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Quantum fluctuations in science, space and society, from quarks to Hubble and Mars. Served up by Alan Boyle, NBC News Digital science editor. E-mail Alan, or connect via Facebook, Twitter or Google+.

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  • 9
    Oct
    2012
    8:44pm, EDT

    30 years later, 'E.T.' still hits home

    Universal Studios

    E.T. charmed Elliott (Henry Thomas) and millions of moviegoers in the 1982 movie "E.T.: The Extraterrestrial."

    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    Follow @b0yle


    Thirty years ago, a different kind of alien hit the screen: a vulnerable, cuddly, candy-munching creature that captured hearts as well as box-office records. Is "E.T." still relevant for the 21st century? If you're looking for the extraterrestrial that humanity is most likely to run into first, E.T. definitely doesn't fit the mold. But if you're looking for the cultural icon that's most likely to motivate the search for honest-to-goodness extraterrestrials, E.T. just might be your A-list alien.

    "If you look at the number of films that involve extraterrestrials these days, it's something like five or 10 a year," Seth Shostak, senior astronomer at the California-based SETI Institute, told me today. "And most of them are kinda nasty. What I liked about E.T. is that, after all, he was just a botanist who came to Earth and played with the kids.

    "He was a good tonic against the xenophobia we have about aliens. He's no more realistic than those other aliens, but his appeal encouraged folks to think that searches such as SETI were maybe not a bad thing."


    SETI — the search for extraterrestrial intelligence — is Shostak's specialty. In addition to conducting decades of research in the field, he's written books about aliens, advised moviemakers about them, and hosts a radio show that often touches upon the search for alien signals. If an unrealistically cute and cuddly alien gets more people interested in the quest, that's just fine by him.

    "Look, none of these movie aliens are realistic," he said. "Certainly all of the good guys are relatively anthropomorphic. You could analyze it in terms of the science ... but to me, all of the alien films stimulate the idea that there could be something out there. I can see that only as a good."

    In 1982, "E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial" hit theaters and went on to become the fourth-most successful movie of all time. In honor of the film's 30th anniversary, one of the its stars, Henry Thomas, shares a few of his memories about it.

    So what would a realistic alien look like? Probably more like R2-D2 than E.T.: Intelligence that's encased in metallic hardware will travel much better than the kind of intelligence that's carried around in relatively fragile wetware. R2-D2 could be pretty cute at times, but it's more likely that the real-life robo-aliens would be indifferent to our fate. To some extent, Shostak agrees with physicist Stephen Hawking: Our relationship with alien visitors might be similar to the Native Americans' relationship to the Europeans in the 1500s. In short, not all sweetness and light.

    "If any were to come, at least extrapolating from the history of visitations here on Earth, most likely they would be nasty," Shostak said. "It wasn't the nice guys who got on the ship to visit the Aztecs."

    But then again, perhaps E.T. suggests a sunnier scenario. Why would the aliens visit? Probably not for resources, because any civilization capable of coming to Earth would already command prodigious reserves of power. Certainly not for mating. Even if E.T. was made of flesh and blood rather than metal, the genetic code (and reproductive system) would be different. Perhaps, like E.T., the aliens would come just to catalog the flora, the fauna, maybe even check out the rock and roll.

    "That might make sense," Shostak said.

    What do you think? Is anyone else out there, or are we alone? How have our perspectives on extraterrestrial life evolved over the past 30 years? Feel free to weigh in with your comments below.

    More perspectives on E.T. and "E.T.":

    • Aliens won't eat us, and we won't mate with them
    • Expert doubts aliens would visit Earth to terrorize us
    • Stephen Hawking: Aliens may pose risks to Earth
    • Steven Spielberg considered creepy 'E.T. sequel
    • Henry Thomas recalls leaving Spielberg in tears
    • Cosmic Log archive on aliens

    Correction for 10:20 a.m. Oct. 10: Shostak said there were five or 10 alien-themed movies per year, but I mistyped the quote to make it sound as if E.T. got far less screen time. Sorry about the miscue, which has been mended. 


    Alan Boyle is NBCNews.com's science editor. Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page, following @b0yle on Twitter and adding the Cosmic Log page to your Google+ presence. To keep up with Cosmic Log as well as NBCNews.com's other stories about science and space, sign up for the Tech & Science newsletter, delivered to your email in-box every weekday. You can also check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

    13 comments

    I have to believe that there are many planets with some type of life form on them in the vast cosmos . Well anyway . This article reminds me that I should "phone home" . Thanks .

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  • 8
    Nov
    2011
    10:58pm, EST

    Are alien probes lost in space?

    NASA file

    An alien artifact like the Voyager probes' "Golden Record," which contains coded information about Earth as well as recordings of earthly sights and sounds, would probably elude our attention if it were in our solar system. In fact, we might not even detect the Voyager probes.

    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    After analyzing our capability to detect objects in the solar system, researchers have come to a conclusion that should be fairly obvious: Even if extraterrestrials left something in our solar system like the artifacts we’ve sent out into deep space, we almost certainly wouldn’t know they were there.

    "The vastness of space, combined with our limited searches to date, implies that any remote unpiloted exploratory probes of extraterrestrial origin would likely remain untouched," Penn State researchers Jacob Haqq-Misra and Ravi Kumar Kopparapu write in a paper accepted for publication by the journal Acta Astronautica.

    The claim that there are plenty of places where alien robots or monoliths could lurk comes as no surprise to Douglas Vakoch, director of interstellar message composition at the California-based SETI Institute. "That's standard wisdom in the field," he told me today.

    Our messages to the cosmos
    The latest research quantifies just how unexplored different parts of our solar system are, but the bottom line is that we haven't searched the prime areas closely enough — particularly if we're looking for objects ranging from 1 to 10 meters (3 to 33 feet) in size. That's roughly the size range for the human-made objects that are on their way out of the solar system, including the Pioneer and Voyager probes.

    Those particular '70s-era spacecraft were equipped with objects that could conceivably tell extraterrestrial civilizations that intelligent entities inhabited at least one planet in our solar system: The Pioneer 10 and 11 probes carried plaques that bore pictures of a human male and female, along with symbols representing our cosmic location. The Voyager spacecraft had "Golden Records," pictogram-bearing phonograph records that could be played to reveal the sights and sounds of Earth.

    Haqq-Misra and Kopparapu imply that if the aliens were like us, they wouldn't be able to pick out the Pioneer and Voyager spacecraft, let alone the plaques and the records. "Few if any of the attempts would be capable of detecting a 1 to 10 meter probe," they write.

    Even if an alien object were left on Earth, it's not 100 percent certain that it could be found. "The surface of the Earth is one of the few places in the solar system that has been almost completely examined at a spatial resolution of less than 3 feet," the researchers write. Nevertheless, non-terrestrial objects could lurk on the ocean floor, or in the depths of a jungle, or inside a deep cave. There's even a chance that the probe would just look like a rock.

    And when you're talking about the whole solar system, the task is analogous to "finding a needle in a thousand-ton haystack," the researchers write.

    Signals vs. artifacts
    Vakoch said that's why scientists involved in the search of extraterrestrial intelligence, or SETI, tend to focus on radio signals (or laser pulses) rather than physical artifacts. "It's much less energetically expensive," he said. "In a way, it's easier to search for intelligence across the galaxy than it is in our backyard."

    Similarly, SETI researchers don't hold out much hope that E.T. will come across our the Pioneer plaques or the Golden Records, much less figure them out. "There's a minuscule chance that any of the things we've sent so far will ever be detected by even the hardiest extraterrestrial civilizations," Vakoch said.

    Vakoch observed that the research suggests "one possible response to the Fermi Paradox." Back in 1950, physicist Enrico Fermi and his colleagues discussed the prospects for alien life, and speculated that if intelligent beings could arise in other planetary systems, there should have been enough time for them to visit Earth many times over millions of years. "Where are they?" Fermi is said to have asked.

    Haqq-Misra and Kopparapu propose an answer of sorts: "Searches to date of the solar system are sufficiently incomplete that we cannot rule out the possibility that non-terrestrial artifacts are present and may even be observing us," they write.

    Maybe there's a cast-off alien plaque sitting just over a hill somewhere on Mars ("We Came in Peace for All Blurxkind"). Or maybe the latest "Transformers" movie had it right after all. What do you think? Feel free to weigh in with your comments below.

    More on the alien search:

    • City lights could point to E.T.
    • Search for alien 'footprints' on Earth?
    • Calculate the odds of finding E.T.
    • Gallery: Four decades of SETI
    • Alien-hunters add super-Earths to their list
    • More from Cosmic Log about aliens ... and about SETI

    Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page, following @b0yle on Twitter or following the Cosmic Log Google+ page. You can also check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

    275 comments

    Thank you, Alan Boyle. Thought-provoking article. And here's one my thoughts. Even if we find an alien artifact, we might not recognize it as such. It would be too, well, alien. This is even more likely, possibly close to inevitable, if the aliens are lifeforms fundamentally different from us.

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  • 19
    Aug
    2011
    8:12pm, EDT

    What if E.T. thinks we're evil?

    Are there scenarios in which the aliens would consider terminating our command with extreme prejudice? That sounds almost exactly like the premise of "The Day the Earth Stood Still."

    Watch on YouTube
    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    A study that reviews a host of sci-fi scenarios for contact with extraterrestrials stirred up such a ruckus today that NASA had to step in and distance itself from the research. The controversy focuses on the idea that E.T. could well decide that we're a threat to interstellar order, and therefore we have to be stopped before we spread.

    The report itself, published in the journal Acta Astronautica, covers ground that's familiar to dedicated fans of E.T. lore. For example, the premise of the 1951 sci-fi classic "The Day the Earth Stood Still" is that universalist-minded aliens see our civilization as so rooted in violence that it's better to snuff us out than let us ruin the neighborhood. (The 2008 remake, starring Keanu Reeves, recycled that idea with an environmental theme.)


    Then there's the "Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" scenario, in which Earth is destroyed merely to make way for a new stretch of intergalactic infrastructure.

    "At the heart of these scenarios is the possibility that intrinsic value may be more efficiently produced in our absence," the researchers write.

    The most familiar sci-fi scenario is the one in which the aliens are as selfish and territorial as we are, and want to wipe us out or enslave us and take our stuff. Think "War of the Worlds" or "Independence Day." In such cases, the researchers note that there's the potential for big payoffs ... if we prevail.

    "Humanity benefits not only from the major moral victory of having defeated a daunting rival but also from the opportunity to reverse-engineer ETI [extraterrestrial intelligence] technology," they write. Indeed, New York Times columnist Paul Krugman joked last weekend that a fake alien invasion might be just the thing to spark an economic turnaround.

    The researchers touch on more benign scenarios as well — for example, the "Star Trek" scenario, in which helpful aliens welcome us into the United Federation of Planets because we're all basically good guys (as opposed to those evil Klingons, until they become good guys, too). And then there's something like the "E.T." scenario, in which the aliens mostly just want to stay out of our way.

    The 33-page study reflects at length on the potential risks.

    "The possibility of harmful contact with ETI suggests that we may use some caution for METI [sending messages to extaterrestrial intelligence]," the researchers write. "Given that we have already altered our environment in ways that may be viewed as unethical by universalist ETI, it may be prudent to avoid sending any message that shows evidence of our negative environmental impact. The chemical composition of Earth's atmosphere over recent time may be a poor choice for a message because it would show a rapid accumulation of carbon dioxide from human activity. Likewise, any message that indicates widespread loss of biodiversity or rapid rates of expansion may be dangerous if received by such universalist ETI."

    In short, let's keep our environmental bad habits on the down low, so as not to get the sad-Keanu E.T.'s on our case.

    The basis of the brouhaha
    By themselves, these ideas are not all that, um, alien. For years, sci-fi author David Brin has advised keeping quiet about our existence, and celebrity physicist Stephen Hawking agrees. U.N. officials and scientific experts also say the messages we direct toward any aliens we come across would have to be carefully managed.

    So what's the big deal? Well, one of the authors of the paper, Shawn Domagal-Goldman, happens to be a postdoctoral student working at NASA Headquarters — and that highly tenuous connection to the world's most influential space agency sparked a huge wave of scare headlines. It started with The Guardian's story, and rolled onto The Drudge Report's webpage with a headline reading "NASA REPORT: Aliens may destroy humanity to protect other civlizations..." Another variant was this one: "NASA: Aliens May Destroy Humanity Over Greenhouse Gases."

    Eventually, NASA had to send out a Twitter update saying "Yes, @drudge and @guardiannews are mistaken about an 'alien' report. It's not NASA research. Ask the report's author...." The space agency followed up later with two more tweets, emphasizing that it was not involved in the study and saying that Fox News and CNN "have it wrong."

    In each case, NASA linked to a lengthy clarification and apology from Domagal-Goldman, who made clear that the study was not a "NASA report," that no NASA funding was expended on it, and that he spent none of his working hours on writing the paper. He said his two co-authors, Seth Baum and Jacob Haqq-Misra of Pennsylvania State University, "put in the vast majority of work on it."

    "It was just a fun paper written by a few friends, one of whom happens to have a NASA affiliation," Domagal-Goldman wrote.

    He admitted that including the NASA affiliation turned out to be a "horrible mistake":

    "I did so because that is my current academic affiliation. But when I did so I did not realize the full implications that has. I'm deeply sorry for that, but it was a mistake born out of carelessness and inexperience and nothing more. I will do what I can to rectify this, including distributing this post to the Guardian, Drudge and NASA Watch. Please help me spread this post to the other places you may see the article inaccurately attributed to NASA.

    "One last thing: I stand by the analysis in the paper. Is such a scenario likely? I don't think so. But it's one of a myriad of possible (albeit unlikely) scenarios, and the point of the paper was to review them. But remember — and this is key — it's me standing for the paper ... not the full weight of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. For anything I have done to mis-convey that to those covering the story, to the public, or to the fine employees of NASA, I apologize."

    This isn't the first case where the NASA connection has become entangled in scientific speculation. In March, the space agency took great pains to distance itself from NASA researcher Richard Hoover's claims to have found evidence of outer-space organisms in meteorites.

    In Domagal-Gordon's case, the substance was far less controversial. As I've tried to point out above, the views expressed in the paper aren't that far off from the typical science-blog fare. I'm willing to bet a goodly sum of quatloos that Domagal-Gordon will go on to have a fine career in science ... and also that this won't be NASA's last P.R. kerfuffle over E.T.

    More about aliens:

    • Hollywood remakes an alien
    • What would you ask the aliens?
    • Why we love to fear E.T.
    • The alien files on Cosmic Log

    Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page or following @b0yle on Twitter. You can also add me to your Google+ circle, and check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

    394 comments

    As a fellow Earthling, I can only say that I have no particular fondness for my own species, having seen so much evil, greed, depravity, and utter cruelty. If there is other life in this universe, let's hope it is of a much higher order, or that its too far away to meet.

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  • 8
    Aug
    2011
    7:13pm, EDT

    Donations revive SETI quest

    SETI Institute

    Radio antennas stand sentinel at the Allen Telescope Array, north of San Francisco.

    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    The SETI Institute's search for extraterrestrial intelligence is back on track, thanks to more than $200,000 in donations from thousands of fans.

    "We're not completely out of the woods yet, but everybody's smiling here," the institute's chief executive officer, Tom Pierson, told me today.


    In April, the institute had to put its big ear for hearing E.T.'s radio call, the 42-antenna Allen Telescope Array in Northern California, into "hibernation" due to budget woes. The biggest hit was the loss of funding by the University of California at Berkeley, the institute's partner for operating the antenna array.

    The SETI Institute has been around for decades: It stepped in to help keep the search for alien radio signals active after NASA cut off funding for the quest in 1993. It's not the only organization doing SETI, but it's the leader in the field. The Allen Telescope Array, or ATA, was launched with $50 million in contributions from software billionaire Paul Allen and others — and if the array ever takes in 350 linked antennas, as it's designed to do, it would rank among the world's premier radio-telescope facilities.

    But in light of the financial challenges, that's a huge "if" right now. In fact, until last week it wasn't certain if or when the ATA would come back online.

    After the antenna array was mothballed, the institute and its fans in Silicon Valley set up a Web-based campaign for donations, known as SETIstars. The campaign kicked off in June, and about 45 days later, on Aug. 3, contributions hit the $200,000 mark. That was how much money the SETI Institute said would be needed to bring the antenna array back into operation. (Since then more than $4,000 in additional contributions have come in.)

    Among the contributors are Jodie Foster, the actress who played a SETI researcher in the movie "Contact"; science-fiction writer Larry Niven, creator of the "Ringworld" series of novels; and Apollo 8 astronaut Bill Anders, who flew around the moon in 1968. "It is absolutely irresponsible of the human race not to be searching for evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence," Anders wrote in a note accompanying his contribution.

    Pierson said the institute's managers and scientists were drawing up a plan that would restart science operations in September.

    "We think we're going to come out of hibernation and be solid for the next five months or so, and during those five months we're going to take care of calendar year 2013 and put that under our belt," he said.

    Pierson acknowledged that the ATA's long-term success would "require a mix of funding," including continued contributions as well as renewed cash flow from other applications for the radio array. The institute is hoping that the U.S. Air Force will use the array to  track orbital objects that otherwise might pose a threat to the International Space Station and other satellites. During the daytime, the ATA could be used for the Air Force's "debris deconfliction," and during the night it could search for alien signals, Pierson said.

    The institute is also looking for ways to reduce the array's operating costs from the current level of $1.5 million per year, plus another $1 million for science operations, Pierson said. "We need to transition to a new modality without UC-Berkeley," he said.

    Eventually, astronomers at the SETI Institute hope to use the ATA to listen for signals from the most promising planetary systems identified by NASA's Kepler planet-hunting mission. Jill Tarter, the institute's director of SETI research, said in April that the fund-raising target for the Kepler follow-up project would be $5 million.

    The institute has already set up a website called setiQuest, where citizen scientists can help sift through the data expected from the ATA, and SETIstars will remain open to receive donations, Pierson said. He had two messages for the SETI supporters: "No. 1 is how grateful we are," he told me. "More than 2,000 people jumped in and help. Also, stand by for future campaigns from SETIstars. We hope to build opportunities that will really excite the public."

    More about the search for alien signals:

    • New E.T. hunt tunes in on Earthlike planets
    • Calculate the odds of finding E.T.
    • Are we alone in the universe? Well, maybe
    • Gallery: 50 years of searching for E.T.
    • Search for extraterrestrials on msnbc.com

    Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page or following @b0yle on Twitter. You can also add me to your Google+ circle, and check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

    53 comments

    I'm very glad SETI reached it fundraising goal, but it saddens me a little that they need to seek money through crowdfunding. This scientific endeavor is worthy of support from governments and foundations, as well as big time and small fry philanthropists.

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  • 18
    Apr
    2011
    9:30pm, EDT

    Alien trees just might look black

    Univ. of St. Andrews photoillustration

    On a world that spins around two dim suns, the vegetation may well look black to human eyes.

    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    Researchers suggest that vegetation on an alien planet like Tatooine in "Star Wars" might well look black or gray to human eyes. But they probably wouldn’t seem devoid of color to the eyes of the aliens — assuming they have eyes, that is.

    The conjecture comes from a paper presented by the University of St. Andrews' Jack O'Malley-James at the Royal Astronomical Society's National Astronomy Meeting in Wales. O'Malley-James is working on a Ph.D. project to assess the potential for photosynthetic life in multiple-star systems with different combinations of sunlike stars and red dwarfs.


    On Earth, the leaves of plants generally look green because two types of chlorophyll absorb the reddish and bluish wavelengths in the visible-light spectrum. Those red and blue wavelengths drive the photosynthetic process by which plants convert the sun's energy into chemical energy. In contrast, the green wavelengths are reflected into the RGB optical sensors known as our eyes.

    Scientists surmise that the birds and bugs may see plants quite differently, with greater sensitivity to different shades of green and the ability to sense ultraviolet wavelengths as well.

    O'Malley-James suggests that in different corners of our galaxy, plants could evolve to take advantage of different combinations of wavelengths, depending on the light coming from their parent sun ... or suns. The possibilities become particularly intriguing for a planet in a multiple-star system — like Tatooine, Luke Skywalker's fictional home planet in the "Star Wars" movie saga.

    J. O'Malley-James / Univ. of St. Andrews

    On planets orbiting red-dwarf stars, the vegetation may have more photosynthetic pigments in order to make use of a fuller range of wavelengths, giving them a "black" appearance. Here are some earthly examples of dark plants and flowers.

    "If a planet were found in a system with two or more stars, there would potentially be multiple sources of energy available to drive photosynthesis. The temperature of a star determines its color and, hence, the color of light used for photosynthesis. Depending on the colors of their starlight, plants would evolve very differently,"  he said in a news release.

    Statistics show that more than 25 percent of sunlike stars and 50 percent of the red dwarfs in our galaxy are found in multiple-star systems. Armed with such statistics, O'Malley-James and his colleagues ran computer simulations to determine the optimal strategy for photosynthesis over a wide spectrum (heh, heh) of planetary alignments.

    “Our simulations suggest that planets in multi-star systems may host exotic forms of the more familiar plants we see on Earth," O'Malley-James reported. "Plants with dim red dwarf suns for example, may appear black to our eyes, absorbing across the entire visible wavelength range in order to use as much of the available light as possible. They may also be able to use infrared or ultraviolet radiation to drive photosynthesis. For planets orbiting two stars like our own, harmful radiation from intense stellar flares could lead to plants that develop their own UV-blocking sunscreens, or photosynthesizing microorganisms that can move in response to a sudden flare."

    But even if the plants reflected none of the visible-light wavelengths, extraterrestrial gardeners might well have their own special appreciation for an ultraviolet bloom, or leaves that are variegated in the thermal infrared.

    I know it sounds like a flight of fancy, but this is just the kind of flight I enjoy the most. The subject reminds me of the scene from "Battlestar Galactica" where Brother Cavil complains about the "ridiculous gelatinous orbs" in his head. "I want to see gamma rays!" he shouts. "I want to hear X-rays!" Which new senses do you think the aliens might have ... and which do you wish you could have? Feel free to weigh in with your own conjectures in the comment section below.

    More about alien perspectives:

    • Want to call E.T.? Keep it simple, stupid Earthling
    • Rare exoplanet has 'Star Wars' twin sunset
    • How to find aliens: Follow the photosynthesis
    • Alien plants get new twist in world of 'Avatar'
    • Plants on other planets might not be green

    O'Malley-James' supervisors on the Ph.D. project include Jane Greaves of the University of St. Andrews, John Raven of the University of Dundee and Charles Cockell of The Open University.

    Join the Cosmic Log community by clicking the "like" button on our Facebook page or by following msnbc.com science editor Alan Boyle as b0yle on Twitter. To learn more about my book on Pluto and the search for planets, check out the website for "The Case for Pluto." 

    39 comments

    HUGE points for the author, mentioning Number One's great rant from BSG. One of the greatest moments in scifi TV history, and so very right for the piece.

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  • 10
    Jan
    2011
    1:39am, EST

    Would alien life change your life?

    Space.com

    Recent scientific findings plus some educated guesses have led some experts to estimate there may be 10,000 extraterrestrial civilizations in the Milky Way. Come up with your own estimate using our Drake Equation Calculator.

    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    Would the detection of extraterrestrial life cause the kind of paranoia or alien worship we see in science-fiction shows ranging from "The Day the Earth Stood Still" to "V"? In a fresh round of studies, scientists and theologians suggest it really wouldn't have much impact on what we do or what we believe.

    The Brookings Report warned in 1961 that the discovery of life beyond Earth could lead to social upheaval. But Albert Harrison, a psychologist at the University of California at Davis, says "times have changed dramatically" since then.

    Even the discovery of intelligent aliens "may be far less startling for generations that have been brought up with word processors, electronic calculators, avatars and cell phones as compared with earlier generations used to typewriters, slide rules, pay phones and rag dolls," Harrison writes in one of the papers published Monday in the Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A.

    E.T. has become so much a part of our culture that the aliens don't seem all that alien anymore. And if extraterrestrial life does exist, it's far more likely to be discovered in the form of microbes on Mars, or signals from a star system that's tens or thousands of light-years away.

    Harrison says there are plenty of historical precedents showing that society can get used to the idea of life existing beyond Earth:

    "Society has been unfazed by batmen on the moon, the canals of Mars, discoveries of quasars and pulsars, claims that a fossil arrived from Mars, and bogus announcements of SETI detections. Any discovery of ETI [extraterrestrial intelligence] is likely to produce a mix of emotions including fear, pandemonium, equanimity and delight, but in North America and Europe, neither the retrieval of an exobiological specimen nor detection of a dial tone at a distance are likely to lead to widespread psychological disintegration and social collapse. Perhaps we should not worry too much about people who protect their belief systems by denying scientific findings (or recasting them as theory), and it seems unlikely that a 'dial tone at a distance' will shock people who are embroiled in civil war, caught up in genocide or wracked by AIDS and starvation. People conditioned by years of participation in UFO clubs, science fiction and an endless parade of purported documentaries may find the discovery anticlimactic."

    That theme carries through in other reports published in the special issue of the British journal. The 17 research papers, which add up to more than 200 pages in all, are based on a series of discussions that took place almost a year ago. The Royal Society brought together some of the world's top authorities on the search for extraterrestrial life to reflect on what might happen if E.T. was ever found — and went on to conduct a follow-up discussion in October.

    Here are a few more thought-provoking nuggets from the journal:

    • More than 80 percent of religious believers say contact with intelligent aliens would not shake their personal faith, according to a survey developed by Ted Peters, a theologian at Pacific Lutheran Theological Seminary in Berkeley, Calif. About a third of the believers who were surveyed said that E.T. contact might create some sort of religious crisis. In contrast, more than two-thirds of non-believers thought there'd be a religious crisis. Some Christian theologians, such as Wolfhart Pannenberg, say Jesus came to save E.T. as well as humans — while others (including Paul Tillich and Karl Rahner) have suggested that there could be multiple incarnations of alien saviors, Peters says.
    • Arizona State University's Paul Davies lays out his concept of "weird life," which suggests that life could operate using chemical machinery different from the usual type, even here on Earth. The concept is reflected in a recent round of controversial experiments focusing on bacteria that are thought to consume arsenic instead of the usual phosphorus. 
    • Even if evidence of life was found on Mars, it might not be considered truly "alien" life, NASA astrobiologist Chris McKay says. "An organism would be alien if, and only if, it did not link to our tree of life," he writes. That determination could have big consequences. If biomarkers indicate that such an alien form of life exists on Mars, then McKay says humans should feel morally bound to leave that life alone. "We must be able to undo ('ctrl-Z') our contamination of Mars if we discover a second genesis of life," he says.
    • The head of the U.N. Office for Outer Space Affairs, Mazlan Othman, presents her view that the United Nations should take a leading role in coordinating the global response to evidence of extraterrestrial life. Othman got in hot water when news reports made it sound as if she was angling to become an "ambassador to the aliens." In the journal, however, Othman presents a sensible case: She draws an analogy to the role played by the United Nations in considering what should be done in the event Earth is threatened by an incoming asteroid.
    • Cambridge University paleontology Simon Conway Morris says we shouldn't worry so much about what to do if we come across intelligent aliens, because they probably don't exist. He argues his point on the basis of evolutionary convergence. If long-term life ever arose beyond Earth, it would eventually result in the rise of a world-subduing intelligent species like our own. And if even just one civilization out of 10,000 found a way to travel beyond its own solar system, "this planet would still have been colonized by people who kept trilobites as pets," Morris writes. That's not the case, leading Morris to a conclusion that he says should still "make our blood run cold." Here's his bottom line: "We never had any visitors, nor is it worth setting up a reception center in the hope that they might turn up. They are not there, and we are alone. So which do you prefer: neighbors with the culture of the Aztecs or a howling silence?"

    Are we alone in the universe? What are the implications of E.T.'s existence, or non-existence? Feel free to weigh in with your comments below.


    Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page or following @b0yle on Twitter. You can also check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

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    Man, I consider myself a "Skeptic." Literally: I read Skeptic, Skeptical Inquirer, I have stacks of books by Shermer, Harris, Hitchencs & Dawkins(I know, you hate them; spare me the bother, and send all hate mail to them.) I;m an atheist and studied Evo.-Phys. Anthro and Bio. at university, etc …

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