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Quantum fluctuations in science, space and society, from quarks to Hubble and Mars. Served up by Alan Boyle, NBC News Digital science editor. E-mail Alan, or connect via Facebook, Twitter or Google+.

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  • 2
    Mar
    2012
    9:14pm, EST

    Huge tornado spawns mini-twisters

    Video clips from storm chasers document a destructive tornado as it touches down in Indiana near Henryville. Subvortices can be seen spinning off the main funnel. (Via The Associated Press)

    Watch on YouTube
    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    Follow @b0yle




    The tornado that devastated southern Indiana today may have shared some deadly twists with a similarly powerful storm that flattened Joplin, Mo., last year.

    The Joplin tornado, which killed more than 160 people last May, was distinguished by a rare multiple-vortex structure: In such storms, the center of the wind funnel spawns two to seven smaller twisters, or subvortices, that circulate around the edge of the cloud at speeds that can range up to 100 mph faster than the winds in the main funnel. The subvortices typically last less than a minute each.

    John Belski, a meteorologist at WAVE-TV in Louisville, Ky., said the tornado that ripped through Indiana's Clark County was a multiple-vortex tornado.


    "Those individual vortexes are very destructive," Purdue University tornado researcher Ernest Agee told me today. He emphasized that he couldn't confirm whether the Indiana storm had a multi-vortex structure, but noted that today's tornado outbreak was clearly a "big super-cell storm."

    "It's not uncommon for the stronger, more violent tornadoes to be multiple vortex," he said. One characteristic of such storms is a pattern of asymmetric damage. In some cases, one side of a structure might look relatively untouched, while the other side would be completely destroyed, he said.

    The National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center says multi-vortex tornadoes are probably behind most reports of multiple tornadoes hitting at once — but on rare occasions, separate tornadoes can form close to each other as satellite tornadoes.

    Agee marveled at the breadth of today's outbreak, stretching up from Alabama to Indiana and beyond. But he said it looked as if the area's residents might have fared better than the victims of the Joplin storm did last year.

    Follow @CosmicLog

    "A lot of the people in the area had advance notice in terms of the forecast," he told me. "I'm sure it was pretty bad for the people who were affected, but the devastation could have been a lot worse."

    Update for 10 p.m. ET: Storm-chaser Skip Talbot's photo of the Henryville tornado confirms that it had a multiple-vortex structure. I've also added a video from The Associated Press' YouTube channel that clearly shows the funnel cloud spawning subvortices. To read other reports from the field, check out the Stormtrack website.

    More about tornadoes:

    • Why so many tornadoes are hitting U.S.
    • Interactive: What causes tornadoes?
    • Weather coverage from msnbc.com

    Alan Boyle is msnbc.com's science editor. Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page, following @b0yle on Twitter or adding Cosmic Log's Google+ page to your circle. You can also check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for other worlds.

    23 comments

    Keep Obama and politics the hell out of this. These people are suffering and need suport not political rhetoric!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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  • 23
    May
    2011
    7:44pm, EDT

    Cities become bigger tornado targets

    The University of Oklahoma's Howard Bluestein talks about the recent outbreak.

    By Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News

    Once upon a time, some people thought cities might be relatively immune from a tornado's terrors due to the obstructions thrown up by tall buildings, or the microclimates created by urban heat islands — but no more.

    The widespread devastation suffered in Joplin, Mo., over the weekend served as ample evidence that those urban legends are mere legends. Meteorologists say that human-made structures — whether they're skyscrapers or mobile homes in a trailer park — are not a determining factor in dictating the path of a violent storm. If it seemed as if tornadoes rarely hit the downtown areas of cities in the Southern, Midwest and Plains states, that was merely because those urbanized areas were so small compared with the open spaces in those regions.

    However, that situation is changing. As the population grows and cities spread out wider, that provides bigger targets for tornadoes to hit. "We have people where there used to be farmland," AccuWeather meteorologist Mark Paquette told Reuters.


    Paquette said the huge toll from the Joplin tornado was due to bad luck — or, to put it another way, an unfortunate spike in the statistical distribution of storms. "Sometimes you have tornadoes that hit in the cornfields of Kansas or Nebraska or Iowa, and the only person affected is that farmer and it doesn't even hit his house. But here we have a tornado that hit a hospital," he said.

    Adam Wisneski / Tulsa World / AP

    Rescue workers in lime-green jackets search for bodies and survivors today inside St. John's Hospital in Joplin, Mo.

    Howard Bluestein, a meteorology professor at the University of Oklahoma, told MSNBC that "it's very unusual for these storms to go through a heavily populated area like Joplin."

    "It's a real tragedy that the tornado just didn't go right outside and skirt the city," he said.

    Bluestein said population growth, with its accompanying suburban sprawl, has created more areas where tornadoes could cause serious damage. "Cities and suburbs have expanded," he noted, "and there's a higher probability that people will actually get struck."

    Joshua Wurman, president of the Colorado-based Center for Severe Weather Research, told Reuters that the tornado could have been worse if it hit an even more populated urban area, such as the Chicago suburbs.

    "A tornado doesn't really care what's underneath it," Wurman said.

    Meteorologists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Storm Prediction Center keep up a list of selected urban tornadoes going back more than a century. Based on the current fatality figures, the Joplin tornado ranks No. 3 — behind the 1953 tornado that tore through downtown Waco, Texas (114 deaths) and an 1896 St. Louis twister (255 deaths).

    One of the center's meteorologists, Roger Edwards, says in an online Q&A about tornadoes that a storm outbreak in the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan area during rush hour could result in "staggering death tolls in the hundreds or thousands, and overwhelmed emergency services."

    The good news is that tornado prediction methods are improving, even as the potential targets are getting bigger. Thirty years ago, forecasters could provide an average of only three minutes of warning before a tornado hit, Wurman told Reuters. Now the average is 13 minutes.

    "We'd like to get that up to 30 or 40 minutes," Wurman said. He said he'd also like to reduce the false-alarm rate for tornado warnings from its current 70 to 75 percent.

    And what about climate change? Could global warming affect the frequency or severity of tornadoes? Meteorologists are reluctant to make a connection between tornadoes and long-term, worldwide climate trends, but they do note that this year's La Nina weather pattern in the eastern Pacific could be contributing to the woes in the tornado zone. For more about that, check out this report from Miguel Llanos, my colleague at msnbc.com.

    More on tornadoes:

    • Interactive: Birth of a tornado
    • Interactive: 2011 tornado season 
    • Joplin tornado came with terrifying speed
    • Survivors tell of dread and loss
    • Weather coverage from msnbc.com

    You can connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page or following @b0yle on Twitter. And for something completely different, check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

    47 comments

    Tornadoes and Hurricanes are caused by unabsorbed solar energy which gathers and swirls across landscapes.

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