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  • How to spot quantum quackery

    Bruce Rolff / FeaturePics.com

    Some argue that the same quantum processes seen in the universe around us have an effect on consciousness as well, but physicist Lawrence Krauss says that's highly debatable.

    Can the weirdness of quantum mechanics make you well, or make you wealthy? Presentations ranging from "The Secret" to "What the Bleep Do We Know?" suggest that science allows you to capitalize on quantum possibilities, but theoretical physicist Lawrence Krauss says it's just a load of bleep.

    Krauss has dealt with factual and fictional weirdness for decades — as the author of "The Physics of Star Trek," as the head of Arizona State University's Origins Project, and as the author of a "Quantum Man," a soon-to-be-published biography of pioneering physicist Richard Feynman.

    "I begin the book with a quote from Feynman that says, 'Reality takes precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled,'" he told me. "I think the point is that Feynman realized that people can be fooled, but nature can't."

    Krauss worries that a lot of people can be fooled by appeals to the admittedly weird world of quantum physics — a world in which particles are said to take every possible path from point A to point B, in which the position and velocity of particles are necessarily cloaked in uncertainty, in which the mere act of observation changes the thing being observed.

    In the last of a series of columns written for Scientific American, Krauss says "no area of physics stimulates more nonsense in the public arena than quantum mechanics." His list of "worst abusers" includes inspirational author Deepak Chopra, the best-selling book "The Secret" and the whole field of Transcendental Meditation. So what constitutes quantum quackery? Krauss discussed his criteria ln our interview last week. Here's an edited transcript:

    Cosmic Log: Every once in a while, you'll hear about something like "The Secret," or some other reference to quantum mechanics as explaining how you can change your universe, or even perhaps why it's in the realm of possibility that a globe-gobbling black hole could be created — because "anything can happen" in quantum mechanics. But I assume that's not quite right, and that sometimes quantum mechanics' name is taken in vain.

    Lawrence Krauss: I think it's probably one of the most abused concepts in physics among the public. You should be wary whenever you hear something like, "Quantum mechanics connects you with the universe" ... or "quantum mechanics unifies you with everything else." You can begin to be skeptical that the speaker is somehow trying to use quantum mechanics to argue fundamentally that you can change the world by thinking about it.

    Q: But isn't everything really connected? Doesn't the quantum world pervade everything that we see around us?

    A: Of course it does. So does classical physics. The quantum world does pervade everything around us, but as Richard Feynman liked to say, "Scientific creativity is imagination in a straitjacket." Not everything is possible. That's what makes the world so interesting. It is true that quantum mechanics is extremely strange, and on extremely small scales for short times, all sorts of weird things happen. And in fact we can make weird quantum phenomena happen. But what quantum mechanics doesn't change about the universe is, if you want to change things, you still have to do something. You can't change the world by thinking about it.

    We are connected to the world by many things: by light and sound and heat. We do, at subatomic scale, behave quantum mechanically. But we behave like classical objects for a reason: We're big, we have lots of particles, they interact. All the weirdness of quantum mechanics gets washed out on the scale that we can experience. That's why we experience a classical world.

    The weirdness of quantum mechanics is reserved for either very specially prepared configurations in the laboratory, or scales that are so small that quantum-mechanical effects are significant.

    We're also connected to the universe by gravity, and we're connected to the planets by gravity. But that doesn't mean that astrology is true. With quantum mechanics, there's a notion that observers affect the things that they're observing. That's not always true, but it's often true. That's one of the very strange properties of quantum mechanics. Therefore people get the notion that there's no objective reality, and that you can literally impact on the external world just by doing things internally. That's not the case. If you want to affect something in the external world, you have to do something to it. You can't just hope for the best. You can't bring good things to you by thinking about them.

    The quantum mechanical correlations, the spooky action at a distance that quantum mechanics brings up, is true only for very specially prepared systems that are isolated from the rest of the world, completely. And we are certainly not isolated from the rest of the world. We're bombarded by many things every second of the day, and a result, we're not specially prepared quantum mechanical systems, nor can we exert weird quantum powers over other objects.

    Q: Some scientists, such as Sir Roger Penrose, have talked about neurons as quantum systems. And a lot of people talk about quantum consciousness ... that even if the everyday world we see is not a system that can be changed, our consciousness about the world can be changed.

    A: Well, Roger Penrose has given lots of new-age crackpots ammunition by suggesting that at some fundamental scale, quantum mechanics might be relevant for consciousness. When you hear the term "quantum consciousness," you should be suspicious. The reason you should be suspicious is because we don't even understand classical consciousness. If we don't understand classical consciousness, how can we understand quantum consciousness? Many people are dubious that Penrose's suggestions are reasonable, because the brain is not an isolated quantum-mechanical system. To some extent it could be, because memories and thoughts are stored at the molecular level, and at a molecular level quantum mechanics is significant. Quantum mechanics may play a role at some level in the way the brain works ... just as it may play a role in photosynthesis.

    But that still doesn't mean that, at a global level, the weirdness of quantum mechanics is manifest. It's certainly not. If it were manifest, you could run at a wall a lot of times, and every now and then you'd spontaneously appear on the other side of the wall.

    Q: You do see that in some science-fiction shows — for example, last season on "Fringe." And quantum mechanics is often used as the explanation for that.

    A: Quantum mechanics is often quoted as the explanation for many things, because it's so weird that people latch onto it as a hope, to explain everything that they would like to believe about the universe. Everything from the possibility of disappearing and reappearing, to the possibility of having strange new forms of communication. We'd like to be able to influence things just by thinking about them, we'd like to transport ourselves elsewhere without getting on an airplane. All those things can be attributed to quantum mechanics — first of all, because it's so poorly understood by the public, and especially because it's so verifiably weird. It's used as an excuse to be even weirder. I think of what Niels Bohr said to Wolfgang Pauli about theories that are "not crazy enough to be true." Quantum mechanics is crazy, but it's just crazy enough to make the world still be sensible at a macroscopic level, the level that we experience.

    It's truly amazing that you can separate two elementary particles that were originally tied together, and often make a measurement of one particle that instantly affects the other, even if it's on Alpha Centauri. That sounds like magic. There are lots of things in quantum mechanics that sound like magic. But sounding like magic and being magic are two different things.

    Q: Obviously, quantum mechanics has lots of real-life applications, including in your television set and your microwave oven. But are there new, weird applications that people might see that have an impact on everyday life, beyond the woo-woo?

    A: Absolutely. One has already been recognized: If we do carefully prepare quantum systems, and keep them isolated, we can perform quantum magic technologically — potentially on scales that we haven't been able to do before. We might be able to create quantum computers, for example, that will simultaneously do many different calculations at once, because the quantum world is capable of doing many things at the same time. We may be able to use quantum communication in ways that we haven't done before.

    The debate here is that we'll be able to use quantum mechanics to break codes, in particular to determine the big prime numbers that are at the basis of the security of your credit cards and your bank cards. Right now they use a key that's based on the products of large prime numbers, and no computer could determine the prime factors in a time shorter than the age of the universe. But quantum-mechanical computers might be able to, and then of course we'd have to start thinking about how to make things more secure.

    The flip side of that is that you can use quantum mechanics, again in specially prepared systems, to communicate in a way that will allow us to know when someone is eavesdropping. So on one hand you have a threat to security, and on the other you have a possible boon for security. We don't know which way it's going to go.

    One other area where quantum mechanics works on a macroscopic scale is in superconductivity and superfluidity. Those are two places where the quantum world leaks into the classical world. We're not using either superconductivity or superfluidity yet on the scale that I think people thought we might. But we're certainly using them at the Large Hadron Collider, which we couldn't even operate if we didn't have superconducting magnets.

    So when you hear about quantum mechanics and devices, you can say, "OK, that sounds reasonable." But when you hear about quantum mechanics and consciousness, you should assume the author is a crackpot unless proven otherwise. Moreover, assume that they want your money. ...

    Q: Why do you think that people have seized upon this? I guess it's a sign that quantum physics is entering the mainstream...

    A: Well, yeah, the point is that there have been these new-age desires for lots of things to make the world better: crystals, energy vortices. ... People latch onto their dreams, and they always try to match them to reality. Quantum mechanics is a replacement for the phrase "anything goes." Once anything goes, you can have anything you want. So what better thing to have than something that gives you everything you want? The point is, with quantum mechanics, everything doesn't go. On certain scales, for certain times, in certain regions, everything goes and strange things happen. But it's not true for the universe at large.

    Often, people who are trying to sell whatever it is they're trying to sell try to justify it on the basis of science. Everyone knows quantum mechanics is weird, so why not use that to justify it? ... I don't know how many times I've heard people say, "Oh, I love quantum mechanics because I'm really into meditation, or I love the spiritual benefits that it brings me." But quantum mechanics, for better or worse, doesn't bring any more spiritual benefits than gravity does.

    More quantum fluctuations:


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  • Underwater frontiers still beckon

    The Expedition Titanic crew pulled into port in Newfoundland today, ending their North Atlantic adventure earlier than planned. But this isn't the final chapter of the historic shipwreck's saga.

    For one thing, there are mountains of data to go through — including HD video of the site in 3-D as well as sonar readings gathered by high-tech vehicles operating two and a half miles beneath the surface of the North Atlantic. The main aim of Expedition Titanic is to create the most comprehensive maps and visual record where the ship tragically came to rest 98 years ago. The Titanic was considered "unsinkable," but it struck an iceberg on its maiden voyage and went down, taking 1,517 victims with it.

    The RV Jean Charcot had to leave the site late Wednesday due to the approach of Hurricane Igor, a monstrous storm stretching across 1,000 miles of the Atlantic. But researchers say they were able to get what they came for despite the forced early exit.


    "We certainly have all the data we talked about — the clues to what happened to the Titanic," Dave Gallo, expedition co-leader and a researcher at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts, says in a video clip sent back from the ship. "What story can we tell from what we've seen? Are we going to change the story that exists, or are we going to come up with a new story? We haven't had the time — we've been collecting the data — to go back and look at it. ... Now we need to go back and start to look at all these things."

    One of the tales to untangle has to do with the Titanic's largely intact bow, which has become the wreck's signature image. Why does the front of the ship seem to be in such good shape? Did the bow plow into the ocean bottom directly, or did a different area of the ship take the brunt of the impact, allowing the bow to settle in more gently?

    The detailed imagery is likely to help researchers refine their models for the Titanic's breakup and descent. P.H. Nargeolet, expedition co-leader and director of underwater research for RMS Titanic Inc., talks about what is known and still not known in the must-see video displayed above. He also says time is running out. Corrosion in the form of "rusticles" is clearly taking its toll on some key sections of the shipwreck, but not so much on others.

    "In a few years, all the deck will collapse. That's for sure," Nargeolet says. "There's no question about that. The hull itself will be here for a long time."

    Gallo says the Titanic's impermanence makes this expedition critically important. "The techniques that we're using here can be applied to other shipwrecks, if we find other wrecks," he says. "But in terms of protection of this site, it's invaluable. How do you protect something if you don't know what's here?"

    Here's another first-run video that features highlights from the bow section. Pay particularly close attention to these artifacts:

    • 00:00: The camera looks down at a cargo crane that is still largely intact.
    • 00:30: A space heater, especially designed for use in the Titanic's best suites, lies out of place where third-class passengers exercised and took the sea air.
    • 00:45: A door marks the entrance to third-class accommodations, not far from the crew's mess hall.
    • 00:55: The Titanic's chains look as strong as they were 98 years ago.
    • 01:10: One of the ship's anchors is encrusted with rusticles.
    • 01:25: Sections of the hull are torn apart.

    Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

    Will this be the last visit to the Titanic? Not on your life. Deep Ocean Expeditions is touting a 2011 trip that features visits to the site in Russian submersibles for $40,000 per person ($5,000 if you just want to stay on the ship). The next year marks the centennial of the Titanic's sinking, and cruise packages are already being set up for the 100th anniversary. The 2012 cruises will include topside memorial services and perhaps even virtual visits to the underwater site itself, thanks to remotely operated vehicles.

    But you won't have to sail to the North Atlantic to get in on the Titanic treatment in 2012. James Cameron, the film director who turned the tragedy into an Oscar-winning movies, has said that "Titanic" will be re-released in 3-D just in time for the centennial. That's old hat for Cameron: He pioneered 3-D moviemaking techniques back in 2003 for his Titanic documentary, "Ghosts of the Abyss," and turned 3-D into box-office gold in "Avatar."

    The Titanic shipwreck site isn't the only underwater frontier that's in Cameron's sights. This week Australia's NewsCore reported that the director was commissioning the construction of a deep-sea submersible to take him down the planet's deepest ocean trench, Challenger Deep. The idea would be to capture footage for use in his "Avatar" sequel, which is set in an alien world's ocean, or perhaps in two other deep-sea movies that Cameron has in mind.

    Cameron said that the submersible was "about half-completed," and that he planned to begin preparations for the dive sometime this year. "Avatar 2" is expected to come out in 2014.

    More on the Titanic and 3-D views:


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  • from:National Association of Science Writers

    Congrats to Science in Society winners

    The National Association of Science Writers' Science in Society Journalism Awards recognize science writing that makes a difference. This year's winners have just been named, and include Susan Cohen and Christine Cosgrove for their book "Normal at Any Cost"; The Associated Press' Martha Mendoza and Margie Mason for their series "When Drugs Stop Working"; The New York Times' Charles Duhigg for "Toxic Waters"; and High Country News' J. Madeleine Nash for "Bring in the Cows." The $2,500 prizes will be given out at the ScienceWriters2010 meeting at Yale this November. I'll look forward to offering my congratulations to the winners in person while I'm there.

  • Fly through a nebula ... in 3-D

    "Hubble 3-D" made a splash this year in big-screen movie theaters, and now 3-D imagery from the Hubble Space Telescope can make a splash on your computer as well. This week the Hubble team released a red-blue video clip providing a fly-through of the Carina Nebula, its featured image of the week.

    "The 3-D interpretation uses lots of artistic license, so it is not intended to be scientifically accurate," according to a posting about the video clip on Slashdot.


    Here's how the Hubble team explains the scene: "The stars and nebula layers from Hubble's two-dimensional image have been separated using both scientific knowledge and artistic license to create the depth in the movie. Of note, the relative distances between stars and the nebula have been greatly compressed."

    You'll need red-blue glasses to see the 3-D effect, and you'll want to select the fullscreen option to maximize the awesomeness. Over the past couple of years I've mailed out about 75 3-D spectacles to Cosmic Log readers, and I'll send more spectacles to the first 25 people who make a request as a comment below ... assuming that I can get in touch with you through the Newsvine registration system, of course. The 3-D glasses are being provided courtesy of Microsoft Research's WorldWide Telescope project. (Microsoft and NBC Universal are partners in the msnbc.com joint venture.)

    You won't need 3-D glasses to check out these other goodies on the Web:

    Update for 3:30 p.m. ET Sept. 20: I have more requests than there are spectacles, but I will see if I can scrounge up more for the people who have requested them up to this point. I'll be sending out messages today requesting your mailing addresses. If for some reason I don't get in touch with you by Tuesday, send an e-mail to alan-at-thecaseforpluto-dot-com.


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  • Prime time for moongazers

    Asmaa Waguih / Reuters

    The moon looms over the mosques of old Cairo on Aug. 15 during the holy month of Ramadan.

    The moon is getting its figurative "day in the sun" this weekend during a global celebration of lunar looks, and the great thing is that you don't need to be a hotshot astronomer to join in.

    More than 275 events in 40 countries are planned on Saturday during International Observe the Moon Night, with most of those events aimed at casual observers who usually wouldn't give the moon a second look.

    Our only natural satellite tends to get noticed only during unusual astronomical events — for example, when it blots out the sun during a solar eclipse (such as the one that occurred July 11), or when Earth's shadow creates a total lunar eclipse (as it will on Dec. 22). In contrast, this Moon Night may seem as if it's occurring when the moon is in a ho-hum phase — not a brilliant full moon, nor a slender, svelte crescent, but a couple of days after its first-quarter phase. Well, it turns out that right now is the best observing opportunity in the moon's 29-day cycle.

    Space.com's skywatching columnist, Joe Rao, points out that the full moon is so bright that details on the surface tend to look flat and washed-out. Just after first quarter is a much better time for seeing the moon in post-sunset skies, and for picking out the shadowed mountains and craters in sharp relief. What's more, nearly all of the moon's best features are illuminated.

    So what's there to see? The highlights include:

    • Copernicus Crater: This prominent crater toward the upper left of the lunar disk spans 60 miles and is a mere 800 million years old. Huge rays of lighter material emanate from the impact site, which is surrounded by the ancient Carpathian Mountains.
    • Tycho Crater: 50-mile-wide Tycho is thought to be even younger than Copernicus — perhaps 100 million years old — and is surrounded by a similar burst of rays. The impact that created Tycho caused material to splash up and create a characteristic central peak.
    • Seas on the moon: The lunar "maria," or seas, are smooth stretches of the lunar surface filled with volcanic lava from a long-ago phase of lunar geology. The Sea of Tranquility is one of the best-known maria because it was the site of the historic Apollo 11 landing in 1969. Just last year, NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter sent back pictures showing traces of the landing site.
    • The terminator: The line between light and dark is the best place to look for dramatically lit craters and mountain ranges, particularly if you're looking through binoculars or a telescope. Among Saturday night's must-see craters along the terminator are Schiller, Gassendi and Kepler.

    All these sights are described on a 10-megabyte moon map available from the Observe the Moon website.

    This weekend's event coincide with a milestone for the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter. On Thursday, the $500 million mission officially wrapped up a survey aimed at scouting out landing sites for future probes and turned its full attention to scientific investigation. This all-science phase should last another two to four years, NASA said.

    Moon Night has also served as an opportunity to boost a citizen-science project called Moon Zoo. The moon-cataloging project's organizers asked participants to classify geological features on 20,000 images by Sunday — adding an area twice the size of Chicago to the Moon Zoo database. It turned out that the target was reached a couple of days early. At last check, more than 32,000 images had been classified since Wednesday.

    "When we launched this challenge we had no idea how overwhelming and enthusiastic the response would be," the organizers reported on their Moonometer page. Which goes to show that the moon may not be ho-hum after all.

    More about the moon:


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  • Visualize future spaceflight

    Virgin Galactic has released a video that tries to put its suborbital spaceflight experience into a wider historical context — wide enough to encompass the Wright Brothers, Charles Lindbergh, John F. Kennedy's "We Choose to Go to the Moon" speech and the whole Apollo moon effort. Oh, and you also get to go to company founder Richard Branson's Caribbean island resort!

    You could call this a nine-minute history of the commercialization of space, or a nine-minute commercial. Either way, selling $200,000 tourist packages for quick trips to outer space represents one not-so-small step toward opening up the final frontier to regular folks.

    So when will the first suborbital space tourists fly? That's still an open question, but flight tests of the SpaceShipTwo rocket plane and its White Knight Two mothership have been under way for some time already. On Monday, White Knight Two took to the air for the first time since last month's landing-gear glitch. The next big step will be to drop SpaceShipTwo into the air for its first glide. The best guess is that Virgin Galactic's first passengers will get on board in New Mexico in 2012 or so.

    That's in accordance with the two-year rule for future spaceflight. 2012 is also the year when Armadillo Aerospace and XCOR Aerospace could be offering suborbital rides, and when Blue Origin could be flying researchers and their experiments into space. How firm will those timelines be? Ask me again in 2012.


    This week's announcement about a deal between the Boeing Co. and Space Adventures sets a longer time frame for orbital passenger service. 2015 is the current "no-earlier-than" date — not only for Boeing's spaceship, but for Bigelow Aerospace's commercial space stations as well. By that time the Russians could be back in the space-passenger business as well. Other potential players in the orbital passenger market include SpaceX, Orbital Sciences and Sierra Nevada — but right now those companies don't seem to be as focused on human spaceflight as Boeing is. (If I hear anything different, I'll let you know.)

    Several other recent developments have hinted at the shape of spaceflight to come, at least as far as NASA is concerned:

    • NASA has extended Boeing's engineering contract for the International Space Station through 2015, at a projected cost of $1.24 billion over five years. Boeing's Joy Bryant is quoted as saying the company's expertise can "set the stage to enable ISS operations until 2020, and potentially extend operations through 2028." That last date would imply a 20-year lifetime for the station, from the launching of the first pieces to the downing of the last hulk. In comparison, Russia's Mir space station lasted 15 years, from 1986 to 2001.

    • Four companies are listed today in NASA's announcement of an umbrella contract covering up to $15 billion in launch services over the next 10 years: Lockheed Martin, United Launch Services, Orbital Sciences and SpaceX.

    • The biggest question hanging over NASA's human spaceflight program relates to which vision for the program's future will prevail, at least for the coming fiscal year. It's clear that President Barack Obama's original plan won't make it through Congress, so it seems to be a choice between the Senate's version of the NASA authorization bill and the House's version. The Senate version is seen as friendlier to commercial space ventures (and the space agency's view as well), but this report from The Huntsville Times gives more exposure to the House version's backers.

    • If this is the sort of thing that floats your rocket-powered boat, join me and host Jay Ackroyd tonight at 9 p.m. ET (6 p.m. PT/SLT) on "Virtually Speaking," which is being simulcast on Second Life and BlogTalkRadio. We'll be talking about the future of NASA. Maybe you can even set me straight on what kind of future that will be....

  • Expedition bids farewell to Titanic

    An expedition to document the Titanic shipwreck site in 3-D has been brought to a quick end due to the approach of yet another hurricane.

    The RV Jean Charcot headed back from the site in the North Atlantic at midnight and is due back in port at St. John's, Newfoundland, on Friday.

    "Safety first," the Expedition Titanic team declared in a Facebook update. "The accelerated movement of Hurricane Igor means that we are leaving the wreck site earlier than expected. ... Even though we're leaving early, we still have plenty of great photos and videos to share over the coming weeks and months."

    Some of those images document areas of the debris field that have been little-seen since the 98-year-old wreck of the luxury liner was rediscovered in 1985.


    Anyone who's watched the movie "Titanic" is familiar with the ship's jutting bow  — which was the site of Leonardo DiCaprio's "King of the World" scene and now serves as the shipwreck's signature image. The bow was most recently featured in NBC News' reports from the expedition, aired last month before Hurricane Danielle forced a weeklong break in the action.

    You can almost imagine the ghosts of the Titanic's 1,517 victims wafting along nearly intact decks and rusted-out staterooms. Not so with the stern, however. The area around the ship's backside, which has been the focus of the expedition's underwater survey for the past week, reveals the full violence of the Titanic's clash with an iceberg and its resulting breakup.

    In the video above, which is being made available to the public here for the first time, you can see the steel of the hull broken off and peeled away like the skin of an orange. Whole sections of the hull are stacked on the seafloor, with portholes staring up like the eyes of dead fish.

    You can also see a ship propeller lying amid the debris, and there's a close-up look at the conical top of a high-pressure cylinder from the Titanic's main engines. With a diameter of 54 inches and a stroke of more than 6 feet, this cylinder produced about 3,750 horsepower when the Titanic was moving full steam ahead.

    Another video, shown for the first time below, surveys the debris field around the stern: a splayed-out section of the hull here, a porcelain basin there, the intricately wrought side piece from a bench sitting atop mangled metal, a brass grate gleaming dully in the deep.

    Even though the expedition is winding down, there's lots more to see: The Expedition Titanic website provides a great overview of the effort, and you can count on RMS Titanic Inc.'s Facebook page, Twitter feed, Flickr photo site and YouTube video channel to point you to the latest imagery. The Waitt Institute and WHOI's Dave Gallo are filing updates as well. If you haven't seen Kerry Sanders' reports on the expedition, check 'em out now. And stay tuned for more pictures and first-run video in a follow-up Cosmic Log posting.


     For something completely different, you can tune in at 9 p.m. ET tonight (6 p.m. PT/SLT) and hear me chat with Jay Ackroyd on "Virtually Speaking" about the future of NASA. The show is being simulcast on Second Life and BlogTalkRadio. If you miss it, don't worry: The show will be archived. Join the Cosmic Log corps by signing up as my Facebook friend or hooking up on Twitter. And if you really want to be friendly, ask me about "The Case for Pluto."

  • China continues satellite maneuvers

    Secure World Foundation

    This computer-generated graphic shows the orbits of six Chinese SJ-06 satellites. The current rendezvous tests involve the SJ-06F satellite, following an orbital path marked as purple, and a recently launched SJ-12 satellite.

    Space-watchers say China is still doing whatever it started doing last month with two close-flying satellites in orbit. And that's keeping outside observers worried about the fact that Chinese officials have not yet actually said what it is they're doing.

    The maneuvers, which appear to involve rendezvous operations between the SJ-06F satellite and the more recently launched SJ-12 craft, could amount to practice for space station dockings or coordinated satellite observations from orbit. Few folks would have a problem with that. But they also could be aimed at developing the expertise for lurking near someone else's satellte and eavesdropping, or even knocking that satellite out of commission in the event of a crisis. That's the worrisome part.

    The formation-flying exercise began in mid-August, and stirred up a significant fuss a couple of weeks ago when some observers speculated that the SJ-12 might have given a nudge to the SJ-06F. China says the satellites in the SJ series (SJ stands for "Shijian," or "Practice" in Chinese) are designed for scientific purposes, but space experts suspect that they actually are being used for military surveillance.

    Amateur satellite observers around the world say the two spacecraft are still flying close together, a month after the maneuvers began. The U.S. military's tracking data have shown that they're separated by about half a mile (1 kilometer), NBC News analyst James Oberg noted in an e-mail. "This close-in relative position requires positive control — thruster firings — and onboard navigation to determine how to direct the steering jets," Oberg said.

    Back in August, the U.S. Strategic Command confirmed that there were "two satellites in close proximity with each other" but said it could not confirm "if they have made physical contact."

    Now Oberg passes along a new Defense Department statement, which says both less and more at the same time:

    "Orbital analysts at the Joint Space Operations Center are still tracking both objects and continue to monitor them for conjunctions as part of their routine conjunction screenings for all active satellites. Providing specific details on position/proximity would move into classified and/or sensitive information."

    The statement signals that the Pentagon will no longer be discussing the satellites or whether there's a chance that they could collide with each other (in a conjunction). Such details are now considered "classified and/or sensitive information."

    If there are any future conflicts between technologically advanced nations, one of the battlefronts could well be in outer space. China sparked a debate over the potential for "space war" in 2007 when it sent up a missile to knock down one of its own satellites in 2007. Beijing didn't confirm the existence of that space maneuver until nearly two weeks after it occurred. A year later, it was China's turn to express concern when the Pentagon conducted its own satellite-downing operation.

    The United States and Russia have been conducting orbital rendezvous for decades. Without that capability, you can't build a space station or walk on the moon. Few people would begrudge the Chinese the opportunity to develop a similar capability for their own space program. The only problem is that there's been no official information about the satellite maneuvers from Beijing (although the maneuvers have been the subject of unofficial debate inside as well as outside China).

    "So far, still no official or even off-the-record disclosure from Beijing that this new experiment is in progress for a month," Oberg said. "That lack of official information can legitimately be considered 'information' about the mission goals and their probable military purposes."


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  • Boeing aims for space tours by 2015

    Boeing

    An artist's conception shows the Boeing Co.'s CST-100 craft approaching the International Space Station.

    The Boeing Co. and Virginia-based Space Adventures today unveiled the outlines of their deal to market passenger seats on orbital spaceships. The deal, which was telegraphed in advance last week, would broaden Space Adventures' clientele from millionaire "citizen explorers" to non-governmental agencies and corporations, and even federal agencies other than NASA.

    Boeing's vice president and general manager for space exploration, Brewster Shaw, said the deal was in line with his company's heritage. "One of our stated goals in our division is to become the Boeing commercial aircraft of human space commerce," he told journalists during a teleconference conducted from Boeing's offices in Arlington, Va.

    The deal calls for flying paying passengers alongside NASA astronauts to and from the International Space Station, and eventually other, as-yet-unspecified destinations as well. But neither Boeing nor Space Adventures were ready to answer the bottom-line question: How much will a ticket cost? The best they could say was that the price would be competitive with the cost of a ride on a station-bound Russian Soyuz craft, which is currently pegged at $40 million a seat.

    Boeing's commercial space capsule, known as the CST-100, is expected to be operational by 2015. The craft's main purpose will be to service the space station after the space shuttle fleet is retired. Boeing expects there to be open seats on the CST-100 space taxis — which should be able to seat seven, albeit under tighter conditions than those that exist on the shuttle. Space Adventures will be given the task of marketing those extra seats to non-NASA customers once the capsule comes online.

    In the past, Space Adventures has arranged with the Russians to fly seven millionaires to the space station — most recently, Cirque du Soleil founder Guy Laliberte, almost a year ago. The price tag for such flights has been escalating, from an initial ballpark figure of $20 million to Laliberte's $40 million fare. But with the expansion of the station's capacity and the phase-out of the shuttles, NASA needs more seats for its own astronauts. The result is that the supply of seats available for paying passengers on Russia's Soyuz craft has dried up, at least for the next couple of years.

    The deal with Boeing provides Space Adventures with another potential supplier, which will provide more competition in the orbital transport market. If the Russians have seats available to sell in the years ahead, there'll be competitive pressure to keep the price low. And if you have any hope of going into outer space yourself, competition is a good thing: That's the only way to bring the cost of a trip to orbit not only within the budget of a millionaire, but within the budget of less welll-heeled travelers as well.

    Competition in the spaceflight market
    During today's teleconference, executives from Boeing as well as Space Adventures said it was too early to talk about pricing.

    "Certainly a lot of that comes from the launch vehicle choice," said Eric Anderson, Space Adventures' chairman. "There are a lot of other factors that play into it, including what the destination is, what the experience is. We'll see. I think it's definitely fair to say that it will be competitive with what's out there, and I just think we'll have to leave it at that for now."

    Another source of competition could be Las Vegas-based Bigelow Aerospace, which has already partnered with Boeing and aims to launch commercial space stations starting in 2014 or 2015. That would provide an alternate destination for space travelers and researchers. Anderson said his company had no arrangement with Bigelow but added that he would "love to work" with the company. He also hinted that Space Adventures might market passenger seats for other space destinations but declined to be more specific.

    "The price, when it's in the right range, should be less emphasized than things like the safety and the reliability of the team providing the experience," Anderson said. "Other factors turn out to be a lot more important at this stage of the game."

    NASA paying out $18 million ... and more to come?
    Boeing is one of several companies that is receiving money from NASA for the development of orbital space systems. So far, NASA has committed $18 million to the project, and about two-thirds of that money has been paid out, Elbon said. Boeing has built a structural test article for the CST-100 and has begun a variety of tests.

    The current plan calls for the space taxis to be launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida — perhaps atop the United Launch Alliance's Atlas 5 or Delta 4, or SpaceX's Falcon 9. When they head back to Earth from the space station, the airbag-cushioned taxis would land at White Sands in New Mexico, Edwards Air Force Base in California or some other similarly out-of-the-way location. Boeing's specifications call for each taxi to be used at least 10 times, with a turnaround time of 6 months between flights, Elbon said.

    Elbon said NASA's continued financial support is an essential piece of Boeing's business plan. "We wouldn't be able to close the business case" if NASA discontinued its funding, he said. The 2015 start of operations is based on the assumption that funding would continue at a tempo that matched the projected development schedule.

    He said Boeing has the equivalent of 80 to 100 full-time employees working on the project.

    "We are hopeful that Congress puts a budget in place that will allow a follow-on Space Act Agreement to pick up as early as Nov. 1, so that we can maintain the team that we have and keep progress on schedule," Elbon told me. "The dates that I gave you are a function of that happening. If that doesn't happen — if there's a continuing resolution, for example, that doesn't enable commercial crew [development] to continue — that will create a gap in our development program."

    The deal is also based on the assumption that Boeing will actually end up providing crew transport services to NASA in the post-shuttle era, which is not a foregone conclusion.

    Despite that uncertainty, Anderson doesn't intend to wait until 2015 to start selling seats.

    "Regarding when Space Adventures is able to begin marketing seats under the agreement, the answer is now," he told me, "with the caveat that marketing initially really involves discussions with serious parties and entities. We need to flesh out things like pricing and schedule. And obviously we are awaiting clarity with regard to the level of commercial crew funding."

    As it happens, a fight is brewing on Capitol Hill over NASA funding: The House version of an authorization bill would allocate less money than the Senate version for space commercialization — and if an agreement isn't reached within the next few weeks, Boeing and other spaceship developers may be left hanging in legislative limbo.

    Elbon was asked whether today's deal was timed to influence Congress. "It wasn't a conscious effort to announce this week," he replied, "although maybe it'll turn out to be a fortuitious situation."

    I'd love to hear what you have to say about the situation for future spaceflight, as it's shaping up for next month as well as for 2015 and beyond. Feel free to leave your comments below. For the record, here's the full news release, which you can also find on Boeing's website:

    "The Boeing Company [NYSE: BA] and Space Adventures, Ltd. have established a memorandum of agreement regarding the marketing of anticipated transportation services to destinations in low Earth orbit (LEO) on Boeing commercial crew spacecraft.

    "Under this agreement, Space Adventures will market passenger seats on commercial flights aboard the Boeing Crew Space Transportation-100 (CST-100) spacecraft to LEO. Potential customers for excess seating capacity include private individuals, companies, non-governmental organizations, and U.S. federal agencies other than NASA. Boeing plans to use the CST-100 to provide crew transportation to the International Space Station (ISS) and future commercial LEO platforms.

    "'By combining our talents, we can better offer safe, affordable transportation to commercial spaceflight customers,' said Brewster Shaw, vice president and general manager of Boeing's Space Exploration division. 'To date, all commercial flights for private spaceflight participants to the ISS have been contracted by Space Adventures. If NASA and the international partners continue to accommodate commercial spaceflight participants on ISS, this agreement will be in concert with the NASA administrator's stated intent to promote space commerce in low Earth orbit.'

    "Boeing and Space Adventures have not yet set a price per seat for spaceflight participants, but will do so when full-scale development is under way. Boeing continues to advance its design for the CST-100 spacecraft under NASA's Commercial Crew Development Space Act Agreement. The spacecraft, which can carry seven people, will be able to fly on multiple launch vehicles and is expected to be operational by 2015.

    "'We are excited about the potential to offer flights on Boeing's spacecraft,' said Eric Anderson, co-founder and chairman of Space Adventures. 'With our customer experience and Boeing's heritage in human spaceflight, our goal is not only to benefit the individuals who fly to space, but also to help make the resources of space available to the commercial sector by bringing the value from space back to Earth.'

    "Space Adventures has successfully contracted and flown seven spaceflight participants on eight missions to the International Space Station.

    "Space Adventures, headquartered in Vienna, Va., is the only company that provides orbital spaceflight opportunities to the world marketplace. The company offers a spectrum of programming that ranges from terrestrial weightless flights to orbital missions, flights to the edge of space, and a historic return to the Moon. Space Adventures' clients have spent over 2,000 hours in space, traveling over 35 million miles.

    "A unit of The Boeing Company, Boeing Defense, Space & Security is one of the world's largest defense, space and security businesses specializing in innovative and capabilities-driven customer solutions, and the world's largest and most versatile manufacturer of military aircraft. Headquartered in St. Louis, Boeing Defense, Space & Security is a $34 billion business with 68,000 employees worldwide."


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  • NASA via AFP - Getty Images

    This satellite image from NASA shows Hurricane Igor and Julia churning in the Atlantic Ocean today, with Tropical Storm Karl forming in the Caribbean.

    Storms look scary ... even from space

    You may be able to debate which monuments are visible from outer space, but there's no debating this picture: Three storms dominate the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico in the image from the GOES-13 satellite, which is managed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and provides data to NASA. From left to right are Tropical Storm Karl, which is heading for Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula; Hurricane Igor, a Category 4 storm that forecasters say will arc northward through the Atlantic; and Hurricane Julia, a Category 1 storm expected to parallel Igor's path.

    Igor looks particularly scary: The CIMSS Satellite Blog offers a series of amazing animated images showing monstrous clouds churning around the hurricane's well-defined, 20-nautical-mile-wide eye.

    Hurricane Igor

    Ed Olsen / NASA / JPL

    Color-coded infrared imagery from the AIRS instrument aboard NASA's Aqua satellite shows Hurricane Igor with a clear and large eye, with very strong convection (purple) and high, powerful thunderstorm cloud tops around the center. The dark orange areas indicate ocean temperatures well over the 80-degree-Fahrenheit threshold needed to maintain intensity.

    An infrared image from NASA's Aqua satellite illustrates in psychedelic colors just what it is that keeps the storm going. The satellite's Atmospheric Infrared Sounder, or AIRS, detected temperatures that dropped to 90 degrees below zero Fahrenheit (-68 degrees Celsius) at Igor's cloud tops (shown in purple). The big chill suggests that the clouds are rising to the top of the troposphere, driven by strong winds.

    Meanwhile, the water surrounding Igor is very warm. The deep orange colors represent sea surface temperatures in excess of 80 degrees F (27 degrees C) — warm enough to keep Igor in business for days. In a news release, NASA notes that the temperature difference between the cold cloud tops and the warm waters that are powering the storm exceeds 170 degrees Fahrenheit, or 95 degrees Celsius. That's just about equal to the difference between boiling and freezing water.

    To keep track of these scary storms in the days ahead, click into the Weather section and check out our whiz-bang Hurricane Tracker. And for a quick primer on hurricane science, take a spin through our "Birth of a Hurricane" interactive.



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  • This comet's ready for its close-up

    Rolando Ligustri / CAST / CARA

    Comet 103/P Hartley 2 glows green in this image captured by Italian astrophotographer Rolando Ligustri using the Global Rent A Scope system in New Mexico.

    Comet Hartley 2 is looming larger in a space probe's field of view, and in the cameras of earthbound stargazers as well. But there are even better views to come, on Earth and in the heavens. Soon you can even see it for yourself.

    The comet's close approach ranks as one of the stargazing highlights of the year, as well as a highlight for NASA's EPOXI mission. The probe's acronym actually super-glues two abbreviations together: EPOCh (Extrasolar Planet Obervation and Characterization) plus DIXI (Deep Impact eXtended Investigation). Comet 103P/Hartley 2 is the star of the DIXI part of the show. On Nov. 4, the recommissioned Deep Impact spacecraft will come within 450 miles (700 kilometers)of the half-mile-wide (kilometer-wide) comet.

    Comet Hartley 2

    NASA / JPL / UM

    Red lines point to Comet Hartley 2 in the EPOXI mission's first picture of its target.

    EPOXI's first picture of the gassy, dirty snowball came in last week, and another one was posted just today. You can follow the flow of mission data day by day via @cometexplorer's Twitter updates. But right now, Hartley 2 looks like little more than a fuzzy smudge amid the background stars.

    Earthly observers are getting nicer pictures and posting them to EPOXI's Facebook page. The color pictures show the comet surrounded by an eerie greenish glow. British astrophotographer Nick Howes assembled his black-and-white images into a video that tracks Hartley 2 through the night sky:

    Just as EPOXI is coming closer to Hartley 2, Hartley 2 is coming closer to Earth with every passing day. Sky & Telescope's Greg Bryant says the comet should reach magnitude 5 or 6 in the constellation Cassiopeia by early October. Usually that would be bright enough for naked-eye observing under optimal conditions. "But it's important to note that ... its light is no longer concentrated into a small dot but instead is more spread out. So even if you can sight a 6th-magnitude star with the unaided eye, Hartley 2 will be tougher," Bryant writes.

    Oct. 7 should be about the peak time for comet-watching, in part because there won't be any competing glare from the moon. In the Northern Hemisphere, binoculars and small telescopes should bring Hartley 2 into view — if you know where to look. Sky & Telescope's diagram pinpoints the comet's location as it moves across the sky.

    You can also feast your eyes on the cometary imagery popping up on Facebook and the University of Maryland's Amateur Observers' Gallery, as well as on Gary W. Kronk's Cometography website and at the Lowell Observatory.

    Comet Hartley 2

    Photo by Gary W. Kronk

    Comet Hartley 2 shines in a picture taken by Gary Kronk from his observatory in Illinois on Sept. 12.

    The Planetary Society's Emily Lakdawalla notes that EPOXI's camera doesn't have the resolving power that Earth-based cameras do, and that's one reason why the telescopic images are better now. (Another reason is that Earth is currently closer to Hartley 2 than EPOXI is, due to the spacecraft's looping trajectory.)

    All that will change as EPOXI closes in for its encounter and sends back not just dozens of images, but tens of thousands of images. "Space cameras eventually take better pictures of targets because they get much closer to them," Lakdawalla says.

    I can hardly wait.


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  • Can business ideas benefit billions?

    Agropolis

    An artist's conception shows a supermarket that features food products grown on the premises through vertical farming. Such products could range from fruits and vegetables to farmed fish and lab-grown meat.

    Tech-savvy entrepreneurs are aiming to find out whether vertical-farm markets, 3-D printers and other innovations can do some good for more than a billion people over the next decade … and do well enough to earn profits in the process. The ventures were born during a summer session at Singularity University in California's Silicon Valley, and announced by the university's founders just today.

    Singularity U. started out three years ago as an idea that bounced around between inventor/futurist Ray Kurzweil (author of "The Singularity Is Near") and X Prize Foundation co-founder Peter Diamandis. The academic institution's graduate students pay $25,000 (minus scholarships) for a 10-week summer program aimed at filling them in on the promise of exponentially growing information technologies — a concept that Kurzweil is so keen on that I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up getting abbreviated to EGITs ("egg-its").

    The way Kurzweil sees it, many walks of life are amenable to exponential acceleration — not just computer hardware, where the concept manifests itself as Moore's Law, but medical advances and energy possibilities as well. Kurzweil believes information technology will eventually help us crack the codes of life and take advantage of the terawatts of solar power hitting our planet. "Ultimately it transforms all these other areas," Kurzweil said today during a video briefing.

    Vertical farm

    Dickson Despommier / Verticalfarm

    An artist's conception shows the "Living Tower" vertical farm concept. Learn more about vertical farming..

    So how do EGITS apply to entrepreneurship? Diamandis observed that most business ideas are based on technology as it is, not technologies as they will be. "It takes three or four years to bring a business to market, and by that time, it's obsolete," he said. During the graduate program, students are encouraged to think outside the box, or at least think inside an exponentially growing box.

    Last year, as part of Singularity U.'s "10 to the Ninth Plus" project, the students came up with four ideas for spin-off ventures that they thought could improve the lives of at least a billion people over the next 10 years — including Getaround and CiviGuard. Getaround is an online rental service aimed at maximizing the usage of private automotive vehicles. "Their goal is to do for automobiles what cloud computing does for computers," Kurzweil explained. CiviGuard is working to set up a system for two-way emergency communication, linking victims with emergency responders.

    This year's graduate students produced about a dozen ideas, aimed at providing more abundant food, cleaner energy, cleaner water, improved access to space and more sustainable use of technology (a concept dubbed "upcycling"). Here's the full lineup:

    Food: A venture called Agropolis aims to put hydroponics and vertical farming to work on a local scale. "This particular project ... deals with producing little modules that can be decentralized," Kurzweil said. One potential application would be to grow produce as well as farm-bred tilapia fish and bioengineered meat inside a multistory building, and sell the foodstuffs at a market located in the same building. "They're off at this point to start up a company," Diamandis said.

    "We have a schedule for research, and we're talking with partners to build a prototype," team member Maggie Jack told me. She said the first prototype facilities would be set up in California and India — but there's lots that has to be done before taking that step. "We're working on this kind of in our part time, spare time, until the winter," said Jack, who is a program manager for San Francisco-based Social Venture Technology Group.  

    Energy: Another potential startup is Amunda, which would seek to set up small-scale markets in energy for the developing world. "A group can basically say, 'We have 500 households that need this many kilowatts per day,'" Diamandis said. Potential energy providers could then bid to provide the energy for that market. Online tools, such as a "Google Earth with a marketing overlay," could facilitate such markets, Diamandis said.

    Water: One team project, dubbed Naishio, would enlist converging technologies (bio plus nano plus solar) to desalinate seawater more efficiently. Former NASA astronaut Dan Barry, Singularity U.'s faculty head, thinks technological convergence was a key to success. "That's where it really starts to get exciting and explodes for me," he said today. Other ventures include Sensoria, which focuses on biology-based sensor technologies to test water purity; and H2020, which would set up an online destination about water resources.

    Space: Made in Space would enlist 3-D printers to make spare parts for spacecraft such as the International Space Station, rather than having to ship up tons of parts just in case something breaks. "You just launch the goo, the plastic, the material that you're going to print parts out of," Barry said. That could dramatically reduce the amount of mass that has to be launched to support a particular mission. "It can be the difference between a Mars mission that gets funded and goes, versus one that's too expensive and too difficult to do," Barry said.

    Another venture is working with NASA's Ames Research Center and the California Institute of Technology to develop a beamed-energy system that would send up laser light or microwaves to power spacecraft. "That system has the potential to be on the order of 50 to 100 times more efficient than traditional launch vehicles," Diamandis said. Still other teams came up with ideas to bioengineer organisms for extraterrestrial environments, or to do low-cost biological research in space.

    Upcycling: The Fre3dom team is working on a 3-D printing process that would allow local communities in the developing world to make their own spare parts for broken-down equipment. "They've identified a new bioplastic that would work well with the existing cutting-edge generation of 3-D printers," Kurzweil said. Other teams are trying to come up with better methods to extract valuable metals from electronic waste (BioMine) and create more efficient markets for products that one company might see as industrial waste (i2cycle).

    All these ideas will require financing to be turned into realities, of course, and part of Singularity U.'s appeal is that venture capital types (from companies such as ePlanet Ventures, Draper Fisher Jurvetson, and Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers)  have been involved in the summer session alongside the entrepreneurs. That's part of the reason why the students are willing to pay tens of thousands of dollars for 10 weeks of summer school.

    If you were an investor, which ideas would you bet on? If you were a philanthropist, which causes would you support? What challenges would you want to see next year's Singularity U. graduate students address? Or do you think there are better ways to do good while doing well? Feel free to weigh in with your comments below.


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  • NASA does a dry run for deep space

    NASA

    Crew members inside Rover B snap a picture of Rover A through their windshield during NASA's Desert RATS exercise in the Arizona desert. Note the fuzzy dice dangling over the dashboard.

    NASA's Desert RATS exercise is in full swing, and that means astronauts in mocked-up spacesuits and monster rovers are roaming the Arizona desert to practice for a journey to Mars.

    Desert RATS is the space agency's high-profile field trip to test the prototypes for contraptions that could go along with the astronauts on honest-to-goodness trips to the Red Planet, or an asteroid, or the moon, or wherever NASA wants to go in the future. The acronym stands for "research and technology studies." This month's exercise has been going on at Black Point Lava Flow in northern Arizona for nearly two weeks. It's due to wind up on Wednesday.

    Among the hardware being tested are pressurized rovers as big as RVs, designed to house future astronauts as they travel the surface of another world for up to seven days at a time ... Tri-ATHLETE robots that could carry entire habitats on their backs ... a four-wheeled prototype rover base for Robonauts ... and lots of other gadgets. NASA's exploration website has an overview of the exercise, and there's a weblog as well as a Flickr photo gallery and a Twitter account.

    Inside Science News Service's Eric Betz explains the rationale behind the RATS. NASA Watch's Keith Cowing has been providing regular updates. Check out this nighttime "Image of the Day" featuring the RATS' home base. And for some real-time interaction, tune in the live Desert RATS webcasts from noon to 2 p.m. ET on Wednesday and Thursday, hosted by NASA Edge and the Challenger Center on UStream.

    More about our future in space:


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  • Titanic quest turns to new territory

    Researchers have returned to the site of the Titanic shipwreck, after a break that was forced by Hurricane Danielle. Now they're turning their attention from the well-known hulk's bow to its stern, to take a look at areas of the debris field that haven't been studied since the Titanic was rediscovered in 1986.

    The research vessel Jean Charcot began its high-definition, 3-D survey of the underwater site last month, with the aim of documenting the historic wreck in unprecedented detail before it disintegrates. NBC News' Kerry Sanders was in on the adventure when the first pictures were beamed up from robot vehicles operating two and a half miles beneath the surface of the North Atlantic. (In comparison, the remotely operated vehicles involved in the response to the Gulf of Mexico oil spill were a mere mile down.)

    Unfortunately, Hurricane Danielle's storm track came a little too close for comfort, and the Jean Charcot had to head back to port in Newfoundland at the end of August. This week, the team sailed back to resume their survey.


    Expedition Titanic's two autonomous underwater vehicles (nicknamed Ginger and Mary Ann, after the "Gilligan's Island" women) and its camera-laden remotely operated vehicle have been back in the water already, although the seas were too choppy for remote operations today. Among the shots that have shown up on the expedition's Facebook page are eerie pictures of the officers' cabins and the first-class promenade deck.

    In a video clip, research specialist Bill Lange (who was involved in the 1986 rediscovery expedition) discusses the shift in operations from the ship's bow to its stern. The plan laid out by Lange calls for spiraling out from the stern section and checking a list of high-interest targets. "We hit this one, we're covering new ground, because no one's looked at this since '86," Lange said.

    It's been 98 years since the Titanic ran into an iceberg and sank, causing more than 1,500 deaths. The ship is slowly disintegrating into scrap, and yet it retains a powerful grip on the popular imagination — in part because the wreck was lost for so long, and in part because the sinking of an unsinkable ocean liner serves as "the world's largest symbol of man's mortality and vulnerability," as The Onion put it in a famous parody.

    The difficulties that Expedition Titanic has had to weather so far simply reinforce the metaphor's message: Never assume you can beat Mother Nature.

    I've been in touch with a couple of folks on the expedition and will keep you posted as it proceeds. But communication is spotty. "We are dealing with a very low bandwidth satellite dish out here," team member Bob Sitrick told me via e-mail. You can also check these resources for updates:


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  • Evolve on the Web this weekend

    "Becoming Human" was an eye-opener of a website a decade ago, and it inspired an eye-opener of a public-TV documentary series that made its debut on PBS' "Nova" last year. The TV shows, like the website, traced the scientific tale of how ancient primates gave rise to the human species — not through a sudden spark, but through a transition that took millions of years. Now "Nova" is rebroadcasting the series, with the final part airing on PBS next week. But you don't even have to wait that long to skip ahead: All three hourlong shows are freely available for watching online.

    For more perspectives on human evolution, check out "The Human Edge," a series of online and audio reports from NPR. Or this Q&A in The Guardian about "The Artificial Ape." Or this review of "Almost Chimpanzee," a new book that sizes our species up against our closest kin in the animal kingdom.

    You can even check out our "Before and After Humans" interactive, which was created in 2005 to accompany my story about the possible paths for future human evolution. How the Web has evolved in the five years since then!

    Here are some more weekend explorations on the Web:

    Every week I try to link to something howlarious from the Cracked website, and this week's offering is "The Five Strangest Things Evolution Left in Your Body."

    What happens when a gizmo loses out in the survival of the fittest? Here's a list of the "Top 10 Lost Technologies," via GeekPress.

    Ooh! Ooh! Special-effects guru Douglas Trumbull offers teaser videos for some pretty interesting projects, including a "Making of '2001'" documentary that allows him to walk right into scenes from the classic science-fiction movie.

    Looks like Trumbull is also planning to get serious about the UFO phenomenon ... which fits right in with the "he said, she said" set of UFO commentaries that stirred up such a fuss this week. What? You haven't read them? Check it out, and read some fresh UFO stories as well. The truth is out there. ...

  • Saturn's moons team up

    NASA / JPL / SSI

    Four moons are visible in this portrait of Saturn and its rings, but two are so small you have to see the full-resolution view to spot them. Titan is at lower left, and Tethys is at upper right. The moon Pandora is a speck on the extreme left, just below the rings. Epimetheus is another speck, above the rings near the middle left. Look for all four moons in the enlarged picture.
     

    NASA / JPL / SSI

    Four Saturnian moons crowd around a sliver of the planet's rings, seen nearly edge-on. From left, the moons include Epimetheus, Janus, Prometheus and Atlas.

    Saturn's 62 moons range from overgrown rocks that are less than a half-mile wide to giant Titan, which is bigger than the planet Mercury. These pictures from the Cassini orbiter show off two "quartets" of moons against the backdrop of Saturn's rings. But you have to look really, really close to see the smallest members of each group.

    The first picture, taken on July 17 and released today, features Titan in the lower left corner and the icy moon Tethys toward the upper right. So where are the other moons in the foursome? Pandora, a 50-mile-wide "shepherd" moon that helps keep Saturn's F-ring in line, is on the very left edge of the image. Epimetheus, which is 70 miles across, is above the rings, near the middle left of the image. But they're mere specks in this picture, which was taken from a distance of 1.6 million miles. You'll have a better chance of seeing them in this enlarged view.

    Epimetheus is easier to spot in the second Cassini image, which was taken on July 27 from a distance of 746,000 miles. It's on the far left. The other moons, moving from left to right, are Janus (111 miles across), Prometheus (53 miles across) and Atlas (19 miles across). Epimetheus and Janus make a matched set, because they share an orbit around Saturn but manage to stay out of each other's way. The odd couple's relationship is explained in this NASA video.


    Check out this slideshow for more of Cassini's greatest hits. For more great images from Earth and beyond, explore our Photoblog. You can join the Cosmic Log corps by signing up as my Facebook friend or hooking up on Twitter with @b0yle. And if you really want to be friendly, ask me about "The Case for Pluto."

  • Boeing teams up with space tour firm

    Boeing

    The Boeing Co. is designing a space capsule, shown in this artist's conception approaching the International Space Station.

    Space Adventures, the Virginia-based company that has worked with the Russians to send seven millionaires to the International Space Station, says it has reached "a unique agreement" with the Boeing Co. on space transportation services — and executives from both companies will be talking about the deal next week.

    Today's announcement, sent to me via e-mail, merely notes that a noontime news briefing will be conducted next Wednesday at Boeing's offices in Arlington, Va. Speakers will include Brewster Shaw, vice president and general manager of Boeing's space exploration division (and a former astronaut); as well as Eric Anderson, co-founder and chairman of Space Adventures.

    Space Adventures isn't saying anything further about the substance of the deal — but you could easily make the case that each company has something the other one wants:

    • Under the terms of an $18 million agreement with NASA, Boeing is designing a spaceship known as the CST-100 that can carry up to seven people to the space station and other destinations in low Earth orbit. But the aerospace giant has said that ferrying astronauts for NASA isn't a lucrative enough business by itself. It also needs commitments for private-sector clients. That's one reason why Boeing already has partnered with Nevada-based Bigelow Aerospace, which is planning to put a commercial space station into orbit as early as 2014 or 2015. I'm guessing that Boeing would love to have an even bigger market for its commercial space transport services.

    • For years, Space Adventures has been building up a list of clients willing to take multimillion-dollar trips into orbit — including, for example, Sergey Brin, one of Google's billionaire co-founders. In the past, the company has purchased open seats aboard the Russian Soyuz spacecraft that have brought astronauts to the space station and back. However, now that the station's long-duration capacity has been expanded from three to six, those open seats have dried up. Particularly with the imminent retirement of NASA's shuttle fleet, Soyuz seats are needed to ferry the professional astronauts back and forth. The outlook for tourist seats could improve a couple of years from now, but I'm guessing that Space Adventures would love to have a deal with Boeing like the one they've had with the Russians.

    But these are just my guesses. Feel free to speculate about what all this could mean for the two companies, and for space commercialization in general, by leaving your comments below. And tune in on Wednesday to get the full story.


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  • The race to create frankenfuel

    Jamie Cate and Susan Jenkins / UC Berkeley

    Under a microscope, yeast cells (Saccharomyces cerevisiae) glow green, indicating the presence of sugar transporters from a different type of fungus that have been tagged with green fluorescent protein.

    Ethanol just might help America break its addiction to fossil fuels — but not if it has to be made from corn, as is typically the case today. That's why researchers and entrepreneurs are rushing to find ways to turn non-food biomass into biofuel. The key trick will be to come up with a cheaper way to produce fuel from cellulosic material, ranging from corncobs to wood waste to switchgrass.

    It'd be great if brewer's yeast, the humble one-celled organism that biofuel producers use to make ethanol, could handle cellulose as well as it handles simpler sugars. That would cut down on all the enzymatic processing that's currently required to get the party started.

    Well, it turns out that researchers at the University of California at Berkeley are trying to teach that old brewer's yeast new tricks, by inserting genes from a type of fungus that can digest cellulose. The fungus, Neurospora crassa, can't produce alcohol. But the researchers conducted a genome-wide analysis of the critter and found a family of genes that appeared to facilitate the transport of more complex sugars into the cell. When the right genes were spliced into brewer's yeast (Saccharomyces cerevisiae), two of the resulting strains could grow on cellodextrin as well as the usual glucose. One strain produced 60 percent more alcohol than normal yeast when grown on a type of cellodextrin known as cellobiose.

    "This improvement over the wild organism is a proof-of-principle that allows us to take the technology to the next level, with the goal of engineering yeast that can digest and ferment plant material in one pot," Jamie Cate, a member of the Berkeley team, said in a news release. Enzymes would still be required to break cellulose down into cellodextrins, but further genetic engineering could conceivably streamline the process further. And Cate pointed out that a wide variety of biofuels could be produced.

    "The use of these cellodextrin transporters is not limited to yeast that makes ethanol," Cate said. "They could be used in any yeast that's been engineered to make, for example, other alcohols or jet fuel substitutes."

    The Berkeley researchers' report was published today on the journal Science's website and will appear in a future issue. But they're not the only ones working to improve biofuel production through genetic engineering. Heck, that's one of the big reasons why genetic pioneer J. Craig Venter and others are putting so much effort into developing synthetic cells.

    Here are links to other reports about yeast re-engineering:

    Some folks are already worried about the potential risks associated with "frankenfuels." The issue is definitely something to think about. If you believe re-engineering yeast to make better biofuel is scary, what would you say to combining genetically engineered yeast with human DNA to create artificial corneas? And it's not just yeast: E. coli bacteria are being tweaked as well, to produce biodiesel.

    I'd love to get your honest opinion on bioengineering — so please be frank in your comments below.


    Authors of the SciencExpress study, "Cellodextrin Transport in Yeast for Improved Biofuel Production," include Cate as well as Jonathan Galazka, Chaoguang Tian, William Beeson and N. Louise Glass of the University of California at Berkeley, and Bruno Martinez of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

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  • Ready for some football science?

    NBC Universal

    A video segment shows students and sports fans how projectile motion and parabolas play a role in football.

    Scientists and sports stars are taking to the field with a 10-part video series that explains the physics and biology behind football, just in time for today's start of the NFL regular season.

    The "Science of NFL Football" series is presented by NBC Learn, in partnership with the National Science Foundation and the National Football League. (Msnbc.com is a joint venture of Microsoft and NBC Universal.) The project follows up on "Science of the Olympic Winter Games," a similar educational venture that made a splash earlier this year.

    "To paraphrase what President Kennedy once said — when we watch or play a football game, we feel like we've taken part in it," Ed Seidel, assistant director of NSF's Mathematical and Physical Sciences directorate, said in a news release. "But in this series we hope to achieve more than that. We want students to feel they've taken part in understanding the physical principles underlying the action on the field."

    NBC News President Steve Capus said his network was "extremely excited" to participate in a project "that combines science education and a sport that so many kids know and love."

    The NFL is excited as well: Several sports stars play starring roles in the videos, including Steelers wide receiver Hines Ward, Dolphins place kicker Dan Carpenter and former Saints running back Deuce McAllister. "When we can energize our students to learn through physical fitness and sports, it's win-win for everyone," McAllister said.

    Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

    The series' scientific stars aren't too shabby, either. The scientists explaining the principles behind the game include physicists and engineers, a mathematician and a nutritionist. A high-speed Phantom camera captures the athletes' movements at up to 2,000 frames per second to show Newton's Laws of Motion at work. Lesson plans to accompany the videos are available via Lessonopoly. Three videos are already available, and one more will be added to the set every Friday through Oct. 29.

    The videos released so far spend a lot of time talking about vectors, as they apply to punting a football or throwing the ball to a receiver in motion. I guess that's a teachable moment for classical mechanics. There's also a spot about nutrition for football players, which includes the fact that they burn 5,000 to 10,000 food calories per day (as opposed to the norm of 2,200 to 3,000 calories per day). So it's pretty basic stuff, well-suited for getting kids who are football fans fired up about physics and physiology as well.

    You'll find plenty more about the science of football on the Web. Here's a nice six-pack to sample while you're watching tonight's game:


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  • What to do in the event of nukes

    Get your daily dose of science, including advice for surviving a terrorist nuke attack, in just a few minutes:

    What should Washingtonians do if a 10-kiloton nuclear device goes off in the nation's capital? Stay put in your basement. That's what Stanford researchers conclude in a report in the journal Risk Analysis. They say about 80,000 people would die in the event of an emergency evacuation — but that number would be reduced by about a third if folks just took shelter in their basement or near the middle of a large building. "The logistical challenge of an evacuation appears to be beyond current response capabilities," study author Lawrence Wein says in a Stanford news release. Which also happens to be the conclusion reached by the researchers who wrote the script for "Independence Day."

    More findings on the Web:

    Meteorite contains shrapnel from a supernova that occurred as our solar system was being born.

    Discover magazine provides a handy how-to guide for discovering subatomic particles. Go to it, geeks!

    The New Yorker profiles the woman behind 'The Secret' and 'The Power.'

  • DNA points to royal roots in Africa

    Courtesy of William Holland

    DNA testing led Atlanta genealogical researcher William Holland to Cameroon in search of his roots.

    William Holland, a genealogical researcher living in Atlanta, has seen some pretty strange twists in his family tree. Several years ago, he found out that his great-grandfather was a black slave ... who wound up serving as a Confederate soldier during the Civil War. But this year Holland's research resulted in something even stranger.

    Thanks to DNA testing, Holland is being welcomed as a long-lost relative by a ruling family of the West African nation of Cameroon. He's visited the country once already, back in March, and he'll be getting the royal treatment in November when he goes back with additional members of his family, including his 79-year-old mother.

    "Imagine receiving that news, after all these years when you grew up as the son of a sharecropper. ... Everybody tells you that you came from slaves, you came from slaves. And now you find out that you came from royalty," Holland told me.

    Holland's case shows how genetic genealogy can untangle mysteries in a family tree — even for African-Americans, who typically face tougher challenges because the vital records for slaves are so scant.

    Holland attributes his success to GeneTree, a Utah-based DNA testing service that came up with the Cameroon connection. But GeneTree's chief scientific officer, geneticist Scott Woodward, said Williams' case was far from unusual.

    "This isn't our home run," Woodward told me. "It takes a lot of regular work. But what [the DNA analysis] did do was give us some nice clues and hints about where he should concentrate his efforts. Should he be looking in Cameroon, or should he be looking in Nigeria? That makes a big difference."

    In fact, previous genetic tests had indeed suggested that Holland's African roots went back to Nigeria — so much so that Holland arranged for some of his supposed Nigerian relatives to get tested as well. "When the results came back, it wasn't a match," Holland said. (I can sympathize with that situation: Nine years ago, I went down a similar blind alley in search of my Irish roots.)

    So Holland went back to the drawing board. This time, Holland plugged his genetic markers into a database provided by the Sorenson Molecular Genealogy Foundation, which draws upon GeneTree results as well as global genetic surveys.

    Unlike whole-genome sequencing or paternity tests, genealogical testing generally looks at only a limited number of DNA markers — either on the Y-chromosome, which is passed down from fathers to their sons; or in mitochondrial DNA, which is passed down from mothers to their children. Such markers can't be used to figure out your susceptibility to disease or even trace all your relatives. It can only give you an idea who you're related to along your all-paternal or all-maternal line of ancestry.

    The freely available Sorenson database takes the family search to an extra level, by linking the genetic data with traditional pedigrees contributed by those who have been tested. What's more, Sorenson's researchers — including Woodward, who serves as the foundation's executive director — have added test results from places around the world that would otherwise be poorly represented in genetic databases. For example, about 12,000 of the 110,000 DNA samples in the Sorenson files have come from Africa.

    "Most are centered in western Africa, because we believe that's the most interesting, particularly for African-Americans," Woodward said. "We've sampled literally hundreds of different villages throughout these countries."

    In Holland's case, the best matches all landed in Cameroon. "That's what got William excited about pursuing and checking some of those places," Woodward said.

    Armed with detailed pedigrees that linked up with the genetic matches, Holland headed out to Bamenda, the capital of Cameroon's North West Province and the place where the chief of the region's Mankon people has his palace. Holland discussed his family tree with tribal leaders in Bamenda, and eventually was received by the Mankon chief, His Royal Highness Fo Angwafo III.

    "He was so surprised," Holland recalled. "He gave me about an hour of his time. He looked at me, and he just couldn't believe it. He told me, 'William, you could be my son.'"

    During the month that followed, local elders pored over all the records that Holland had prepared. Then they called him in to hear the verdict. "With all the pedigrees you show, you belong to the royal family," Holland said he was told.

    Other research has helped fill in the historical gaps: Historians say that only a few ships were involved in the slave trade between Cameroon and Virginia in the early 1770s, the time frame during which Holland's ancestors came to the colonies. "I think I may have the actual ship that brought us to America. The Cambridge sailed in 1771. The Fox sailed in April 1772. I think that was the one," he said.

    Today, the 41-year-old Holland is working to renovate the family homestead in Virginia, where slaves once lived. He's also working to get his complete family history in order — and encouraging others to go on their own family quest.

    "We all come from different parts of the world, but this is how we come together," Holland told me.

    Meanwhile, Woodward and other researchers are working to develop new genetic tools for tracing family connections. One method would check markers on additional chromosomes to "fill in close relatives, we're thinking within four to six generations, and reconstruct a relationship between two individuals who share a common ancestor," Woodward said.

    "That's not even in beta. It's in alpha," Woodward told me. "It essentially covers all of your ancestors."

    That could mark a significant leap forward for genetic genealogy. The tests conducted on Y chromosomes or mitochondrial DNA aren't powerful enough to detemine the precise relationship between two individuals. But when they're accompanied by hard work and personal contacts, even those tests are clearly powerful enough to forge an ocean-crossing link between an African chief and the son of a sharecropper.

    "They're planning a huge welcome-home party for us in November," Holland said of his newfound family in Cameroon. "They consider us the lost children. There will be a lot of cooking, a lot of celebrating. ... You better get ready. This is something not to miss."

    More about Africa and genealogy:


    GeneTree is just one of many companies offering genetic testing for genealogical purposes. For further information about services and pricing, check out this guide on Cyndi's List, or this entry on Wikipedia. If you happen to be a Boyle looking for genealogical information, take a look at my Boyle family website. (Yes, I know it's in need of an update.) You can also connect with me via Facebook or Twitter. And if you really want to be friendly, ask me about "The Case for Pluto."

  • NASA / JPL-Caltech

    NASA's Opportunity rover snapped this stereo image of the terrain leading to Endeavour Crater on Aug. 18. The 3-D effect can be seen using red-blue glasses. Check out the full-size view on the website for NASA's Mars rovers.

    See a Martian milestone in 3-D

    After two years of trekking across Mars' Meridiani Planum, NASA's Opportunity rover has passed the halfway point in its 12-mile journey to a monster crater. This 3-D postcard celebrates the milestone — and the scientists on the Mars rover team are celebrating as well.

    "The good news is that the worst part of the journey is over," Matt Golombek, a geologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, told me today. "The rest should be more fun than previous."

    The full 3-D panorama, based on image data collected on Aug. 19, gives you a sense of what's ahead for Opportunity, six and a half years after it landed on the Red Planet. (Be sure to put on your red-blue glasses, or check out the 2-D, black-and-white image.) The raised rim of 13-mile-wide Endeavour Crater, Opportunity's destination, is barely visible on the horizon.

    To get to this point, Opportunity had to make a circuitous detour around dune fields with impassably high ripples of sand. That detour added more than four miles to the estimated drive distance between Endeavour and Victoria Crater, the place from which Opportunity started out in September 2008. Now Opportunity has a straight shot ahead. Right in front of the rover, there's lots of interesting bedrock to study. After one or two miles of outcrops, there's about four miles of "almost smooth sand" leading to the crater's rim, Golombek said. A 100-yard-wide (90-meter-wide) impact site, dubbed Santa Maria Crater, serves as an intermediate point of interest.

    Golombek can't predict how long the rest of Opportunity's trip to Endeavour Crater might take, because there's no telling how much time scientists will want to spend studying the rocks and the crater along the way. "That's the problem with us scientists," he joked.

    But he's pretty sure the rest of the trip won't take another two years. "We have the opportunity — no pun intended — to get through the second half in less time than the first," Golombek said.

    He and his colleagues don't want to dawdle too much, because Endeavour Crater could well be the most scientifically interesting place Opportunity has a chance to visit. Observations made by instruments aboard NASA's Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter indicate that the crater's rim is rich in phyllosilicates — a type of clay mineral that is formed on Earth under wet, warm, non-acidic conditions. In short, just the kinds of conditions that are friendly to life.

    Opportunity already has found lots of evidence that water played a role in ancient Martian geology, but to date, the evidence indicates that the water was pretty acidic. Some earthly organisms can survive under such acidic and salty conditions, but it would have a pretty rough time. The area around Endeavour Crater would have been a more hospitable oasis, Golombek said.

    The rover's instruments are designed to focus on Martian geology rather than the bigger question about past or present life on Mars. But if scientists can learn more about the phyllosilicate-rich soil at Endeavour, that would help them with the planning for follow-up studies by future probes, such as NASA's Curiosity rover. That spacecraft, also known as Mars Science Laboratory or MSL, is due for launch next year and is expected to target phyllosilicates.

    "We have an opportunity with the rover here to beat MSL to the punch," Golombek said. No pun intended.



    Check out our "Return to the Red Planet" special report to learn more about Opportunity and its sister rover, Spirit, which is currently in deep hibernation on the other side of Mars. If you feel like socializing, you can befriend me on Facebook or follow me on Twitter. And if you really want to be friendly, ask me about "The Case for Pluto."

  • ESA / NASA

    The Hubble Space Telescope spots an unusual spiral nebula around the star LL Pegasi. Astronomers say the spiral shape was created by material swirling out from one of the stars in a binary-star system. See larger versions of the image.

    Celestial spiral goes viral

    We're used to seeing spiral galaxies in deep space, but other types of outer-space spirals are positively spooky. Astronomers say that this whirligig, more than 3,000 light-years away in the constellation Pegasus, has been created by material spewing out from a binary-star system like water from a lawn sprinkler.

    The Hubble Space Telescope spotted the swirl around LL Pegasi, also known as AFGL 3068, several years ago. There's a thin spiral pattern of star stuff winding around the central star, which is hidden from view by thick dust. Observations from Hubble as well as the Keck II telescope in Hawaii indicate that LL Pegasi actually consists of two stars in a tight orbit around each other. Astronomers theorized that one of the stars was spewing material outward in the course of making its rounds.

    When the astronomers calculated what kind of orbit would produce the spiral pattern, they came up with an estimate of 800 years per orbit — which turned out to be a close match for the time they think it takes the decomposing star to make one circuit.

    The spiral of dust, designated IRAS 23166+1655, is known as a pre-planetary nebula. That's not because the nebula is about to form infant planets, but because the phenomenon is seen as the prelude to the star system's death. When a sunlike star nears the end of its life, it puffs away its outer layers of gas and dust, creating beautiful shells in the process. "IRAS 23166+1655 is just starting this process, and the central star has yet to emerge from the cocoon of enveloping dust," the European Space Agency's Hubble team says in Monday's "Picture of the Week" advisory.

    Such objects are known as "planetary nebulas" because when English astronomer William Herschel spotted them in the late 18th century, he compared their roundish shape to that of a planet. That's a shape he knew from experience, as the discoverer of Uranus.

    The weirdly regular spiral of IRAS 23166+1655 may not be all that similar to a planet's shape, but it does look like a few other pinwheels that have been seen in outer space. One example is WR 104, the so-called "Death Star" that's 8,000 light-years from Earth and just might blow up one of these days. (But don't worry: Astronomers say it won't kill us.)

    WR 104

    Peter Tuthill / Univ. of Sydney

    A near-infrared image from the Keck telescope shows the pinwheel shape created by the WR 104 star system.

    The other spiral that comes to mind is the unidentified flying object that was sighted over Norway last December. Some observers wondered if the glowing spiral shape was a warning signal from visiting aliens, or even a tryout for a holographic sky-hoax system dubbed Project Bluebeam. But the spiral pattern turned out to be the result of rocket fuel spewing from a wayward Russian booster.

    Russian spiral

    Dagfinn Rap via Space.com

    Norwegians had front-row seats for last December's space spiral and green streak.

    Compared to a Death Star and a runaway Russian missile, a pre-planetary nebula in Pegasus sounds positively charming — and sure enough, the celestial spiral is going viral. Check out these other reports:

     


     

    The pinwheel phenomenon in Pegasus is discussed in a paper presented at the International Astronomical Union meeting in 2006, titled "A Binary-Induced Pinwheel Outflow from the Extreme Carbon Star, AFGL 3068." First author is Mark Morris of the University of California at Los Angeles. Other authors include Raghvendra Sahai, Keith Matthews, Judy Cheng, Jessica Lu, Mark Claussen and Carmen Sanchez-Contreras.

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  • Share your UFO stories

    NBC News Channel

    A Texas hunter's infrared camera captures a view of a deer ... and also lights that appear to hover in the sky. Those lights were later traced to a camera glitch. Watch an Aug. 25 video report from KXAS's Omar Villafranca.

    The UFO debate usually focuses on official reports that go back years or decades — but strange things are still being seen in the sky, by folks just like you.

    The years-old reports are the subject of dueling commentaries by NBC News space analyst James Oberg and Leslie Kean, author of the book "UFOs: Generals, Pilots and Government Officials Go on the Record." Others are weighing in as well, including a colleague of mine at LiveScience, Robert Roy Britt, who calls this a "classic UFO battle." Such battles have been fought inconclusively over stories ranging from the 1947 Roswell incident (which gets only a passing mention in Kean's book) to the 2006 O'Hare incident (which merits an entire chapter).

    But what about your stories?



    Over the years, Cosmic Log correspondents have sent in oodles of stories, not only about UFOs but about alien encounters as well. And the stories are piling up at the Mutual UFO Network, the National UFO Reporting Center, the National UFO Center and other ufological outfits.

    One of the more recent cases to make the news involved a Texas hunter named Lisa Brock-Piekarski, who noticed some spooky lights that appeared to hover in the background of a night-vision image snapped by a game-tracking camera. Could this be a follow-up to the Stephenville UFO sightings of 2008? For a while, some thought so. But MUFON investigators eventually figured out that it was a camera glitch: The shutter stayed open long enough to catch a ghostly image of the infrared strobe's LED lgihts.

    That's one more UFO case closed, but there are thousands of other cases out there — and not every one gets attention from investigators. Which means there are always a lot of strange sightings out there that you'll never hear about. So what's the best way to handle your own strange sightings?

    First, be aware that common objects can look uncommonly strange under the right conditions. It may sound ridiculous to suggest that Venus or Jupiter can be mistaken for flying spaceships, but there's a perceptual trick known as the "autokinetic effect" that can make stationary objects in the sky appear to move. (Space.com's Joe Rao wrote about this last month.) Another effect, known as pareidolia, can make indistinct objects (like the Face on Mars) look as if they have a distinctive shape.

    Atmospheric phenomena ranging from lenticular clouds to sundogs have been perceived as unidentified flying objects, as have aircraft and rocket boosters. Even floating Chinese lanterns and whipped-up wind turbines have triggered alien alarm bells. Meteor fireballs have also sparked UFO reports. As a matter of fact, reports of a meteor-style impact in Colombia are currently stirring up a buzz on the Internet.

    Kean points out that at least 95 percent of all unidentified flying objects are eventually identified. That's why it's important to get the details right when you experience a strange sighting. Here are some of the viewing tips we've talked about in the past:

    • Take pictures, but don't try to enhance your images after the fact.
    • Ask other folks in the area to take note of what they've seen, and compare notes.
    • Make an accurate log of times and locations — which is becoming an easier task in this world of mobile phones equipped with GPS and clocks.
    • If your sighting is spectacular (or scary), contact local news media or file a report with the UFO centers mentioned above. But chances are that the police won't be able to do much unless a crime has been committed (such as an abduction, alien or otherwise).

    Is there a mysterious sighting you've just been waiting to get off your chest? Or is there a UFO mystery you were able to solve? Either type of story is welcome here. Feel free to discuss it in your comments below.



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