulym language in Siberia, listens to
    Swarthmore College linguist K. David Harrison.


    When the linguists began their work, several years ago, there were nine or 10 native Chulym speakers left. Now there are just five or six. "That language is definitely going to go extinct," Harrison said.

    It's a shame, in part because the language is so darn interesting. A whole sentence worth of English ("I went out moose hunting") can be compressed in Chulym to just one word ("Aalychtypiskem"). Harrison said Chulym encodes a vast amount of local knowledge unknown to most outsiders.

    "For example, they had a lunar calendar that was very precise," he said. "It was actually more precise than our solar calendar, because it didn't need to be reset every four years with a leap day."

    A language's medicinal secrets
    And if you don't think the beauty of an exotic language is enough to justify its preservation, consider the case of Bolivia's Kallawaya language, spoken by shamans living around Lake Titicaca. Only about 100 people understand Kallawaya nowadays, but it is the lingua franca for talking about the region's medicinal plants and other concoctions. Unlocking the language's secrets could lead to new cures - such as the medicinal tea that Anderson was offered when he became sick as a dog.

    "Generally we don't like to commodify languages," Harrison said, "but it's useful to have something to point to and say we can give an economic calculation of why it's valued."

    Knowing how to speak Kallawaya is indeed a valuable skill - essentially, the Andean equivalent of a medical degree. "It's prestigious, it leads to a profession, it gives access to knowledge that has economic value," Harrison said. For that reason, the language appears to be holding its own.

    "The lesson is that it's really all about linguistic pride and investing a sense of worth and value into your language. With a shift in attitudes, we could create a world in which multiple languages are valued," Harrison said.

    The tribe has spoken ... but for how much longer?
    One of the most exotic locales for "The Linguists" is in the jungles of India, where Harrison and Anderson tried to blend in with a tribe speaking the Sora language. Getting into the tribal lands is an adventure in itself, requiring special permission and official escorts.

    It's almost humorous to watch a couple of white guys singing and the dancing with the villagers - and drinking more palm wine than maybe they should. The scene turns a little scary at one point when the white guys have trouble figuring out just how much of a "gift" they should hand over to the tribe's chieftain.

    But once they get down to documenting the language, the linguists discover something that makes them forget all about the culture clash: It turns out that the Sora counting system blends two counting systems, base-12 and base-20. For example, the number 93 in our base-10 system is referred to as "four-twenty-twelve-one" in Sora.

    "We should try to figure out what these different ways of knowing math are before they all get flattened out and vanish," Harrison says in the film.

    Harrison told me that about 300,000 people speak Sora today, so it's not in imminent danger of extinction. However, like as many as half of the world's languages, Sora is becoming endangered. Younger generations of Sora speakers are being assimilated by the dominant Hindi/English-speaking culture. "It's a contracting language," Harrison said.

    In the film, Harrison marvels at his profession. "I don't see how you can justify devoting your research career to the syntax of French - a language with millions of speakers - when the skills that you possess could help document a language that is going to go extinct in your lifetime," he says.

    During our conversation this week, Harrison admitted that he's gotten some grief from French-language specialists over that remark. "No offense to French," he said, "but we are in a bit of a crisis mode right now. We're seeing the world's linguistic diversity disappearing right before our eyes, so I have an interest in recruiting people."

    Swarthmore College linguist K. David Harrison discusses his work and the
    film "The Linguists" with Mark Molaro on "The Alcove."


    He also has an interest in keeping linguistic diversity as vibrant as possible, in part by devising ways to keep languages alive online. "When languages are shut out of technologies, when they have no presence on the Internet, when they can't be typed out, that lowers their prestige. ... We try to help languages cross the digital divide," Harrison said.

    For the speakers of an endangered language, the mere fact that someone cares enough to do something for them can breathe new life into the old words - as the linguists discovered when they brought their laptops back out into the field and showed "The Linguists" to the people portrayed in the film.

    "There's the joy of seeing themselves on screen and being validated in a way," Harrison said. "The idea that the outside world is going to become aware of them, that their stories are being told to the world, is very powerful. They've been moved to tears, some of them."


    Check the schedule for your PBS station to find out when "The Linguists" will air. The film's producer-directors are Seth Kramer, Daniel A. Miller and Jeremy Newberger of Ironbound Films. This archived article tells you more about the perils facing the world's languages. To learn more about Harrison's work, check out his book, "When Languages Die."

  • Obama's energy boost

    Jim Watson / AFP - Getty Images file
    President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden inspect a solar array on the roof
    of the Denver Museum of Nature and Science during a Feb. 17 appearance.

    When a politician starts talking about renewable energy and carbon caps, pollster Stan Greenberg usually sees what he calls a "glazing-over" moment - as in voters' eyes glazing over with disinterest. But when President Obama talked about how America had to take back the lead in energy innovation, that moment didn't come.

    Instead, Democrats as well as Republicans picked up on Obama's call for energy independence, and revved up the debate on the morning after.

    Energy was the first of three top priorities Obama put forward on Tuesday during his first presidential address to Congress, coming before health care and education. The initiatives he cited have been mentioned previously, but what was new this time was that he cast those initiatives as a national crusade, before a national audience.

    "I do not accept a future where the jobs and industries of tomorrow take root beyond our borders - and I know you don't, either," Obama said. "It is time for America to lead again."

    Greenberg said that sentiment resonated strongly among Republicans as well as Democrats, based on a viewer-dial poll conducted with a focus group of 50 voters in Las Vegas. Such polls are far from precise: The survey participants merely turn dials during the speech to reflect how positive or negative they feel about what the speaker is saying. But the lines on the chart do provide an instant read of how key phrases are received.

    "There was a very strong response to energy independence, and acting on it," Greenberg told me during a post-address teleconference. "We've seen this before, earlier in the campaign and during the debates, but it's clearly very strong."

    The surprising thing for Greenberg was that it stayed strong even when Obama dived into the details.

    "I watched to see when he talked about renewable energy and carbon caps ... the lines did not go down," he said. "They were already fairly high on energy stuff, but they did not go down. Usually that stuff produces glazing over."

    Here's a rundown on some of that stuff from the speech, with free reality checks included:

    Obama: "We know the country that harnesses the power of clean, renewable energy will lead the 21st century. And yet, it is China that has launched the largest effort in history to make their economy energy-efficient."

    China hasn't exactly been the poster child for clean energy over the past two decades - its rapid economic climb led to serious pollution problems. But in the past couple of years the Chinese have been pressing on with an energy-efficiency campaign that is projected to result in hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of construction upgrades by 2020. In the automotive sector, China has been setting progressively higher standards for auto fuel economy and pursuing a years-long hybrid-electric vehicle development plan. Will your next electric car come from Shenzhen, or Detroit? 

    Obama: "We invented solar technology, but we've fallen behind countries like Germany and Japan in producing it."

    Germany's renewable-energy subsidy program has created the world's largest market for solar cells, while the Japanese government's incentive program turned that country into a global solar powerhouse. (However, it lost ground to Germany when the incentives were discontinued.)

    Obama: "New plug-in hybrids roll off our assembly lines, but they will run on batteries made in Korea." 

    Last month, GM said the all-electric Chevy Volt will use lithium-ion battery cells that are made by LG Chem in Korea and then shipped to Michigan for assembly into battery packs. LG was chosen because no U.S. supplier could provide the flat cells in the volumes needed.

    Obama: "Thanks to our recovery plan, we will double this nation's supply of renewable energy in the next three years."

    Doubling renewable energy by 2012 is, shall we say, a stretch goal. Statistics from the Department of Energy indicate that roughly 10 percent of the nation's energy came from renewable sources last year, and the most commonly cited target is to get that figure up to 25 percent by 2025.

    The renewable goal might be achieved sooner if utilities get on board with plans to generate more power from renewable resources - perhaps in response to federally mandated standards. Legislation on that issue could surface sometime in the next couple of months, and the idea is already sparking criticism.

    Obama: "We will soon lay down thousands of miles of power lines that can carry new energy to cities and towns across this country. And we will put Americans to work making our homes and buildings more efficient so that we can save billions of dollars on our energy bills."

    The recently approved stimulus package provides tens of billions of dollars to boost green infrastructure and upgrade the nation's electricity grid. Just this week, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., signaled that he would introduce legislation to streamline the process for getting long-distance power lines built - an idea that doesn't sit too well with state regulators. (To get a sense of what Obama has in mind, check out this briefing paper from the Center for American Progress, where a lot of the president's big ideas come from.)

    Obama: "But to truly transform our economy, protect our security, and save our planet from the ravages of climate change, we need to ultimately make clean, renewable energy the profitable kind of energy. So I ask this Congress to send me legislation that places a market-based cap on carbon pollution and drives the production of more renewable energy in America. That's what we need."

    A cap-and-trade system for regulating carbon dioxide emissions will probably be the biggest and trickiest job on Obama's energy agenda. The Heritage Foundation calls this "the costliest part of a costly speech." But others argue that even power producers will find a carbon-emission market preferable to out-and-out federal regulation of carbon dioxide emissions. Can the White House pull it off? Over at The Intersection, Chris Mooney predicts that the cap-and-trade bill is going to spark "a hell of a battle."  

    Obama: "And to support that innovation, we will invest $15 billion a year to develop technologies like wind power and solar power; advanced biofuels, clean coal, and more fuel-efficient cars and trucks built right here in America."

    The stimulus package sets aside billions of dollars for research at the Department of Energy, including $400 million to set up a new DARPA-style agency. Going forward, the annual $15 billion for energy research is expected to come out of the money generated by the cap-and-trade system, so there's some uncertainty to that figure. Moreover, some observers say that $15 billion a year just isn't enough to do what needs to be done in the field, and that $50 billion a year would be closer to the mark.

    The Republican response, delivered by Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal just after Obama's speech, touched on conservation and renewable energy. Jindal, who has been touted as a prospect for the 2012 presidential campaign, also addressed a couple of energy sources that Obama didn't mention directly. Unless something was done to change the energy equation, Jindal said, the nation could see the return of last year's high fuel prices.

    Jindal: "To stop that from happening, we need to increase conservation, increase energy efficiency, increase the use of alternative and renewable fuels, increase our use of nuclear power, and increase drilling for oil and gas here at home."

    During last year's campaign, Obama said that nuclear power would have to be part of the solution to the nation's energy woes, and he also eased up on his resistance to offshore drilling. This month, the Interior Department put a hold on a draft plan for expanding offshore drilling - and it's clear that the White House would prefer to shift the focus from fossil-fuel exploration to renewable alternatives such as wind and wave energy.

    Jindal also went after some of the provisions in the stimulus package.

    Jindal: "While some of the projects in the bill make sense, their legislation is larded with wasteful spending. It includes $300 million to buy new cars for the government, $8 billion for high-speed rail projects, such as a 'magnetic levitation' line from Las Vegas to Disneyland, and $140 million for something called 'volcano monitoring.' Instead of monitoring volcanoes, what Congress should be monitoring is the eruption of spending in Washington, D.C. "

    The $300 million has gotten a bad rap from critics who say the money would go to buy "green golf carts." Actually, the provision calls for replacing cars in federal fleets with more fuel-efficient vehicles. Those could include hybrids and plug-ins as well as neighborhood electric vehicles, or NEVs. Yes, some of these NEVs look like golf carts, but they're not for sissies: Just last month, the U.S. Army took delivery of its first NEVs. They're expected to save millions of dollars in fuel costs.

    The $8 billion is aimed at giving a boost to the nation's rail infrastructure, which is currently in sad shape. Yes, the Anaheim-to-Vegas run is one of the projects that has been in the works for years, but many other rail routes will be considered in the competition for funding - including, perhaps, a route that goes through Jindal's home state. Unless he wants to pass up that money, too.

    The most laughable part of Jindal's statement was the reference to "something called 'volcano monitoring.'" As someone who covered Mount St. Helens' eruption and its aftermath, I guess I must know a little bit more about volcano monitoring than Jindal does - including the fact that the nation's seismic networks need an upgrade.

    You don't need to take my word for it, though: We have a whole story that goes into what that $140 million will do. On the scientific silliness scale, Jindal's comments rank right up there with John McCain's planetarium problem and Sarah Palin's fruit-fly kerfluffle.

    Here are a few more eruptions from the scientific blogosphere:

    Update for 7 p.m. ET: Obama also committed a tech gaffe on Tuesday night when he said he was committed to the goal of a retooled, re-imagined auto industry that can compete and win. "Millions of jobs depend on it," he said. "Scores of communities depend on it. And I believe the nation that invented the automobile cannot walk away from it."

    That's probably true - but in this case, the nation we're talking about is Germany, not the United States. Germany's Karl Benz is credited with inventing the automobile as we know it today, in around 1885. Here are a few of the truth-squad tales:

  • Black day for a greener NASA

    NASA
    An artist's conception shows the Orbiting Carbon Observatory in flight.

    A failed launch is never good news, but today's loss of the Orbiting Carbon Observatory is particularly bad news for a space agency in transition.

    The $280 million mission, which apparently went awry due to an equipment malfunction, would have been the perfect showcase for NASA's changing priorities under the Obama administration. The satellite would have provided fresh insights into how carbon is taken out of the atmosphere - and could have led to better climate forecasts as well as new strategies for easing climate shifts.

    President Obama and his aides have stressed climate policy as a top scientific priority - for example, during the Senate confirmation hearing for his science adviser-designate, Harvard physicist John Holdren. Holdren called climate change "the most demanding of all environmental challenges in terms of what will be required of science and technology in order to bring it under control."

    In the past, NASA's leadership has faced criticism for shifting funds from space science to human spaceflight. (Remember the flap that erupted when Administrator Michael Griffin said he wasn't sure climate change was "a problem we must wrestle with"?) Scientists also took the Bush White House to task in 2007 for a worrisome decline in the nation's network of Earth-watching satellites.

    The prospects have brightened since then: Last year, President Bush proposed a $1.1 billion increase in spending on weather and climate monitoring over five years. Obama's stimulus package provided an extra $400 million for NASA science, with the bulk of that money going to climate research missions. In the latest version of a House omnibus spending bill, the science category would get the biggest chunk of NASA's $17.8 billion budget - with the subcategory for Earth science right on top.

    NASA transition team members had been hoping they could point to the Orbital Carbon Observatory as a success story. Now the launch failure is just one more issue for the agency's next administrator to deal with.

    "It comes at a particularly bad time for NASA, in terms of its uncertainty about the direction where it wants to go," said John Logsdon, a space policy expert at the Smithsonian Institution's National Air and Space Museum.

    At the same time, the impact of today's setback shouldn't be overexaggerated. After all, failures come with the territory anytime you're talking about spaceflight. "It is the nature of this business that the reliability of these systems is not 100 percent," Logsdon said.

    In other words, stuff happens.

    Shifts happen as well: This week, Obama is laying out his plans for future federal spending, and in the days ahead, Holdren should be confirmed as science adviser. The next steps on the science and technology front should include firming up the administration's policies on energy and the environment as well as on space spending.

    One high-profile space policy report has urged NASA to boost programs with energy/environment payoffs, even if that means restructuring the human spaceflight program. That has stirred up a fresh round of debate over the space agency's vision. The big picture will eventually have to be sorted out by Obama's yet-to-be-named space chief and a yet-to-be-formed National Space Council.

    Who will the next NASA administrator be? That guessing game has been going on for weeks, focusing at various times on three retired military men: Air Force Gen. Lester Lyles, Air Force Maj. Gen. Scott Gration and Marine Maj. Gen. Charles Bolden Jr. (who is also an ex-astronaut).

    The rumor mill has churned out other names, including that of Steve Isakowitz, the Department of Energy's chief financial officer (and a former NASA official). But there may be still other prospects as well, and it's not clear when Obama will make his choice. "He's got a few other things to worry about," Logsdon deadpanned.

  • Fame's final frontier

    Hulton Archive / Getty Images file
    A black airman gazes skyward
    in a World War II poster.


    The rich and the famous will be lining up for rides when suborbital space tourism finally kicks into gear. But what about the people who made it all possible? XCOR Aerospace's "Legacy Flight" program will send some of those unsung heroes to the final frontier ... for free. Over the weekend, XCOR awarded the program's first ticket to an 89-year-old Tuskegee Airman.

    And that won't be the last ticket issued: XCOR Aerospace spokesman Doug Graham said the California-based company plans to give away as many as three Legacy Flight tickets a year - to be redeemed when its Lynx rocket plane takes to the air, a year or two from now.

    "XCOR's efforts to make spaceflight affordable are made possible only because we have inherited a tradition of freedom and aviation excellence," the company's chief executive officer and co-founder, Jeff Greason, said in a news release issued Saturday. "We established the Legacy Flight program to thank those persons and groups that have helped build this heritage."

    The program is just the latest effort to use future spaceflight as a reward for past service: Other examples include the Teachers in Space program, in which XCOR is also participating, and Virgin Galactic's intention to fly such notables as famed British physicist Stephen Hawking.

    Honoring America's legacy
    XCOR's Legacy Flights are aimed at honoring a wide spectrum of unsung heroes - people who have contributed to aviation, or electronics and engineering, or entrepreneurship, or even the furtherance of freedom in the broadest sense.

    Graham said the fact that the Tuskegee Airmen and Airwomen contributed so much to civil rights as well as America's role in World War II made them the perfect organization to start out with. "The Tuskegee guys were two-fers," he joked.

    The Tuskegee Airmen were black military aviators and crew personnel who signed up for service in World War II even though the Army Air Corps was segregated at that time. "Their outstanding performance in combat paved the way for the 1948 order by President Harry Truman to desegregate the nation's armed services, and this in turn was an important step forward for civil rights within the United States," Greason said.

    XCOR Aerospace
    XCOR Aerospace's chief executive officer, Jeff
    Greason, hands an oversized ticket for a rocket ride
    to Tuskegee Airman Le Roy Gillead.


    Le Roy Gillead, one of the 401 original Tuskegee Airmen, was selected by his fellow veterans as the Legacy Flight recipient. Gillead served as a triple-rated navigator, bombardier and aerial gunner, and was involved in the Freeman Field Mutiny, in which black officers faced court martial for attending a white officers' club.

    The Legacy Flight presentation was made on Saturday at the University of California at Riverside during an annual celebration of the Tuskegee Airmen's legacy. Gillead, who now lives in San Francisco, said he was honored to accept the award on behalf of his comrades.

    "When we volunteered, none of us knew exactly what the future would hold," he said. "I certainly didn't expect it to lead to space."

    Graham said that Gillead's flight date has not yet been determined, and that the 89-year-old would have to go through all the medical testing and training required for his future Lynx flight. XCOR plans to begin flight tests for the Lynx in 2010, with commercial operations due to begin after the successful completion of those tests.

    XCOR and RocketShip Tours opened the ticket window for $95,000 flights on the Lynx just a couple of months ago. The Lynx Mark 1 is designed to take off and land like a regular airplane, and fly as high as 38 miles (61 kilometers). Passengers may not rise to the 100-kilometer height that marks the internationally accepted boundary of outer space - but they will get a front-seat view of the curving earth, much like the view that the astronauts get. They'll also feel a minute or two of weightlessness and a jolt of acceleration that should be thrilling even for an old airman like Gillead.

    Graham said XCOR would be selecting more Legacy Flight recipients going forward. "It's kind of nice if the person being so honored doesn't necessarily have the spare cash to take this trip," he said. "We look at it as making dreams come true."

    For now, Legacy Flight nominations can be sent to Graham via XCOR Aerospace's "Contact Us" page. (Just select "Press Inquiries," include "Legacy Flight" in the subject line, type in your nomination and hit the "Send Feedback" button.)

    Meanwhile, the Teachers in Space effort, organized by the Space Frontier Foundation and the United States Rocket Academy, is in the midst of designing training programs and selecting its first Pathfinder teacher-astronauts. The educators will be given suborbital rides contributed by XCOR and other spaceship builders - that is, once those vehicles enter commercial service. You can follow the process by checking in on the Teachers in Space blog.

    Stephen Hawking in space
    As for Virgin Galactic and Stephen Hawking, they're both reportedly raring to go. "We have a keen owner and a keen passenger," said Stephen Attenborough, Virgin Galactic's commercial director.

    Last week, Germany's Stern magazine quoted Richard Branson, Virgin Galactic's British billionaire founder, as saying that SpaceShipTwo could go into testing as early as August or September of this year - and that Hawking was signed up for a suborbital spaceflight.

    "I admire this man very much," Branson told Stern.

    Attenborough said it was too soon to say exactly when SpaceShipTwo's test flights would begin, let alone when Hawking would fly to the final frontier.

    Zero Gravity Corp.
    Physicist Stephen Hawking flashes a grin as he floats in weightlessness
    on April 26, 2007, with Zero Gravity's Peter Diamandis looking on from
    right. The apple is a tribute to Isaac Newton and his theories of gravity.

    He said the rocket plane's mothership, known as WhiteKnightTwo, has gone through four hours of testing and encountered "no showstoppers" so far. After WhiteKnightTwo has completed its initial round of testing, California-based Scaled Composites would put SpaceShipTwo through rounds of ground testing, captive-carry tests, glide tests and eventually powered flights, Attenborough said.

    Rumors are already rife that SpaceShipTwo as well as WhiteKnightTwo will make an appearance (as promised) in July at the EAA AirVenture show in Oshkosh, Wis. When asked about those rumors, Attenborough said he was reluctant to pre-empt an announcement that the show's organizers are expected to make sometime in the next week.

    "There will be a 'presence,' let's say, at Oshkosh," he said.

    Attenborough noted that Branson offered to fly Hawking to the edge of space, even before the physicist gleefully floated through a zero-gravity airplane ride in 2007. "The offer is still very much open, and the plan is still very much alive," Attenborough said.

    The medical concerns related to Hawking's near-total disability will have to be addressed, of course, but Attenborough said he's been heartened to see how many people have passed their medical exams for SpaceShipTwo flights. About 100 would-be fliers have already bought their $200,000 tickets for suborbital space tours and have taken an initial round of training. The record so far has given Attenborough hope that Hawking will eventually achieve his long-held dream of flying in space.

    "All the omens are good," he said.

    Update for 9:40 p.m. ET Feb. 26: Flight International's Rob Coppinger reports that WhiteKnightTwo will make demonstration flights at the AirVenture show, but that SpaceShipTwo will not be brought to Oshkosh this year. (Tip o' the Log to Clark Lindsey's RLV and Space Transport News.)


    To keep up with the personal spaceflight revolution, click into our special report on "The New Space Race." And to learn more about the Tuskegee Airmen, check out this article from our "Race and Ethnicity" section, as well as NBC's video reports about a new Tuskegee museum and the airmen's reflections on a new era.

  • Galileoscopes go on sale

    Dean Coppola / Contra Costa Times
    Astronomer Stephen Pompea peers through the low-cost Galileoscope at the
    University of California at Berkeley. The $15 telescope kit is now on sale.

    Astronomers have launched a commercial venture aimed at putting low-cost telescopes in the hands of a million people around the world. The Galileoscope Web site, one of the cornerstone projects for the International Year of Astronomy, began taking orders for the simple yet powerful scopes Thursday night.

    The Galileoscope has been designed as a tribute to Galileo Galilei, who lofted his telescope toward the heavens 400 years ago and started a revolution in the way we see the universe. This telescope would have knocked Galileo's stockings off: It is made to more exacting 21st-century standards, is easier to put together and shows the night sky's wonders more clearly than they were ever seen back in 1609.

    One of the best things is the price: $15 for one, and a bulk rate of $12.50 per kit for 100 or more (not including shipping). That price point is aimed at making the kits affordable for students and educators as well as folks in less developed regions of the world.

    Groups in Norway, Brazil and the state of Wyoming are gearing up for bulk purchases of tens of thousands of the telescopes, said the National Optical Astronomy Observatory's Stephen Pompea, who is U.S. project director for the International Year of Astronomy.

    The telescope already has gotten great reviews from tryouts at recent scientific meetings. "Everybody who's looked through it has been very excited about it," Pompea told me.

    Doug Isbell puts together a Galileoscope in a YouTube video produced
    by Brad Plummer of the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory.


    The team behind the project feels the same way: "We're very excited to finally be live after more than two years of blood, sweat and tears developing the Galileoscope," the chairman of the Galileoscope Task Group, Richard Tresch Fienberg, told me in an e-mail.

    The telescope, which is sold as an easy-to-assemble kit, comes with a Barlow lens that boosts its power to 50x - easily good enough to show you details on Earth's moon, the phases of Venus (which is currently sparkling in evening skies), the moons of Jupiter and the rings of Saturn. When Galileo saw such features 400 years ago, the experience led him to the outrageous conclusion that our planet circled the sun instead of vice versa.

    "If you use the Barlow as an eyepiece, you can duplicate what Galileo saw," Pompea said. But you'll want to go for the full 50x view, achieved by combining the 25x eyepiece with the power-doubling Barlow lens. The image you see in that configuration is upside-down - which means the Galileoscope "would not be a good birdwatching telescope, but maybe a bat-watching telescope," Pompea joked.

    Dean Coppola / Contra Costa Times
    Stephen Pompea shows the Galileoscope eyepiece.


    The telescope incorporates tricks that Galileo never thought of - including internal baffles, a glare shield and a special coating on the tube's interior to minimize the effect of light pollution. "We were very careful to keep in mind that most of the people who will be using the telescope are living in urban areas," Pompea said.

    In addition to online ordering, the Web site offers a study guide and an observing guide to help you make the most of your viewing. One add-on will be indispensable, Pompea said: "We definitely encourage everybody to use a tripod. ... It'll be frustrating if you try to use the telescope as a spyglass and just hold it up."

    Although you can't order a tripod from the Web site, virtually any tripod with a standard mounting bolt will work just fine. If you don't have a tripod and can't afford to buy one, the observing guide provides instructions for building a makeshift mount using a broom handle or a box.

    The Galileoscope commercial venture was established through the efforts of the American Astronomical Society as part of its contribution to the International Year of Astronomy, but Pompea said the idea behind the project is too good to last just one year.

    "We're planning on it continuing after 2009," he said.

    Update for 1:45 p.m. ET Feb. 20: The Galileoscope Web site was taken offline for a few hours this morning because credit-card information wasn't being passed along to the payment processing company, Fienberg told me. The problem has been fixed, and the site is now back online.

    If you tried to make a payment overnight with a credit card, Fienberg said you will be receiving an e-mail from the Galileoscope team asking you to resubmit your order. But if you made a payment with PayPal, you should have a record of the payment and no further action should be required. Fienberg said the disconnect affected roughly 50 credit-card orders overnight. There's no reason to believe that credit-card information has been compromised.

    Update for 10:50 p.m. ET Feb. 20: It looks as if there are still some Web site accessibility problems. The Galileoscope team will probably be fine-tuning this situation over the weekend.

    Update for 4:05 p.m. ET Feb. 21: The site appears to be up and running now.


    The first Galileoscopes are due to be delivered in April. The telescope optics were designed by Richard Pfisterer and Scott Ellis of Photon Engineering. The manufacturing partner is Merit Models of Racine, Wis., and the distribution partner is Leman USA of Sturtevant, Wis.

    Where does the money go? Read the comments below for the answer.

  • The race to find alien Earths

    ESA
    An artist's conception shows a planet crossing the disk of an alien star. Planet-
    hunting satellites watch for the dimming of starlight caused by such crossings.

    NASA is gearing up for a space race that's expected to point to the first truly Earthlike worlds beyond our solar system - and, like the race to put the first human on the moon, this marathon will take several years to run.

    The roots of the race go back more than a decade, as astrophysicist Alan Boss explains in his new book, "The Crowded Universe: The Search for Living Planets." That's when pioneers in the planet-hunting field started detecting worlds around suns beyond our own.

    The techniques used back then couldn't find other Earths in planetary systems like our own. The first method, pioneered by Polish astronomer Alexander Wolszczan at the Arecibo Observatory in 1991, could detect Earth-scale planets (and perhaps even the first known extrasolar dwarf planet) around radio pulsars - but those planets were thought to be burned-out cinders and not Earthlike at all.

    In 1995, astronomers began reporting the detection of Jupiter-scale planets around normal stars, by precisely measuring the gravitational wobble those planets induce in the stars themselves. (Our interactive tutorial explains how it's done.) As the years have gone by, planet-hunters have gotten smarter about using that "Doppler wobble" technique, and they've also trained sensitive telescopes on faraway stars to measure the slight dimming in their light as alien planets make their transits over the stars' disks.

    This transit method takes center stage in the next phase of the planet-hunting space race: The European Space Agency's Corot satellite, which was launched a little more than two years ago, has a head start. Just this month, members of the Corot science team announced the discovery of a "hot super-Earth" that is less than twice Earth's size.

    Next month, NASA picks up the pace with the launch of its Kepler satellite, equipped with a planet-seeking telescope that has some advantages over Corot. Astronomers expect Kepler to turn up some true Earthlike planets, in Earthlike orbits, around sunlike stars.

    NASA
    Astronomer Alan Boss is author of "The Crowded
    Universe: The Search for Living Planets."


    "If Kepler comes up empty-handed - boy, it'll turn out to be virtual harakiri," Boss, a member of the Kepler science team, told me earlier this month. "But there's little chance of that."

    The first fruits of the $550 million Kepler mission won't be the coolest alien Earths, Boss cautioned. "Often the oddballs are the earliest ones to find, for some reason," he said. Boss expects the Kepler team to announce the mission's first discoveries of hot Jupiters and hot super-Earths within a month after science operations begin.

    The biggest factor behind that schedule has to do with the time scale of a planet's orbit. It takes at least three orbits for astronomers to confirm that the dimming of the star is really caused by a planet rather than, say, the brightness cycles of a variable star or a binary-star system. If the planet is extremely close to its star - which would be an oddball orbit by solar system standards - that won't take long. For example, the hot super-Earth identified by Corot completes an orbit in just 20 hours.

    Farther-out planets will require more time to orbit, and therefore more time to detect.

    "The earth, by definition, will take at least three years to get," Boss said. "Roughly four years from now, we will be beginning to make our claims for Earthlike planets around solar-type stars."

    Boss' book traces the buildup to the Kepler mission through a series of time-stamped entries, reading almost like a diary. It's often been said that politics can get as messy as sausage-making - and based on Boss' accounts of Kepler's budgetary travails, the same can be said for pre-launch mission planning.

    Along the way, Boss also delves into the deep scientific issues of the planet search:

    • Are new planets built from the core up, like dirty snowballs, or do they whirl into shape like stars are thought to do? (Boss says both processes come into play.)
    • How do you define stars, brown dwarfs, sub-brown dwarfs, planets and dwarf planets? (Boss was involved in many of those discussions, including the IAU's efforts to define planethood.)
    • What will it mean if (or when) Kepler finds those alien Earths? (Boss says finding out how many such planets exist among the more than 100,000 star systems that Kepler is expected to survey will reveal "the most basic parameter in any estimate of the prevalence of life in the universe.")

    Kepler's primary mission is due to last three and a half years, but Boss hopes that the spacecraft will be up for some extra laps around the racetrack. Which mission will be the first to reveal just how common alien Earths are? Corot or Kepler? Considering that Boss is on Kepler's team, he's not the best person to handicap this race objectively. But in the end, it doesn't really matter who reaches the finish line first.

    "Either way," he writes, "after centuries - if not millennia - of speculation and wondering, we will finally know just how crowded the universe really is."


    For another perspective on "The Crowded Universe," check out Jeff Foust's book review in The Space Review.

  • Readings in evolution

    Nicolle Rager Fuller / NSF
    Scientific and religious leaders are sharing their thoughts on the influence of
    Charles Darwin's ideas, 150 years after the publication of "The Origin of Species."

    Charles Darwin's 200th birthday may now be history, but the story behind the origins of species continues to be told. In fact, you might be hearing more about "The Origin of Species" at church this weekend, right after the scriptural readings: More than 1,000 religious congregations around the world have signed up to give sermons on the theme of religion and science as part of the fourth annual Evolution Weekend.

    The event, which has been attracting more interest from clerics every year, demonstrates the falsity of claims that religious belief and evolutionary theory are incompatible. One of the best things about the project's Web site is that you can peruse the sermons from past years - and easily make every weekend an Evolution Weekend if you wish.

    To close off our coverage of Darwin Week, we provide a list of additional readings on the topic of evolution, including pointers to past recommendations from the Cosmic Log Used Book Club:

    • On the Web and in print: In honor of the Darwin birthday, as well as this year's 150th anniversary of the publication of "The Origin of Species," the National Science Foundation has put together an anthology on the current state of evolutionary theory titled "Evolution of Evolution." You can read it as a print publication on the Web, or take it in as a multimedia presentation. (And while we're on the topic of print on the Web, the "Darwin at 200" roundups from Seed magazine, Discover magazine, Science News and Scientific American are not to be missed.)

    • Fresh reads: Here are a few recently published works mentioned in Phillip Manning's weekly roundup of science books: "The Young Charles Darwin," by Keith Thomson; "Darwin's Sacred Cause: How a Hatred of Slavery Shaped Darwin's Views on Human Evolution," by Adrian Desmond and James Moore; "The 10,000 Year Explosion: How Civilization Accelerated Human Evolution," by Gregory Cochran and Henry Harpending; "The Well Dressed Ape: A Natural History of Myself," by Hannah Holmes; "Why Evolution Is True," by Jerry A. Coyne; "Banquet at Delmonico's: Great Minds, the Gilded Age and the Triumph of Evolution in America," by Barry Werth.

    • Human evolution: These Cosmic Log Used Book Club recommendations have been around for a while, but they're still fresh enough to give you a sense of what science has learned about human origins: "Before the Dawn: Recovering the Lost History of Our Ancestors," by Nicholas Wade; "The First Human: The Race to Discover Our Earliest Ancestors," by Ann Gibbons; "Lucy: The Beginnings of Humankind," by Donald Johanson. If you're looking for a brand-new look at human evolution, get ready for Johanson's latest, "Lucy's Legacy: The Quest for Human Origins."

    • More CLUB Club selections: The Cosmic Log Used Book Club highlights books with cosmic themes that have usually been around enough to become readily available at your local library or secondhand-book shop. Among past selections: "The Making of the Fittest," by Sean B. Carroll; "Evolution," Stephen Baxter's sweeping science-fiction epic; and our very first CLUB Club pick, "The Sparrow," a sci-fi novel by Mary Doria Russell that makes you think about how different intelligent species may or may not get along. (Are you listening, Mr. Neanderthal?) I'll add another CLUB Club selection to the list for this month: "Radical Evolution" by Joel Garreau, one of the books that inspired our own special report on "Fast Forward: The Future of Evolution."

    • Pharyngula's picks: Here are a few selections that P.Z. Myers, the biologist behind the Pharyngula blog, passed along last year: "Coming to Life" by Christiane Nusslein-Volhard; "Your Inner Fish" by Neil Shubin; "Bones, Rocks and Stars" by Chris Turney; and "Endless Forms Most Beautiful," another one by Sean B. Carroll. And then there's Carroll's latest, "Remarkable Creatures: Epic Adventures in the Search for the Origins of Species."

    That should tide you over for the next week or so. I'll be spending some days out of the office, and the posting schedule will be significantly lighter than usual until I'm back at my desk on Feb. 23. So in the meantime, hit the books - and if you have other recommendations for evolutionary reading, post them as comments below. If I use your pick as a future CLUB Club selection, I'll send you a copy of "Remarkable Creatures."


    For additional food for thought, take a look at these other Cosmic Log postings:

    And for much, much more, search for Darwin on msnbc.com.

  • Evolution's future shock

    ACT
    Stem cells turn into neurons
    at Advanced Cell Technology.


    Recent advances in stem cell research - including the technique for reprogramming ordinary skin cells to behave like embryonic stem cells - could put human evolution on a pace that's much faster and wilder than we can handle, according to a pioneer in the field.

    Advanced Cell Technology's Robert Lanza, who was one of the first researchers to work on human cloning, thinks someone better be ready to put on the brakes before the breakthroughs spin out of control.

    Chalk this one up as just one more controversy for a scientist who has to be used to it by now. For more than a decade, Lanza has been on the forefront of cloning research - first with genetically engineered cows, and then with human embryos. More recently, he's been delving into other avenues for cell therapy - ranging from extracting single cells from embryos to the cell reprogramming trick.

    Lanza and others involved in stem cell research are seeking to harness the marvelous ability of embryonic stem cells to transform themselves into virtually any tissue in the body - which could lead to new treatments for maladies ranging from spinal-cord injuries to heart attacks and Parkinson's disease. Other types of cells, such as adult stem cells and umbilical-cord cells, have some of these abilities, but embryonic cells are seen as "the gold standard" for future therapies.

    Observers are expecting stem cell research to surge now that President Obama has moved into the White House. Just last month, the Food and Drug Administration gave California-based Geron Corp. the go-ahead to begin the world's first medical study of a treatment based on human embryonic stem cells.

    Courtesy of Robert Lanza
    Robert Lanza is Advanced
    Cell Technology's chief
    scientific officer.


    But there are lots of scientific and ethical questions yet to be answered: Last week, Lanza and his colleagues made headlines when they suggested that egg cells from animals might not be useful for creating human stem cells. If those findings hold up, it would be bad news for scientists who want to use animal eggs to supplement the very limited supply of human eggs available for stem cell research.

    The research also raised some questions about the reprogrammed cells - which are also known as induced pluripotent stem cells, or IPS cells. The technology was touted in 2007 as a way to solve the ethical problems associated with destroying human embryos, but it could carry its own brand of ethical baggage. Experiments indicated that IPS cells could be used to create clones of any individual, dead or alive.

    Lanza's main concern is that the technology could let someone tinker with the human genome in such a way that the tinkering is passed down from one generation to the next through sperm, egg and embryo - an enduring genetic chain known as the "germline."  That could be done for seemingly good reasons: to build in resistance to disease, for instance, or to make us smarter or longer-lived. But like most science-fiction plots, such good intentions could have undesired consequences.

    This week, I spoke with Lanza about his latest research and his latest concerns about IPS cells, as well as his observations on evolution and the fresh perspectives he'll be putting forth in "Biocentrism," an upcoming book on a biology-based theory of everything. Here's a trimmed-down taste of the conversation, fine-tuned with some follow-up e-mails:

    Cosmic Log: Last week you published some research that related to the implications of IPS cell research for animal-human hybrid cells, as well as the prospects for human cloning. I saw some reports about that study indicating that a type of reproductive human cloning is doable, and that could set some alarm bells ringing.

    Lanza: Well, yes. I think the first point of this particular paper was that the animal eggs didn't seem to be a suitable substitute for human eggs. In our particular lab, we tried hundreds of experiments trying to create patient-specific stem cells using animal eggs. And we got beautiful little hybrid embryos, but it didn't work, no matter how hard we tried.

    We've had lots of experience with this. We've cloned entire herds of cows - in fact, we cloned a couple of endangered species using cow eggs. But despite all the tricks we attempted, we were unable to have any success. Then we looked at what was going on inside the cells. Up until now, people generally looked at pictures or looked under the microscope, but we assessed the complete gene profile. And we found that basically the eggs from the animals turned the genes off that we hoped would have been turned on.

    What we also showed here, for the first time, was hard evidence that human cloning is indeed possible, at least in terms of proving that the donor human cell was actually being reprogrammed. This may be very important, along with the new IPS cell technology, in that it furnishes us for the very first time with the ability to start tampering with the germline.

    At this point, the only two possible ways to enter into the era of "designer babies" is through either cloning or the new IPS cell technology. These new technologies are very similar. The technology currently used to reprogram a skin cell into a stem cell could be used to make designer babies and possibly even super-athlete babies. So despite the enormous medical promise of SCNT [somatic cell nuclear transfer, the traditional approach to cloning] and IPS cell technology, it opens a whole can of worms.

    Someone could use these techniques to produce a child that has most if not all their genes. The implications of this are enormously troublesome. It revives the same issues raised by reproductive cloning. And although the technology for human reproductive cloning still doesn't exist, with the IPS cell breakthrough, we actually do have a technology whereby anyone - young, old, fertile, infertile, gay, straight - could pass on their genes to a child, using just a few skin cells. Or, in fact, hair follicles.

    So if you had a few hair follicles from Albert Einstein, or whoever, you could theoretically generate IPS cells. And since those cells are immortal, any couple in the world could have a child who is, say, 10 percent or 75 percent Albert Einstein by just injecting a few of those cells into one of their embryos. Perhaps you could mix a little Brad Pitt in there, too.

    The potential to fast-forward the era of designer babies exists. Of course, it would be scientifically and ethically irresponsible to use this technology for reproductive purposes. People have not thought the whole thing through.

    Let's go back to the parents who are obsessed with having super-athlete babies. They could conceivably have the myostatin gene knocked out in a few skin cells, and then inject IPS cells into one of their in-vitro fertilized embryos. That would be unsafe and unethical, and there's no guarantee to what extent those cells will contribute to a child's muscle mass. It might be 1 percent or 100 percent. There's also the chance that the child would want to play chess instead of becoming a super-athlete.

    But this isn't science fiction. We know the technology already exists to increase an animal's body mass by knocking out this myostatin gene. In cows, for instance, it's been used to literally double the muscle mass.

    There's a concern that this could contribute to the germline. We've got to think about this carefully. It's not just a matter of people wanting to make their children stronger or have a higher IQ. When you start tampering with the human germline, you're really crossing a line that's wrong. Remember, the human body is an exquisitely fine-tuned machine that took millions of years of evolution. I think it would be foolish and arrogant for us to think that we can engineer better people through science.

    Q: Do you see a distinction between using these technologies to repair genetic flaws and using them to enhance abilities? 

    A: There are two things to consider here: One, you can simply generate cells to replace worn-out tissues or organs. I don't see any problem with that whatsoever. You're not tampering with the germline.

    Now, when you consider genetically correcting some sort of disease, you're really crossing a line. A good example of that would be sickle-cell anemia, which we consider an awful disease. But that gene actually protected people from malaria for thousands of years - when malaria was killing literally hundreds of millions of people. So we can't even begin to understand what tampering with other genes could lead to.

    It would certainly accelerate evolution. But for better or worse? That's the question.

    Q: So this would speed up human evolution even more than it's speeding up today? Could it lead to some sort of radical retooling of our species?

    A: Absolutely. That's the whole issue. Evolution normally occurs, even today. There are natural mutations, and the bad mutations are weeded out.

    There's another unrecognized but seismic shift occurring in human evolution.  The wide scale intervention of science and modern medicine - drugs, vaccines, machines, and soon, stem cells and regenerative medicine - has allowed the survival of a large range of mutations, traits and genetic combinations that would never have been possible in the past.

    For instance, someone like Stephen Hawking - or even Bill Gates - might not have fared as well in a hunter-gatherer society. New economic, political and behavioral pressures will shape this pool of gene-combinations in directions never before possible. Human evolution is occurring  - and will continue to occur - at a rapid and unprecedented rate.

    The problem with these new technologies is that we can now go in directly and modify genetics. We can knock out a specific gene. In fact, we've done this in pigs to knock out a gene that's associated with hyper-acute transplant rejection in humans. But we've also found that knocking out those genes has other, adverse effects. So with these new tools, we're entering into an entirely new era - which we don't completely understand.

    Q: How do you wrap your mind around the pluses and the minuses? Is there somebody who should be appointed as a genetics czar to have people toe the line? What are you suggesting?

    A: I think there are several things going on. One is that we need to enact laws, just as we did when we were considering xenotransplantation, when we were worried about pathogens crossing the species line. We were concerned that although we passed a law in the United States, there might be "xeno-havens" somewhere else. The same would apply here. A while ago, the United Nations was on the verge of banning reproductive cloning. We need to move on that right away. That should also incorporate other technologies such as the IPS technology.

    In the more developed countries, we obviously have laws in place to prevent abuses from happening - and that will probably succeed there. But in some of the developing countries, we may not have that regulation, and there could be some abuse. We've seen this with AIDS and other genetically based changes that move quickly from one country to another. If this technology is abused anywhere, once it gets into that germline and those people immigrate or move, it's in us, it's in the DNA of our species. And God only knows how it will manifest itself down the line.

    Q: If someone else were to receive tissue as the result of an IPS operation, might that work its way into the germline? Would you have to have a restriction on people reproducing if they receive IPS cells?

    A: No, that's not an issue. You wouldn't inject the IPS cells. You'd inject replacement cells that are terminally differentiated, and they would not enter the germline. When the patient dies, so do the cells. The concern here would be if you place the cell either into an embryo or the germline - that is, a sperm or an egg. Only then could it be passed on to subsequent offspring.

    Q: Are there points of contact between what you're doing on this subject and the topics that you'll be addressing in "Biocentrism"?

    A: No, they're separate. But I think biocentrism does have something to say about evolution as well. From a biocentric perspective, Darwinian evolution is an enormous simplification. While a lot of the components are right, it's still far from the complete picture. Darwin's theory of evolution is helpful if you want to connect the dots and understand the interrelatedness of life in the past. For instance, we can follow the changes that occurred in our genome even before we were human. We can even map some of the mutations and blind alleys that life took to get us here. But it fails to capture the driving force that's really going on.

    If you consider the universe, there's a long list of traits that make it appear as if everything the universe contains - from atoms to stars - were tailor-made just for us. If the big bang had been just one part in a million more powerful, the cosmos would have blown outward too fast for stars and worlds to form. The result, of course, would be no us. Even more coincidentally, the universe's four forces and all the constants seem to be perfectly set up for atomic interactions, the existence of atoms, elements, planets, liquid water and life. You tweak any of them, and we never existed.

    At the moment, there are only four explanations for this mystery. One is that it's just an incredible coincidence. Another is to say, God did it, and that explains nothing, even if it is true. The third is to invoke the anthropic principle, meaning that we'd have to find these conditions if we're alive, because what else could we find? And then there's the final option, biocentrism, which is what I'm supporting. It says the universe is actually created by life, and no universe that doesn't allow life could possibly exist.

    The same thing would apply to our own human existence. Probability-wise, there are millions of things that could have gone wrong in the history of life on Earth. We could have been snuffed out at almost any turn. For instance, the meteor that wiped out the dinosaurs could have missed the earth, and then we would have never evolved. The list goes on and on. Evolution might suggest that it's just dumb luck, that there's a 1-in-a-gazillion chance that we're here. But surely science can do better than the dumb-luck theory.


    For additional food for thought on Darwin Day, take a look at these other Cosmic Log postings:

    And for much, much more, search for Darwin on msnbc.com.

  • Adventures in evolution

    Hulton Archive / Getty Images file
    An engraving shows the HMS Beagle being greeted by Fuegian natives as it sails
    through the Strait of Magellan in 1834 with naturalist Charles Darwin aboard.

    Evolutionary biology isn't just something you do in the lab or the library: Over the past two centuries, scientific pioneers have had to weather seasickness, survive shipwrecks and watch out for polar bears while they ferreted out the facts.

    In his latest book, "Remarkable Creatures," molecular biologist Sean B. Carroll recounts the rip-roaring adventure tales behind the great advances in the theory of evolution.

    Carroll, a professor at the University of Wisconsin at Madison, is one of the foremost researchers in evo-devo. That may sound like the name of a techno-rock band, but the phrase actually refers to evolutionary develomental biology - that is, the study of how different organisms develop, and what those differences tell us about evolution at work. For example, what kinds of genetic toolkits are responsible for ultraviolet vision or antifreeze-laden blood, and what causes those traits to emerge?

    UW-Madison
    Sean B. Carroll is a
    biologist at the University
    of Wisconsin at Madison.


    Carroll has surveyed the frontiers of evolutionary biology in a series of books - including "The Making of the Fittest" and "Endless Forms Most Beautiful," which are being developed into a documentary TV project for PBS' "Nova" series. "Remarkable Creatures" takes a slightly different perspective, focusing on how scientist-explorers helped open up that frontier over the past two centuries.

    The most famous evolution expedition was Charles Darwin's five-year journey on the H.M.S. Beagle. That round-the-world voyage gave him a bad case of seasickness - but also gave him the raw material he needed to write "The Origin of Species," which was published 150 years ago. You can read Darwin's travelogue, "The Voyage of the Beagle," as a free online book, but it's even more fun to experience it as an illustrated blog.

    During that trip, Darwin's study of fossils and the famous finches of the Galapagos Islands led him to the conclusion that new species originated through a natural process, rather than through a Genesis-style series of special creations. Darwin kept that conclusion to himself (and a few of his close friends) for two decades, fearful of the outcry that might result.

    Ironically, Darwin's voyage spurred another naturalist and collector, Alfred Russel Wallace, to go on his own scientific expedition to the Amazon and solve the mystery surrounding new species. After four years of collecting, Wallace began the homeward voyage to England with a rich bounty of notes, drawings, specimens and even live animals. Unfortunately, a fire swept through the ship, and Wallace lost nearly everything.

    "From the lifeboat he watches the ship burn and sink with all his specimens and animals. ... Four years of work is going down to the ocean bottom," Carroll said. Wallace and his fellow travelers spent 10 days on that leaky lifeboat before they were picked up by rescuers.

    Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
    "Remarkable Creatures" recounts
    tales of evolutionary adventurers.


    That would take the enthusiasm over exploring out of anyone. Wallace didn't give up, however. He went on an even longer, more arduous expedition to the Malay Peninsula, and came up with the basic idea behind Darwinism even before Darwin had published his theory.

    "These men had parallel experiences, and they independently seized on this idea of natural selection," Carroll said. When Darwin saw that Wallace was on the right track, he decided to go public as well. The leading lights of the British scientific establishment worked out an arrangement for a joint presentation of the two men's views on the "survival of the fittest."

    Over the past 150 years, Darwin may have captured far more of the scientific spotlight than Wallace has. But when it comes to enduring the hardships of scientific exploration, I'd have to say Wallace takes the prize. And those are just two of the adventures retold in Carroll's book. Here's an edited Q&A transcript that delves into three of the other tales:

    Cosmic Log: Does it take a particular breed of scientist to become an explorer?

    Carroll: Let me give you a thumbnail picture: Besides the naturalists, the other "breed" of scientists who like traipsing through jungles are the paleontologists - because they have to find somewhere in the earth's crust the vestiges of life's history. Where do you go in the world to find these things? Darwin's "Origin of Species" really set the agenda, because as much as Darwin was a good fossil collector, as convinced as he was about the deeper history of life, he was pained by the fact that he didn't have transitional fossils at the time of "The Origin of Species." Well, the last 150 years, paleontologists have been digging them up. And some of those paleontologists were directly inspired by Darwin.

    Eugene Dubois was a physician, climbing very fast in the ranks in Holland. But he was well-versed in natural history, well-read on the emerging evolutionary theory. And in the 1880s he decided the most important thing he could do was find a missing link between apes and humans. So he said, "To hell with it." He chucked his medical career, took his wife and young baby all the way to the Dutch East Indies. He went there because it was territory governed by the Dutch, and the way he supported himself was by signing up for an eight-year stint in the Dutch army.

    So he abandoned a comfortable career in Amsterdam and started exploring the jungles and caves of Sumatra. He struck out in Sumatra, and so he decided to explore Java. He gets four years into this - he's suffering from malaria, he's dodging tigers, it's ungodly hot. But here's the thing: He assumes that he's going to find human ancestors in Java. That was a big assumption right there, let alone that he'd find the right material in the right place. This was a dart toss, right? And son of a gun, they find a molar, a skullcap and a thigh bone. This is what we know today as Homo erectus.

    Dubois was hell-bent. This was as single-minded an expedition as I know about. To illustrate how fortunate he was, all sorts of people followed Dubois to Asia and to Java, and nobody found anything for 40 years.

    Q: Does it strike you that to some extent, the destination determines the nature of the discovery? For example, if Dubois had gone to Africa instead of Asia, the course of the study of human evolution might have been different.

    A: Yup, it could have been different - had he found something. But the Leakeys show you how hard that is. In the 1920s, the Leakeys started their excavations in east Africa. Contrary to Dubois, Louis Leakey was convinced that the cradle of mankind was Africa. We all accept that now, but you've got to realize that for a long time after "The Origin of Species," and especially because of things like Dubois' discoveries, most people were thinking about Asia.

    Leakey was definitely bucking the prevailing wisdom. What got him started was that as a child he was finding stone tools. Well, obviously, stone tools had to have toolmakers, so he made it his mission, his life's ambition, to find the bones of these toolmakers. He and his wife spent 31 years looking in east Africa. Fifty years ago this summer, Mary Leakey found the first hominid bone in Olduvai Gorge.

    So if you ask me what kind of character it takes, I don't even know if persistence is the word that describes that. Clearly they had to believe, scientifically, it was reasonable to say "if we're finding tools, there must be toolmakers." So you stay at it. But 31 years is an awfully long time to wait before you find a skull and hold it up to the world.

    Now, when they held it up to the world, the world changed. The attention on human origins swung back to Africa for good, and in a few years they found Homo erectus and Homo habilis at Olduvai Gorge. Their funding went up, more people came to the field to help with the search, and the pace of discovery quickened. But that was after a 31-year mission that was fairly lonely, where you're living in the bush without any money. They were a pretty determined pair.

    Q: So is the species of the scientist-explorer heading toward extinction? You could cite a couple of reasons. One is that the number of unexplored places is lower, and also you just don't see as much of the patience or persistence or sheer insanity required to spend so much time looking for discoveries.

    A: Well, I'll counter that with the tale of Neil Shubin. Neil and his colleague, Ted Daeschler, are trying to find fossils that connect fish to the first four-legged animals. Long experience told them the right sort of age of rock they should be looking for, the right sort of deposition they should be looking for. When they combed the geological archives, it pointed them to the Arctic.

    They mounted their first expedition there in 1999, and it was tricky, because they're up above the Arctic Circle. The season is short. Logistics are very complex. They have to helicopter from place to place. It's the land of polar bears. Weather is horrible, even during the short field season.

    The first season, they find nothing. Second season, they find fossils, but there's nothing new. It's not until the fourth season that they strike paydirt. And it's spectacular. These Tiktaalik fossils they find are large and in great condition, of varying sizes that give you a whole lot of anatomy. It's exactly what they were looking for. Knowing these people, I think that passion is still there. I'm very comfortable saying it's widespread.

    Now, granted, we try to travel with a little more safety - with a satellite phone, as opposed to the days when Darwin tried to communicate with John Henslow, his mentor, and didn't get a reply for six months. The hazards are managed a little bit better, and you're standing on 150 years of knowledge, so the guessing is reduced. But the desire to explore the unknown? That desire is absolutely undiminished.


    To hear Carroll talk about Darwin and Wallace, check out this report from NPR's Joe Palca. For additional food for thought on Darwin Day, take a look at these other Cosmic Log postings:

    And for much, much more, search for Darwin on msnbc.com.

  • Telescopes do a triple take

    NASA / ESA / CXC / SSC / STScI
    The spiral galaxy Messier 101 is shown in multiple wavelengths from the Spitzer
    Space Telescope (red for infrared), the Hubble Space Telescope (yellow for visible
    light) and the Chandra X-ray Observatory (blue for X-rays). Click on the image for
    a larger version from the Space Telescope Science Institute.

    If anyone doubts that three telescopes are better than one, the latest image from NASA's Great Observatories should change that view with a single glance.

    Poster-size prints of the dazzling Pinwheel Galaxy - as seen by the Hubble, Spitzer and Chandra space telescopes - are being distributed to more than 100 starstruck locales to celebrate Galileo Galilei's birthday on Feb. 15 as well as the 400th birthday of his telescope.

    The Pinwheel Galaxy, also known as Messier 101, has been photographed many times before: This HD image is a prime example. The new version, however, combines multiple wavelengths to produce a view that can't possibly be seen by any single telescope. "It's like using your eyes, night vision goggles and X-ray vision all at the same time," Hashima Hasan, lead scientist for the International Year of Astronomy at NASA Headquarters, said in Tuesday's image advisory.

    The picture shows how different telescopes work together to give scientists an all-around look at cosmic objects:

    • Hubble's visible-light view is shown in yellow, highlighting the galaxy's swirls of bright stars and glowing gas.
    • Spitzer's infrared perspective is shown in red. The telescope's camera is tailor-made to spot the glow given off by lanes of dust where clouds collapse to form new stars.
    • Chandra's X-ray vision is shown in blue. These highlight the galaxy's most energetic emissions, from supernova remnants and the whipped-up surroundings of black holes.

    The composite view appears along with the individual perspectives on wall-size prints that are being distributed to 76 museums and 40 schools and universities in 39 states this month, starting on the day before Galileo's birthday. Check out the image advisory to find out which institution near you is participating in the "International Year of Astronomy Great Observatories Image Unveiling."

    This year has been designated the International Year of Astronomy to mark the 400th anniversary of Galileo's telescope, which opened a new window on the universe. The IYA has been under way for more than a month now, but the best is yet to come. Astronomers are planning a constellation of events during the "100 Hours of Astronomy" in April, including the unveiling of a "people's choice" Hubble image. (Have you voted yet? The interacting galaxies known collectively as Arp 274 are currently in the lead, with more than 80,000 online ballots cast so far.)

    I'm still waiting to find out how to get a Galileoscope, a low-cost telescope kit that will be distributed to thousands of stargazers as an IYA project. The 20-inch-long scope is more capable than Galileo's instrument and should sell for around $12.50.

    To learn more about the IYA celebration, check out the Web sites set up by NASA and the International Astronomical Union.

  • Lessons from Lucy

    It's been 35 years since anthropologist Don Johanson found the fossilized skeleton of Lucy, the world's best-known ancestor of modern humans, but Johanson says his 3.2 million-year-old "girlfriend" from Ethiopia still has lessons to teach.

    "I never thought, when I found her on that November day, that she would turn out to be such an icon in human evolution," Johanson said last week during a visit to the "Lucy's Legacy" exhibit at Seattle's Pacific Science Center.

    Lucy has become an icon, of course. In part, that's because Johanson and his colleagues recovered an incredible 40 percent of the complete skeleton, which is laid out in Seattle like a gem collection in a jewel case. The biggest reason, however, is that Lucy came from an era when our ancestors were just becoming human (as Johanson explains on this marvelous Web site).

    "Lucy has gone a long way in introducing people not just to the idea of evolutionary change, but particularly to the fact that humans have evolved," he said.

    Courtesy of Donald Johanson
    Anthropologist Donald Johanson holds a
    cast of the skull of Lucy, one of the world's
    best-known hominid fossils.


    Today, the 65-year-old Johanson still returns regularly to Ethiopia, balancing field work with his duties as director of Arizona State University's Institute of Human Origins. His latest book, coincidentally called "Lucy's Legacy" as well, is due to come out next month. And as if that's not enough to keep him occupied, he's giving a series of talks this month - not only to reflect on Lucy's legacy, but also to celebrate Charles Darwin's 200th birthday.

    I caught up with Johanson just as he arrived at Lucy's jewel case. "I came to see my oldest girlfriend," he told a museum staffer. "She doesn't get out much."

    The conversation soon turned to the Darwin anniversary, and the British naturalist's prescient observation that Africa would turn out to be the cradle of humanity. Johanson took a look around the exhibit space and said, "Would this blow his mind to come in and see something like this?" That provided the perfect opening for our Q&A. Here's an edited transcript:

    Cosmic Log: What do you think? Would it blow Darwin's mind?

    Johanson: Well, first of all, there are a couple of things that would trickle through his mind immediately. One of them is the fact that Lucy is sort of an amalgam: long arms, small brain, but yet bipedal. ... One of the things that Darwin stressed in his model of human evolution was the acquisition of upright walking. We still think that may be the first distinguishing feature that separated us from a common ancestor with the chimps. He would be gratified to see that.

    But he would be mostly gratified when he read that Lucy was 3.2 million years old - because that was one of the things that Darwin struggled with, almost more than anything. We all face it today: We need more time, we need more time. For example, you're taking an exam as an undergraduate, and it's time to turn in the exam. But Darwin really meant it: He needed time, and that really bugged him. The world had to be old for all this to have happened for him. So, how gratified would he be that his predictions turned out to be correct?

    Q: I understand that Lucy went through a CT scan, and there's now a virtual Lucy.

    A: There is.

    Q: Do you feel as if Lucy has taught us everything that she could teach, or are there more things that she has yet to reveal?

    A: I think there's a lot more that she has to reveal. It's going to be interesting to see if detailed scans of her teeth come up with something about maturation rate – the rate at which enamel is laid down – and give us an idea of whether she died at 11, 12, 13 or 14. And we just don't know what new techniques will come along that will allow us to look at internal structure. That will tell us more about what kinds of forces were exerted on these bones.

    Crown Publishing Group
    "Lucy's Legacy," by Donald
    Johanson and Kate Wong, traces
    the quest for human origins.


    Lucy will always be a seriously important comparative specimen for scholars from around the world to compare their discoveries to. ... One of the things that isn't mentioned a lot is that we now have close to 400 specimens of Lucy's species. We've got everything. We've got a hyoid bone now, from "Lucy's child," the Dakika baby. We've got complete sets of hand bones, we've got complete sets of finger bones, we've got upper limbs, lower limbs, we've got a pelvis, we've got a male skull, a female skull.

    At Hadar itself, where Lucy was discovered, we have about 500,000 years of time, and we have about 300 specimens in that sequence. So we're beginning to look at some of the things that Darwin would have been interested in, in terms of tempo. There's a rate and a type of evolutionary change over time, and we're just beginning to examine that. ...

    I feel that Lucy's species, Australopithecus afarensis, is the reference collection for everyone who makes a discovery of what they think is a new species of human ancestor. ... That's something that has not been stressed enough. Everyone thinks, oh my gosh, there's Lucy. But if you think of the Taung baby that launched all this in 1925, that's just one specimen. It's a wonderful specimen, of course, and it vindicated Darwin because that was the first hominid fossil found in Africa. But the Hadar collection is unique because it does sample every region of the body.

    Q: Do you feel as if the framework for understanding human evolution is pretty well set? Are there certain mysteries that you're looking to solve, or do you think we know what that "bush" of human evolution looks like?

    A: I think we have the broad outlines of human evolution. We know that things changed from more apelike to less apelike and more humanlike. But what we'd like to know in detail is, for example, what was the effect of climate change at specific times? What was so unique about this incredible combination of biological evolution combined with cultural evolution that unleashed this incredibly creative species, Homo sapiens? We want to know where that happened, under what conditions that happened.

    We think that every major innovation along the way happened in Africa. Why was it Africa? We don't have a very complete answer to that, and we'd like to know why Africa was the crucible. Why was it the place where we first stood up? Why was it the place where we first separated from the apes? Why was it the first place where tools were made? Why was it the place where brains expanded? Why was it the first place where depending on a meat diet happened? Why was it the place where we emerged as Homo sapiens?

    That's the mystery. I think that origins in general – origins of the universe, origins of the solar system, origins of humans – all have this mystery associated with them.

    Whenever a reporter like you comes along and asks, "Well, what do you expect to find this year?" I always say, "The unexpected." When I was a graduate student, did I think that tools went back 2.6 million years? No. Did anybody even fantasize about the hobbits? Homo florensiensis, which is not Homo ... why would you put it in Homo? I predict we'll see it put into a new genus.

    Q: Do you really think Flores Man would go into a genus by itself?

    A: It could go in a genus by itself, but you know, it might even go into Australopithecus.

    I think that while we have the broad outlines, the areas that bug us the most have to do with the common ancestor. What was it, 6 million to 10 million years ago, that prompted our ancestors to leave the trees? And isn't it interesting that Darwin seems to have gotten that right?

    Q: Why do you think he got that right?

    A: He looked at a number of things. He looked at chimp and gorilla skeletons, and chimps in zoos in England, along with Thomas Henry Huxley. And he said, boy, their skeletons look like ours. They have the same number of teeth. Chimps, in fact, look a lot like us. And if you go back in time ... clearly you get more apelike, more chimpanzeelike. Darwin said, if those are our closest relatives, if they all look alike, then that's the place where they all evolved. So he predicted, on the basis of those similarities, that Africa would be the place.

    Huxley had written about that in 1863. Then, in 1871, Darwin really nailed it when he wrote "The Descent of Man." He said, what's so distinctive about us? Big brains. Chimps don't have big brains. That's a real distinction. But the other thing he saw that humans had was upright walking. And he felt what was so important about that was that it freed our hands. We didn't have to use our hands for locomotion, so we could use them to make and use tools. He got that part right. He thought it all happened together. He got that wrong.

    Q: So the follow-up question is, why Africa?

    A: I think it's going to be a combination of ecological opportunity, climatic change and the great richness and diversity of Africa. The highest concentration of Miocene apes – species that were more than 10 million years old – was in Africa. It was out of that pool that natural selection could work. But what prompted those first ancestors to leave the trees and begin to walk on the ground? I don't know.

    Q: Do you think that human evolution is continuing today? Where are we going?

    A: It's more difficult to tell where we're going, because no one can predict the future. Certainly every time a sperm and an egg combine, there's evolutionary change. It's a very microevolutionary change, a gradual small step. But as long as humans around the world are continuing to interbreed with one another, we will probably pretty much stay as we are.

    The only exception would be if perhaps someday we are successful in space exploration, and send a mission far out into space. You go out for 200,000 years, and when you come back, you've been gone for 400,000 years. There's genetic recombination, drift, mutation. You might not be able to interbreed with the very people who sent you into space.

    Certainly evolution is continuing. It's something that happens every day, just like gravity. But I don't think we're going to end up with enormous heads.

  • Dive into Darwin Week

    In recent years, one day in February has been set aside to wish a happy birthday to British naturalist Charles Darwin, whose theories on the origin of species can still start an argument. This year, however, is a big one: 2009 marks not only the 200th anniversary of Darwin's birth but also the 150th anniversary of the publication of "On the Origin of Species," his masterwork. To mark the occasion, we'll be rolling out a number of reports reflecting on the man and his scientific legacy - supplementing a special report on the "Future of Evolution" that we put out four years ago. Here are just a few Web links to get the ball rolling:

    Stay tuned for more as the week evolves.

  • Collider's restart delayed

    CERN
    Workers prepare to lower a magnet into the Large Hadron Collider's tunnel.

    The restart of the world's biggest particle-smasher is being postponed until late September at the earliest, to allow for the installation of a safety system that would have reduced the amount of damage done during last year's electrical breakdown.

    In today's announcement of the additional delay, Europe's CERN physics research center said the Large Hadron Collider should produce its first proton collisions in late October and its first science results next year.

    The LHC, housed in a 17-mile-wide ring of underground tunnels on the French-Swiss border, is designed to produce the most powerful subatomic smashups ever engineered by scientists (although cosmic rays in space are thought to reach higher energies).

    The $10 billion international effort is expected to shed new light on a whole range of cosmic questions: What is dark matter made of? Why do some particles have mass while others don't? What was the universe like just after the big bang? Does space have extra dimensions we haven't yet detected? Scientists say the machine might even create ultramicroscopic black holes - which they insist would blip back out of existence without harming anything.

    There may be no danger of a black-hole blow-up, but a more down-to-earth problem forced a shutdown of the collider shortly after its widely publicized startup last September: A bad electrical splice in the collider ring caused a sudden loss of helium coolant, resulting in major damage to some of the ring's magnets.

    CERN, which is making an estimated $29 million worth of repairs during the months of downtime, had hoped that the magnet ring would be cooled down enough to restart the proton beams in early July. But today's announcement said engineers will need some extra time to install a more sensitive system to monitor the electrical resistance in the splices, as well as new pressure-relief valves and other safety measures.

    To make up for the lost time, CERN will add extra weeks to the collider's work schedule after the restart. CERN customarily shuts down collider operations for several months during the winter, but toward the end of this year, there'll be only a "short technical stop" for the Christmas season. Except for that short break, the LHC will run straight through to the autumn of 2010, CERN said.

    "The schedule we have now is without a doubt the best for the LHC and for the physicists waiting for data," CERN Director General Rolf Heuer said in today's status report. "It is cautious, ensuring that all the necessary work is done on the LHC before we start up, yet it allows physics research to begin this year."

    For a refresher on the scientific mysteries, the engineering wonders and the cultural controversies surrounding the LHC, check out our special report on "the Big Bang Machine."

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