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Quantum fluctuations in science, space and society, from quarks to Hubble and Mars. Served up by Alan Boyle, NBC News Digital science editor. E-mail Alan, or connect via Facebook, Twitter or Google+.

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  • 28
    Dec
    2011
    3:44pm, EST

    Map shows when solar power is a bargain

    California's investments in renewable energy help make San Diego one of the hottest markets for green jobs in the U.S.

    By John Roach, Contributing Writer, NBC News

    In 2013, the cost of solar power in San Diego will be cheaper than electricity from the local utility grid, according the predictions of an energy policy analyst who created a handy graphic to illustrate when so-called grid parity will be achieved.

    Sam Mircovich / Reuters

    A prototype sun tracking solar panel made by Concentrix Solar collects energy from its location at the University of California San Diego in this file photo.

    The interactive graphic posted on the Energy Self Reliant States website shows when this moment will be reached in major U.S. cities between now and 2027. 

    Parity is a "tipping point, when democratization of the electricity system not only makes political and economic sense, but becomes more competitive than using utility-delivered electricity," writes analyst John Farrell.

    His calculations assume that the cost of solar will continue to fall by 7 percent a year and grid electricity will rise at 2 percent a year. 

    If true, then San Diego will be the first to reach the parity milestone, followed by New York in 2015. From there, parity is progressively reached across the southern tier of the U.S. with my cloudy, rainy, northern hometown of Seattle not reaching parity until 2027.

    More on solar power:

    • Solar power is beginning to go mainstream
    • Google pulls plug on solar power plan
    • U.S. trade panel to probe solar dispute with China
    • Ten hot green energy trends to watch
    • Himalayas: The future of solar?
    • PG&E makes deal for space solar power

    John Roach is a contributing writer for msnbc.com. To learn more about him, check out his website. For more of our Future of Technology series, watch the featured video below.

     

    Next-gen nuclear plants could provide carbon-free energy, but the painfully slow process of approving better, safer reactors — not to mention real anxiety over meltdowns and waste — threaten to derail projects before they can be built.

    9 comments

    The calculation is entirely based on a huge decrease in solar prices year over year. I highly doubt they see that kind of price decrease in the near term.

    Show more
    Explore related topics: energy, science, electricity, solar, map, innovation, featured

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John Roach is a contributing writer for NBC News. From climate change and mass extinctions to human evolution and deep space, his writing explores life on Earth and its place in the universe. He was a staff writer at the Environmental News Network for several years and has contributed to National Geographic News for more than a decade.

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